Skip to main content
USGS - science for a changing world

Dates

Year
1972

Citation

Sailor, V.L., 1972, The United States energy crisis: Supply and demand: Brookhaven National Laboratory, 44 p.

Summary

This paper investigates the potential for systematic errors in the Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) widely used Annual Energy Outlook, focusing on the near- to midterm projections of energy demand. Based on analysis of the EIA’s 22-year projection record, we find a fairly modest but persistent tendency to underestimate total energy demand by an average of 2 percent per year after controlling for projection errors in gross domestic product, oil prices, and heating/cooling degree days. For 14 individual fuels/consuming sectors routinely reported by the EIA, we observe a great deal of directional consistency in the errors over time, ranging up to 7 percent per year. Electric utility renewables, electric utility natural gas, transportation [...]

Contacts

Communities

  • Western Energy Citation Clearinghouse

Tags

Additional Information

Identifiers

Type Scheme Key
DOI WECC []
Report Number WECC BNL-17280

WECC Extension

places
nameUpton, NY
typePublication City

Citation Extension

parts
typePages
value44
citationTypeReport

Item Actions

View Item as ...

Save Item as ...