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Warming temperatures can exacerbate forest drought stress, reducing defenses to bark beetle outbreaks, wildfire, and tree diseases. Concern about losses within the forests of the Navajo Nation due to these stressors led to a partnership between the Navajo Forestry Department and a diverse group of scientists to assess the vulnerability of Navajo forests to climate change and develop strategies to promote forest resilience to drought and extreme fire behavior. Here we speak with Principal Investigator Dr. Margaret Evans, and forestry consultant Jaime Yazzie, to learn more about this project.
Categories: Publication; Types: Citation
Forests in the western US are increasingly impacted by climate change. Warm, dry conditions associated with climate change both increases fire activity in western forests and make it more difficult for forests to recover after wildfires. If forests fail to recover, they may shift to non-forest ecosystems like grasslands or shrublands. It is important to understand where fires may result in the loss of forests because forests provide a variety of ecosystem services, including carbon storage, water regulation and supply, and biodiversity. Western forests are also integral for the timber industry and valued for their recreation opportunities, which can also support local economies. The goal of this project is to identify...
Categories: Publication; Types: Citation
Stocking is routinely used to supplement or maintain fisheries when natural recruitment is low or nonexistent. Demand for stocking of cool and coldwater fish species will likely increase because of climate change. Fish available for stocking are often a limited resource, and application of stocking may need to be more strategic in the future. We evaluated factors influencing stocking success for Walleye, a coolwater species supporting important fisheries across North America. Stocking is already used to support or maintain many Walleye fisheries, and Walleye populations have already declined due to climate change, resulting in increased demand for stocked fish. In partnership with state natural resources agencies,...
Categories: Publication; Types: Citation
The Climate Change Vulnerability Index (CCVI) uses a scoring system that integrates a species’ exposure to projected climate change within an assessment area, including sea level rise, and three sets of factors associated with climate change sensitivity, each supported by published studies: 1) species-specific sensitivity and adaptive capacity factors, 2) threat multipliers such as barriers to dispersal and anthropogenic threats, and 3) documented and modeled responses to climate change. Assessing species with the CCVI facilitates grouping unrelated taxa by their relative risk to climate change as well as identifying patterns of climate stressors that affect multiple taxa.
Climate-change refugia – locations likely to facilitate species persistence under climate change – are increasingly important components of conservation planning. Recent approaches for identifying refugia at broad scales include identifying regions that are projected to experience less severe changes (climatic exposure), that contain a diversity of physical and topographic features (environmental diversity), and that either retain or remain close to suitable climatic conditions (climate tracking, including both “species-neutral” and species-based approaches). We compared the degree of agreement between these approaches – with respect to their spatial coverage and other characteristics – across much of North America....
Categories: Publication; Types: Citation
The goal of this project was to support efforts by the Blackfeet Nation in Montana to manage their lands in ways that promote climate and cultural resilience and improve grassland and soil health. One strategy for building such resilience is to utilize strategic management of grasslands and grazing activities as a “natural climate solution”. This includes the restoration of free-ranging bison to grassland landscapes and the management of livestock in ways that approximate wild bison grazing behavior, as well as other practices that can support revitalized and resilient grassland ecosystems. To support strategic grassland and grazing management decisions on Blackfeet lands, we synthesized information on bison and...
Categories: Publication; Types: Citation, Report
On July 8, 2022, loko iʻa (fishpond) stewardship practitioners across Oʻahu came together at Waikalua Loko Iʻa for a discussion about environmental DNA (eDNA) to learn about how this tool is put into practice for biomonitoring and explore its potential in other places. The workshop was held as part of the Heʻeia National Estuarine Research Reserve (NERR) funded project, Effect of extreme tidal events as future sea-level rise scenarios on Heʻeia fish communities for ahupua‘a restoration (Award #G21AC10650-00 08/10/2021-08/09/2023) with partner organizations Kuaʻāina Ulu ʻAuamo (KUA), US Geological Survey (USGS), and Pacific Islands Climate Adaptation Science Center (PI-CASC). Participants were stewards of Oʻahu loko...
Categories: Publication; Types: Citation
The coastal wetlands on the island of Molokaʻi are highly degraded due to land use change, sedimentation from uplands, and invasive species. However, because much of the coastal areas along the south shore are not developed, there are many opportunities for wetland restoration. In this project, we identified 12 potential sites for coastal wetland restoration on Molokaʻi. To rank the sites for their potential to be fully functional coastal wetlands, we conducted a rapid assessment of soils, hydrology, native vegetation, and habitat quality for endangered birds. We used the rapid assessment information together with spatial data available on the soils, vegetation, and hydrology of coastal areas of Molokaʻi, sea-level...
Categories: Publication; Types: Citation
To understand the impacts of changing climate and wildfire activity on conifer forests, we studied how wildfire and seasonal post-fire climate conditions influence western larch (Larix occidentalis) regeneration across its range in the northwestern US. We destructively sampled 1651 seedlings from 57 sites within 32 fires that burned at moderate or high severity between 2000 and 2015, and which were within 100 m of reproductively mature western larch, were sampled in 2021 and 2022 (i.e. the fires burned between 2000-2015 and we sampled the sites 6-22 years postfire). Using dendrochronological methods, we estimated germination years of seedlings to calculate annual recruitment rates. We used boosted regression trees...


    map background search result map search result map Climate Change Vulnerability Index Release 4.0: Excel Workbook Data and code from: Western larch regeneration more sensitive to wildfire-related factors than seasonal climate variability Data and code from: Western larch regeneration more sensitive to wildfire-related factors than seasonal climate variability Climate Change Vulnerability Index Release 4.0: Excel Workbook