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Past and ongoing shifts in Joshua tree distribution support future modeled range contraction

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Past and ongoing shifts in Joshua tree distribution support future modeled range contraction; 2011; Article; Journal; Ecological Applications; Cole, Kenneth L.; Ironside, Kirsten; Eischeid, Jon; Garfin, Gregg; Duffy, Phil B.; Toney, Chris

Summary

The future distribution of the Joshua tree (Yucca brevifolia) is projected by combining a geostatistical analysis of 20th-century climates over its current range, future modeled climates, and paleoecological data showing its response to a past similar climate change. As climate rapidly warmed ;11 700 years ago, the range of Joshua tree contracted, leaving only the populations near what had been its northernmost limit. Its ability to spread northward into new suitable habitats after this time may have been inhibited by the somewhat earlier extinction of megafaunal dispersers, especially the Shasta ground sloth. We applied a model of climate suitability for Joshua tree, developed from its 20th-century range and climates, to future climates [...]

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Type Scheme Key
local-index unknown 70034093
local-pk unknown 70034093
doi http://www.loc.gov/standards/mods/mods-outline-3-5.html#identifier doi:10.1890/09-1800.1
series unknown Ecological Applications

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journalEcological Applications
parts
typevolume
value21
typeissue
value1
typePublication Place
valueIthaca, NY
languageEnglish
citationTypeArticle

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