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Burn Probability predicted for 2080 to 2100 for Rio Grande study area

Summary

Burn probability (BP) raster dataset predicted for the 2080-2100 period in the Rio Grande area was generated using: 1) data developed from the 2014 Fire Program Analysis (FPA) system; 2) geospatial Fire Simulation (FSim) system developed by the US Forest Service Missoula Fire Sciences Laboratory to estimate probabilistic components of wildfire risk (Finney et al. 2011); and 3) climate predictions developed using the Multivariate Adaptive Constructed Analogs (MACA) method (Abatzoglou and Brown 2011) which downscaled model output from the GFDL-ESM-2m global climate model of the Coupled Model Inter-Comparison Project 5 for the 8.5 Representative Concentration Pathway.

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  • LC MAP - Landscape Conservation Management and Analysis Portal
  • Southern Rockies Landscape Conservation Cooperative

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