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Piping plover adult and natal survival dispersal probabilities in the Northern Great Plains, USA 2014-2019

Dates

Publication Date
Start Date
2014
End Date
2019

Citation

Swift, R.J., Anteau, M.J., Ellis, K.S., Ring, M.M., Sherfy, M.H., Toy, D.L., and Koons, D.N., 2020, Spatial variation in population dynamics of Northern Great Plains piping plovers, 2014–2019: U.S. Geological Survey data release, https://doi.org/10.5066/P96PSOBQ.

Summary

We present two tabular data sets representing values to estimate apparent natal and adult survival and transition probabilities between breeding location states used in a multievent capture-mark-resight model for piping plover adults and hatch year birds in the Northern Great Plains from 2014-2019 focusing on four study areas: U.S. Alkali Wetlands (ALK), Lake Sakakawea (SAK), Garrison Reach of the Missouri River (GRR), and Lake Oahe (OAH). In addition, several covariates were included representing habitat and social variables.

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Attached Files

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AdultSurvivalDispersalProbabilities.txt 524.73 KB text/plain
NatalSurvivalDispersalProbabilities.txt 134.41 KB text/plain

Purpose

Based on previous studies, managers assumed a metapopulation structure consisting of four breeding groups with low, balanced dispersal for the federally listed Northern Great Plains piping plover (Charadrius melodus), which resulted in low extinction risk in a simulation-based viability study (McGowan et al. 2014). Data were obtained to examine survival and dispersal probabilities among two of the four breeding groups listed in the McGowan study (U.S. Alkali Wetlands and Northern Missouri River) as part of an overall assessment of the connectivity and movement rates of Northern Great Plains piping plovers. McGowan, C.P., Catlin, D.H., Shaffer, T.L., Gratto-Trevor, C.L., and Aron, C., 2014, Establishing endangered species recovery criteria using predictive simulation modeling: Biological Conservation, v. 177, p. 220–229.

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