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Near-term Climate Projections to Inform Adaptation in the Hawaiian Islands

Projecting near-term climate variability and change for the main Hawaiian Islands to provide actionable climate information to resource managers and decision makers

Dates

Start Date
2018-01-01
End Date
2021-05-12
Release Date
2017

Summary

Land, water, and natural resource managers and planners across Hawai’i are tasked with making important decisions about the state’s future. Reliable projections of Hawaiʻi's climate are needed to inform these decisions. This project aims to provide this needed scientific information to resource managers by improving estimates of Hawaiʻi’s near-term climate for the coming years and decades. The goal of this project is to develop very high-resolution climate projections for the Hawaiian Islands over the period from 2010 to 2039. This timeframe is novel. Most climate projections for Hawai’i are for the end of the century. In contrast, the timeframe of this study is “now”, which has intuitive relevance to resource managers. Also, this [...]

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AkakaFalls_WetForest_HawaiiIsland_SarahNash_crop.jpg
“Akaka Falls, Hawai'i; Credit: Sarah Nash”
thumbnail 152.79 KB image/jpeg

Purpose

Estimating how near-term climate is going to develop in the coming years and decades is crucial for developing useful adaptation strategies for resource management in Hawai‘i. The objectives of this study are to (1) combine statistical and dynamical downscaling methodologies to improve understanding of decadal scale climate variability in Hawai‘i over period 2010-2039; (2) develop projections of rainfall and temperature variability and change in the Hawaiian Islands over the period 2010-2039; and (3) use historical and projected future climate variability to estimate the probability of exceeding thresholds relevant to resource management planning and operations.

Project Extension

projectStatusCompleted

Budget Extension

annualBudgets
year2017
totalFunds137782.0
year2018
totalFunds111983.0
parts
typeAward Type
valueCooperative Agreement
typeAward Number
valueG18AC00021
totalFunds249765.0

Akaka Falls, Hawai'i; Credit: Sarah Nash
Akaka Falls, Hawai'i; Credit: Sarah Nash

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ScienceBase WMS

Communities

  • National and Regional Climate Adaptation Science Centers
  • Pacific Islands CASC

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