|
|
This downloadable PDF research feature summarizes the Pacific Islands Climate Science Center-supported project "Climate Change Research in Support of Hawaiian Ecosystem Management: An Integrated Approach". The key goals of this project were 1) to understand how changes in the Earth’s future climate system will affect the frequency and severity of extreme weather events in Hawai`i, 2) to support studies of the ecological impacts of climate change on native Hawaiian plants and animals and 3) to provide information needed by natural resource managers charged with preserving native biodiversity.
|
This final report summarizes the project’s major accomplishments in research, training and product development. We have accomplished our primary goals of this project. With our research we contribute significant new information to the monitoring and assessment of ongoing climatic changes in Hawai‘i. Over the last decades the general trends in the wet season rainfall was negative and given the modeled climate scenarios from CMIP3 and CMIP5, it is very likely these trends are going to continue in the 21st century. In this research project, we improved the spatial information content of our statistical downscaling method through the introduction of the Rainfall Atlas of Hawai‘i station data sets and the use of improved...
|
Abstract (from http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.13005/abstract): Isolation of the Hawaiian archipelago produced a highly endemic and unique avifauna. Avian malaria ( Plasmodium relictum), an introduced mosquito-borne pathogen, is a primary cause of extinctions and declines of these endemic honeycreepers. Our research assesses how global climate change will affect future malaria risk and native bird populations. We used an epidemiological model to evaluate future bird–mosquito–malaria dynamics in response to alternative climate projections from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project. Climate changes during the second half of the century accelerate malaria transmission and cause a dramatic decline...
|
Publication titled “​Statistical downscaling of rainfall changes in Hawai‘i based on the CMIP5 global model projections”
|
Future projections of temperature change scenarios Downscaling of Temperature Changes for the Hawaiian Islands using CMIP5 Model Scenarios (delta-t)The goal of this downscaling project was to develop an ensemble of future temperature change maps for the main Hawaiian Islands. At the time of this study, we did not have a sufficient number of station-based temperature data to achieve a good representation of the spatial structure of observed temperature variability and trends. Thus it was difficult apply traditional statistical downscaling methods for the purpose of filling in detailed spatial information for future temperature change scenarios. Instead of using the observation-based statistical downscaling this...
|
View more...
|
