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The nature of earthquake prediction

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Citation

A.G. Lindh, 1991, The nature of earthquake prediction: Earthquakes & Volcanoes (USGS), v. 22, iss. 3.

Summary

Earthquake prediction is inherently statistical. Although some people continue to think of earthquake prediction as the specification of the time, place, and magnitude of a future earthquake, it has been clear for at least a decade that this is an unrealistic and unreasonable definition. the reality is that earthquake prediction starts from the long-term forecasts of place and magnitude, with very approximate time constraints, and progresses, at least in principle, to a gradual narrowing of the time window as data and understanding permit. Primitive long-term forecasts are clearly possible at this time on a few well-characterized fault systems. Tightly focuses monitoring experiments aimed at short-term prediction are already underway [...]

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Author :
A.G. Lindh
Publisher :
U.S Geological Survey

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Type Scheme Key
local-index unknown 70168527
local-pk unknown 70168527
series unknown Earthquakes & Volcanoes (USGS)

Citation Extension

journalEarthquakes & Volcanoes (USGS)
parts
typevolume
value22
typeissue
value3
languageEnglish
citationTypeArticle

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