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Michael T Slattery

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Climate change is expected to alter the distributions and community composition of stream fishes in the Great Lakes region in the 21st century, in part as a result of altered hydrological systems (stream temperature, streamflow, and habitat). Resource managers need information and tools to understand where fish species and stream habitats are expected to change under future conditions. Fish sample collections and environmental variables from multiple sources across the United States Great Lakes Basin were integrated and used to develop empirical models to predict fish species occurrence under present-day climate conditions. Random Forests models were used to predict the probability of occurrence of 13 lotic fish...
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Monthly water yields for 105,829 catchments and corresponding flows for 107,691 stream segments were estimated for water years 1951-2012 in the United States part of the Great Lakes Basin. Estimates were computed using the AFINCH (Analysis of Flows In Networks of CHannels) application within the NHDPlus geospatial data framework. AFINCH provides an environment to develop constrained regression models to integrate monthly streamflow and water-use data with monthly climatic data and fixed basin characteristics data available within NHDPlus or supplied by the user. Monthly flow time series for individual stream segments can be retrieved and used to approximate monthly flow duration characteristics and to identify possible...
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