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Using expert judgments to explore robust alternatives for forest management under climate change

Dates

Year
2012

Citation

McDaniels, Timothy, Mills, Tamsin, Gregory, Robin, and Ohlson, Dan, 2012, Using expert judgments to explore robust alternatives for forest management under climate change: Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis, v. 32, no. 12, p. 2098-2112.

Summary

We develop and apply a judgment-based approach to selecting robust alternatives, which are defined here as reasonably likely to achieve objectives, over a range of uncertainties. The intent is to develop an approach that is more practical in terms of data and analysis requirements than current approaches, informed by the literature and experience with probability elicitation and judgmental forecasting. The context involves decisions about managing forest lands that have been severely affected by mountain pine beetles in British Columbia, a pest infestation that is climate-exacerbated. A forest management decision was developed as the basis for the context, objectives, and alternatives for land management actions, to frame and condition [...]

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End Note
Reference Item
6127 records
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NWBLCC-20160503-Saved.xml

Additional Information

Identifiers

Type Scheme Key
DOI http://sciencebase.gov/vocab/identifierScheme 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2012.01822.x

Citation Extension

journalRisk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis
parts
typeNotes
value7545
typePages
value2098-2112
typeVolume
value32
typeNumber
value12
citationTypeJournal Article

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