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Use of medium-range numerical weather prediction model output to produce forecasts of streamflow

Dates

Year
2004

Citation

Clark, M P, and Hay, L E, 2004, Use of medium-range numerical weather prediction model output to produce forecasts of streamflow: United States Geological Survey, p. 15-32.

Summary

This paper examines an archive containing over 40 years of 8-day atmospheric forecasts over the contiguous United States from the NCEP reanalysis project to assess the possibilities for using medium-range numerical weather prediction model output for predictions of streamflow. This analysis shows the biases in the NCEP forecasts to be quite extreme. In many regions, systematic precipitation biases exceed 100% of the mean, with temperature biases exceeding 3??C. In some locations, biases are even higher. The accuracy of NCEP precipitation and 2-m maximum temperature forecasts is computed by interpolating the NCEP model output for each forecast day to the location of each station in the NWS cooperative network and computing the correlation [...]

Contacts

Communities

  • USGS National Research Program

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Provenance

Added to ScienceBase on Fri Apr 19 13:10:51 MDT 2013 by processing file <b>Former Project Precipitation-Runoff Modeling of Watershed Systems.xml</b> in item <a href="https://www.sciencebase.gov/catalog/item/5142425be4b0eefcba209004">https://www.sciencebase.gov/catalog/item/5142425be4b0eefcba209004</a>

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value15-32
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