Projections of Future Water Demand for the Western USA
Dates
Publication Date
2019-04-01
Time Period
2050-01-01
Time Period
2100-01-01
Citation
Kreitler, J., and Lowe, S.E., 2019, Projections of Future Water Demand for the Western USA: U.S. Geological Survey data release, https://doi.org/10.5066/P9G3S6SO.
Summary
This data release contains projections of future water demand for the Western USA at the county level. This data is part of the project "Changes to Watershed Vulnerability under Future Climates, Fire Regimes, and Population Pressures" (https://www.sciencebase.gov/catalog/item/531dc54de4b04cb293ee7806), and is the product of an analysis that determined where populations are changing, and how that change could affect residential and agricultural water withdraws from surface and ground water. Agricultural water use was derived from the Cropland Data Layer (CDL) of the National Agricultural Statistics Service, while residential water use was drawn from the USGS (Maupin et al. 2014). The scenarios follow four Intergovernmental Panel on [...]
Summary
This data release contains projections of future water demand for the Western USA at the county level. This data is part of the project "Changes to Watershed Vulnerability under Future Climates, Fire Regimes, and Population Pressures" (https://www.sciencebase.gov/catalog/item/531dc54de4b04cb293ee7806), and is the product of an analysis that determined where populations are changing, and how that change could affect residential and agricultural water withdraws from surface and ground water. Agricultural water use was derived from the Cropland Data Layer (CDL) of the National Agricultural Statistics Service, while residential water use was drawn from the USGS (Maupin et al. 2014). The scenarios follow four Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Special Report on Emission Scenario (IPCC SRES) storylines (A1, A2, B1, B2) and project changes for the periods ending in 2050 and 2100. Integrated Climate and Land Use (ICLUS) Data from Bierwagen et al. (2010) was used to project population change according to the SRES storylines. By using the same storylines, coherent coupled scenarios can be assessed that are the product of both changing populations and future climates.
Bierwagen, B. G., Theobald, D. M., Pyke, C. R., Choate, A., Groth, P., Thomas, J. V., & Morefield, P. (2010). National housing and impervious surface scenarios for integrated climate impact assessments. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 107(49), 20887-20892.
Maupin, M. A., Kenny, J. F., Hutson, S. S., Lovelace, J. K., Barber, N. L., & Linsey, K. S. (2014). Estimated use of water in the United States in 2010 (No. 1405). US Geological Survey.
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Projections_of_Future_Water_Demand_for_the_Western_USA.xml Original FGDC Metadata
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WaterDemandDataForRelease.csv
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Purpose
The modeling in this task is the result of the integration of three different datasets: 1) housing density and population changes, 2) land use changes, and 3) observed water-use intensities and sources (ground vs. surface). The result of this integration is a dataset that presents the projected changes in agricultural and residential water demand under different climate change storylines and across different time horizons.
