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Burn Probability for Fireline Intensity Class 4, predicted for 2050 to 2070 for Rio Grande study area

Summary

Burn probability (BP) for Fireline Intensity Class 4 (FIL4) with flame lengths in the range of 1.8-2.4 m predicted for the 2050-2070 period in the Rio Grande area. This raster dataset was generated using: 1) data developed from the 2014 Fire Program Analysis (FPA) system; 2) geospatial Fire Simulation (FSim) system developed by the US Forest Service Missoula Fire Sciences Laboratory to estimate probabilistic components of wildfire risk (Finney et al. 2011); and 3) climate predictions developed using the Multivariate Adaptive Constructed Analogs (MACA) method (Abatzoglou and Brown 2011) which downscaled model output from the GFDL-ESM-2m global climate model of the Coupled Model Inter-Comparison Project 5 for the 8.5 Representative Concentration [...]

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  • LC MAP - Landscape Conservation Management and Analysis Portal
  • Southern Rockies Landscape Conservation Cooperative

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