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Person

Bryan J. McCloskey

Physical Scientist

St. Petersburg Coastal and Marine Science Center

Email: bmccloskey@usgs.gov
Office Phone: 727-502-8017
ORCID: 0000-0003-1975-2440

Location
Studebaker Building
600 4th Street South
St. Petersburg , FL 33701
US

Supervisor: Christopher D Reich
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To address the data and information gap for characterizing coastal drought, a coastal salinity index (CSI) was developed using salinity data (Conrads 2016; Conrads and Darby, 2017). The CSI uses an approach similar to the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), a readily available drought index that is widely used for monitoring meteorological droughts (McKee and others, 1993). The CSI substitutes total monthly precipitation with monthly mean salinity data to determine the probability of recording a given salinity value in a particular month. The initial investigation demonstrated that the index could be used to delineate short- and long-term drought (saline) and wet (high freshwater inflow) conditions; however,...
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Operational ecological forecasting is an emerging field that leverages ecological models in a new, cross-disciplinary way, using a real-time or nearly real-time climate forecast to project near-term ecosystem states. These applications give decision-makers lead time to anticipate and manage state changes that degrade ecosystem functions or directly impact humans. The Everglades Forecasting model (EverForecast) is an operational water stage forecast providing 6-month forecasts of daily projected, spatially continuous stage values across the Water Conservation Areas, Big Cypress National Preserve, Everglades National Park, Big Cypress Seminole Indian Reservation, and Miccosukee Federal Indian Reservation and Leased...
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