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Integrating ecological forecasting methods to improve applications for natural resource management: An invasive species example


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Projecting the effects of climate change on plant and animal species distributions and abundance is critical to successful long‐term conservation and restoration efforts. There have been significant recent advances made in the areas of: (1) climate forecasts; (2) habitat niche modeling; (3) mechanistic modeling; and (4) observation techniques and networks. However, projections of biological change are fundamentally limited by a lack of integration and inter‐comparison between these various forecasting approaches. The proposed working group will focus on integrating ecological forecasting methods for two well studied invasive species: cheatgrass (Bromus tectorum) and gypsy moth (Lymantria dispar). Our goal is to produce robust, spatially [...]

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cheatgrass_surrounding_cactus.JPG thumbnail 1.55 MB image/jpeg
cheatgrass_invasion.jpg thumbnail 548 KB image/jpeg
cheat_burned.jpg thumbnail 998.34 KB image/jpeg

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  • John Wesley Powell Center for Analysis and Synthesis



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