Projected changes in shrub tundra by ecological sub-region. Projected active layer thickness and depth of seasonal thaw. Darker brown colors indicate deeper active layer depths (m). Thermokarst predisposition based on topography and soil ice content. Lows 10% and below, Highs 95% and above. Current distribution of the coastal plain moist tundra CE in the North Slope study area. Length of growing season (LOGS) for current and long-term future and change in LOGS clipped to the coastal plain moist tundra and wetlands CE distributions in the North Slope study area. Landscape condition modeled for current condition and two development scenarios, medium and high, clipped to the distribution of coastal plain moist tundra in the North Slope [...]
