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Improving predictions of tropical forest response to climate change through integration of field studies and ecosystem modeling

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Feng, X., Uriarte, M., González, G., Reed, S., Thmpson, J., Zimmerman, J.K., and Murphy, L. Improving predictions of tropical forest response to climate change through integration of field studies and ecosystem modeling. Glob Change Biol. 2017;00:1–20. doi:10.1111/gcb.13863

Summary

Abstract Tropical forests play a critical role in carbon and water cycles at a global scale. Rapid climate change is anticipated in tropical regions over the coming decades and, under a warmer and drier climate, tropical forests are likely to be net sources of carbon rather than sinks. However, our understanding of tropical forest response and feedback to climate change is very limited. Efforts to model climate change impacts on carbon fluxes in tropical forests have not reached a consensus. Here, we use the Ecosystem Demography model (ED2) to predict carbon fluxes of a Puerto Rican tropical forest under realistic climate change scenarios. We parameterized ED2 with species-specific tree physiological data using the Predictive Ecosystem [...]

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Figure 5. Model predicted productivity and respiration fluxes.JPG
“Model predicted productivity and respiration fluxes. (a) GPP, NPP, and NEP under”
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  • John Wesley Powell Center for Analysis and Synthesis

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DOI https://www.sciencebase.gov/vocab/category/item/identifier 10.1111/gcb.13863

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noteFeng, X., Uriarte, M., González, G., Reed, S., Thmpson, J., Zimmerman, J.K., and Murphy, L. Improving predictions of tropical forest response to climate change through integration of field studies and ecosystem modeling. Glob Change Biol. 2017;00:1–20. doi:10.1111/gcb.13863

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