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Spring plant phenology and false springs in the conterminous US during the 21st century

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Allstadt, A.J., Vavrus, S.J., Heglund, P.J., Pidgeon, A.M., Thogmartin, W.E., Radeloff, V.C. 2015. Spring plant phenology and false springs in the conterminous US during the 21st century. Environmental Research Letters. 104008. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/10/10/104008.

Summary

The onset of spring plant growth has shifted earlier in the year over the past several decades due to rising global temperatures. Earlier spring onset may cause phenological mismatches between the availability of plant resources and dependent animals, and potentially lead to more false springs, when subsequent freezing temperatures damage new plant growth. We used the extended spring indices to project changes in spring onset, defined by leaf out and by first bloom, and predicted false springs until 2100 in the conterminous United States (US) using statistically-downscaled climate projections from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 ensemble. Averaged over our study region, the median shift in spring onset was 23 days earlier [...]

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Harvested on Thu Jun 30 04:22:06 MDT 2016 from MODS XML Service

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Type Scheme Key
local-index unknown 70159433
local-pk unknown 70159433
doi http://www.loc.gov/standards/mods/mods-outline-3-5.html#identifier doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/10/104008
series unknown Geophysical Research Letters

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journalGeophysical Research Letters
parts
typevolume
value10
typeissue
value10
languageEnglish
citationTypeArticle

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