Skip to main content
USGS - science for a changing world

Warming experiments underpredict plant phenological responses to climate change

Dates

Publication Date

Citation

Elizabeth M. Wolkovich, Benjamin I. Cook, Jenica M. Allen, Theresa M. Crimmins, Julio L. Betancourt, Steven E. Travers, Stephanie Pau, James Regetz, T. Jonathan Davies, Nathan J.B. Kraft, Toby R. Ault, Kjell Bolmgren, Susan J. Mazer, Gregory J. McCabe, Brian J. McGill, Camille Parmesan, Nicolas Salamin, Mark D. Schwartz, and Elsa E. Cleland, 2012, Warming experiments underpredict plant phenological responses to climate change: Nature.

Summary

Warming experiments are increasingly relied on to estimate plant responses to global climate change. For experiments to provide meaningful predictions of future responses, they should reflect the empirical record of responses to temperature variability and recent warming, including advances in the timing of flowering and leafing. We compared phenology (the timing of recurring life history events) in observational studies and warming experiments spanning four continents and 1,634 plant species using a common measure of temperature sensitivity (change in days per degree Celsius). We show that warming experiments underpredict advances in the timing of flowering and leafing by 8.5-fold and 4.0-fold, respectively, compared with long-term [...]

Contacts

Attached Files

Click on title to download individual files attached to this item.

metadata3001839621562943713.xml
Potential Metadata Source

View
3.61 KB
Thumbnail
Thumbnail

Tags

Categories
Publication
Types

Provenance

Data source
Harvester
Harvested on Wed Sep 30 04:19:09 MDT 2015 from MODS XML Service

Additional Information

Identifiers

Type Scheme Key
local-index unknown 70156907
local-pk unknown 70156907
doi http://www.loc.gov/standards/mods/mods-outline-3-5.html#identifier doi:10.1038/nature11014
series unknown Nature

Citation Extension

journalNature
languageEnglish
citationTypeArticle

Item Actions

View Item as ...

Save Item as ...

View Item...