1) Illustrate the possible responses of vegetation to climate change using two statistically based species distribution models (Matrueent and BRT) and a dynamic global vegetation model (MC1; with and without response to CO2) and four GCM/emission scenario combinations; 2) Compare and contrast model output across two landscapes, one in eastern Oregon and one in northern Arizona; 3) Specifically discuss issues of uncertainty; and 4) Etrueamine results in terms of conservation and implications for adaptation options for land managers.
Project Extension
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Objectives
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1) Illustrate the possible responses of vegetation to climate change using two statistically based species distribution models (Maxent and BRT) and a dynamic global vegetation model (MC1; with and without response to CO2) and four GCM/emission scenario combinations; 2) Compare and contrast model output across two landscapes, one in eastern Oregon and one in northern Arizona; 3) Specifically discuss issues of uncertainty; and 4) Examine results in terms of conservation and implications for adaptation options for land managers.