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Balancing Water Usage and Ecosystem Outcomes Under Drought and Climate Change: Enhancing an Optimization Model for the Red River

A South Central CSC FY 2017 Funding Opportunity Project
Principal Investigator
Thomas Neeson

Dates

Start Date
2017-10-01
End Date
2020-08-31
Release Date
2017

Summary

Hydrologic drought and declining water availability are among the foremost stressors of stream ecosystems in the Red River basin. Resource managers face the challenge of apportioning scarce water resources among competing uses, but they lack a systematic framework for comparing the costs and benefits of proposed water management decisions and conservation actions. In 2016, Co-PIs Neeson and Moreno were funded by the Great Plains LCC to develop a decision support model for identifying the most cost-effective water conservation alternatives across the Red River basin. Here, we propose to extend this optimization model in three significant ways to support cost-effective conservation decisions in the face of climate change and drought. [...]

Child Items (3)

Contacts

Principal Investigator :
Thomas Neeson
Co-Investigator :
Hernan Moreno, Hamed Zamani Sabzi
Funding Agency :
South Central CSC
CMS Group :
Climate Adaptation Science Centers (CASC) Program

Attached Files

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Project Extension

parts
typeTechnical Summary
valueResource managers in the Red River basin face the challenge of apportioning scarce water resources among competing uses, but they lack a systematic framework for comparing the costs and benefits of proposed water management decisions and conservation actions. Since 2016, our project team has been developing a decision support model for identifying the most cost-effective water conservation alternatives across the basin. Here, we propose to extend this decision model in three significant ways to support cost-effective conservation decisions in the face of climate change and drought. First, we will incorporate SC-CSC predictions of rainfall, runoff, and stream flows through the year 2099 into our hydrologic database. Second, we will estimate the future distributions of 28 native fish species of conservation concern across the Red River under multiple future climate drought scenarios. Third, we will extend our optimization model to enable decision-makers to explicitly quantify trade-offs between competing water uses and ecological outcomes under multiple climate and drought scenarios. In doing so, our decision support model will provide resource managers with a means to identify conservation strategies that maximize outcomes for Great Plains stream ecosystems while meeting growing societal needs for water. We will work closely with partners and stakeholders to design end-products that best meet their needs, ranging from stand-alone lists of priority projects to stakeholder-led participatory modeling of multiple water use and conservation scenarios.
projectStatusCompleted

Budget Extension

annualBudgets
year2017
totalFunds121451.0
year2018
totalFunds91281.0
totalFunds212732.0

Lake Texoma, Eric Turner
Lake Texoma, Eric Turner

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Spatial Services

ScienceBase WMS

Communities

  • National and Regional Climate Adaptation Science Centers
  • South Central CASC

Tags

Provenance

Additional Information

Identifiers

Type Scheme Key
RegistrationUUID NCCWSC 7263ecce-beb3-4218-881a-85204955e7d1
StampID NCCWSC SC17-NT0965

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