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Multiple methods for multiple futures: Integrating qualitative scenario planning and quantitative simulation modeling for natural resource decision making

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Citation

Symstad, A.J., N.A. Fisichelli, B.W. Miller, E. Rowland, and G.W. Schuurman. 2017. Climate Risk Management, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2017.07.002.

Summary

Scenario planning helps managers incorporate climate change into their natural resource decision making through a structured “what-if” process of identifying key uncertainties and potential impacts and responses. Although qualitative scenarios, in which ecosystem responses to climate change are derived via expert opinion, often suffice for managers to begin addressing climate change in their planning, this approach may face limits in resolving the responses of complex systems to altered climate conditions. In addition, this approach may fall short of the scientific credibility managers often require to take actions that differ from current practice. Quantitative simulation modeling of ecosystem response to climate conditions and management [...]

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Communities

  • National and Regional Climate Adaptation Science Centers
  • North Central CASC
  • Northern Prairie Wildlife Research Center

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Type Scheme Key
local-index unknown 70189995
local-pk unknown 70189995
doi http://www.loc.gov/standards/mods/mods-outline-3-5.html#identifier doi:10.1016/j.crm.2017.07.002
series unknown Climate Risk Management

Citation Extension

journalClimate Risk Management
parts
typevolume
value17
languageEnglish
citationTypeArticle

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