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A simple dynamic model (CBUDGET) was developed to quantify long-term carbon (C) dynamics in croplands. By using independent datasets (on continuous wheat) from the Waite Permanent Rotation Trial (Australia) and from Northwest Ohio, the tests of its performance resulted in R2 values of 0.85 and 0.80, respectively, between observed and simulated values. Our model suggests that the rate of residual C addition into the soil is the primary factor that controls soil organic carbon (SOC) storage for Ohio croplands under continuous corn, wheat and oats for the period 1866–1996 and continuous soybean for the period of 1924–1996. The interaction of CO2-fertilization and a temperature increase of 0.5°C decreased mean SOC levels...
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As the evidence of global climate change continues to mount, its consequences for cropland productivity assume particular significance. Against the backdrop of past agricultural practices, simulation models offer a glimpse into the future, showing the effect of temperature changes on crop production. In this study, we first quantified the carbon (C) and nitrogen (N) budgets of Ohio’s cropland ecosystems using inventory yield data of corn for grain, oat, and all wheat for the period 1866–1996 and soybean for the period 1924–96. Then we explored the responses of Ohio’s continuous soybean croplands to changes in temperature, carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration, initial soil organic C and N (SOC-N) pools, soil texture,...
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