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Influence of Subseasonal-to-Annual Water Supply Forecasts on Many-Objective Water System Robustness under Long-Term Change

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Kyla Semmendinger, Ph.D, and Scott Steinschneider, Ph.D., 2024-02-23, Influence of Subseasonal-to-Annual Water Supply Forecasts on Many-Objective Water System Robustness under Long-Term Change: Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, v. 150, no. 5.

Summary

The sensitivity of forecast-informed reservoir operating policies to forecast attributes (lead-time and skill) in many-objective water systems has been well-established. However, the viability of forecast-informed operations as a climate change adaptation strategy remains underexplored, especially in many-objective systems with complex trade-offs across interests. Little is known about the relationships between forecast attribute and policy robustness under deep uncertainty in future conditions and the relationships between forecast-informed performance and future hydrologic state. This study explores the sensitivity of forecast-informed policy robustness to forecast lead-time and skill in the outflow management plan of the Lake Ontario [...]

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  • National and Regional Climate Adaptation Science Centers
  • Northeast CASC

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citationTypeJournal Article
journalJournal of Water Resources Planning and Management
parts
typeDOI
valuehttps://doi.org/10.1061/JWRMD5.WRENG-6205
typeVolume
value150
typeNumber
value5

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