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Climate Change Forecasts for the Sagebrush Biome

Summary

Climate change projections for the sagebrush biome developed for the Science framework for conservation and restoration of the sagebrush biome: Linking the Department of the Interior’s Integrated Rangeland Fire Management Strategy to long-term strategic conservation actions. Future climate projections are based on Global Circulation Models and depend on the models, CO2 emissions scenarios, and time frames used in the models (IPCC 2014). To forecast climate change for the sagebrush biome, 11 general circulation models (GCMs) and two representative concentration pathways (RCPs) for CO2 emissions, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, were used. The two time frames compared near-term (2020-2050) and long-term (2020-2100) projections relative to the recent [...]

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