We will develop tools for managers in all watersheds of the Southern Rockies Landscape Conservation Cooperative to project the effects of climate change on soil water conditions and help them develop appropriate strategies to mitigate negative climate impacts. The overall goal of this project is (1) to develop a spatially-explicit soil vulnerability index for the Southern Rockies Landscape Conservation Cooperative that can be used to forecast the short-term response of plants to current drought conditions and test a vegetation model hindcast of plant response to drought; (2) to compare and contrast the current vulnerability index with projections of vegetation dieback under future climate change scenarios and provide some warning about [...]
Summary
We will develop tools for managers in all watersheds of the Southern Rockies Landscape Conservation Cooperative to project the effects of climate change on soil water conditions and help them develop appropriate strategies to mitigate negative climate impacts. The overall goal of this project is (1) to develop a spatially-explicit soil vulnerability index for the Southern Rockies Landscape Conservation Cooperative that can be used to forecast the short-term response of plants to current drought conditions and test a vegetation model hindcast of plant response to drought; (2) to compare and contrast the current vulnerability index with projections of vegetation dieback under future climate change scenarios and provide some warning about areas that are still currently protected by current plant cover but where future vegetation shifts may increase soil vulnerability, thus enabling preliminary estimates of the future location of vegetation dieback and potential aeolian dust sources.