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Local-scale projections of coral reef futures and implications of the Paris Agreement These data are netcdf files of the projected timing of the onset of thermal stress severe enough (>8 Degree Heating Weeks) to cause coral bleaching 2x per decade and 10x per decade (annual) under emissions scenarios RCP8.5 and RCP4.5. The projected timing (a year between 2006 and 2100) is the data value. Values are only shown for the ~60,000 four-km pixels where coral reefs are known to occur. Categories: Data; Types: Citation, NetCDF OPeNDAP Service; Tags: Climate change, Coral bleaching, Coral reefs, Global, Marine ecology, All tags... Model projections, Pacific Islands CASC, Resilience, Sea-Level Rise and Coasts, Vulnerability, Water, Coasts and Ice, Fewer tags An Inventory of Climate Change Projects in select United States Affiliated Pacific Islands (Guam, Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands, Republic of Palau, the Federated States of Micronesia, and the Republic of the Marshall Islands) This report identifies needs and opportunities in the United States Affiliated Pacific Islands (USAPI) region relative to climate change science, management, and adaptation strategies. The region includes the territories of Guam and American Samoa, the Commonwealth of the Northern Marianas (CNMI), and the independent states of Palau, Federated States of Micronesia (FSM), and the Republic of the Marshall Islands (RMI). This inventory is responsive to the Pacific Islands Climate Science Center (PICSC) Strategic Science Agenda and its articulation with the region. Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: Pacific Islands CASC Predicted climate and avian malaria risk to Hawaiian honeycreepers on the Island of Hawaii from 2098-2100 This data set describes the predicted daily climate (temperature and rainfall) for low, mid, and high-elevations on Mona Loa, Island of Hawaii from 2098-2100. Climate predictions are based on 3 alternative climate scenarios (RCP 4.5, A1B, and RCP 8.5) - see Liao et al. 2015 for more details and climate references. The predicted daily risk of susceptible Hawaiian honeycreepers are based on the daily climate data, mosquito abundance and other factors. Also see Samuel et al. 2011 The dynamics, transmission, and population impacts of avian malaria in native Hawaiian birds: a modeling approach. Ecological Applications 21:2960-2973 for description of the epidemiological model used for avian malaria risk predictions. Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: Birds, Culex mosquitoes, Downscaled climate models, Hawaiian honeycreepers, Mona Loa, All tags... Pacific Islands CASC, Wildlife and Plants, avian malaria, epidemiological model, Fewer tags Important links for Black bear, Rafinesque's big-eared bat, and timber rattlesnake This data set contains links that are important to each species' habitat network. Those important links are scored based on the percent currently under protection status, projected change in climate suitability by the middle of the 21st century, and projected change in percent urbanized by the middle of the 21st century. Important links were identified from all links in the networks of each species based on their Integral Index of Connectivity (dIIC). Any links with dIIC scores > 0.9 or which connected to nodes with dIIC > 0.9 were retained here as "important" links. Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Downloadable, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, Shapefile; Tags: Forests, Landscapes, Southeast CASC, climate change, habitat connectivity, All tags... protection status, urbanization, Fewer tags Hydrological Analysis of Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem Montane Meadow Condition using MODIS data Locating meadow study sitesMeadow centers as recorded in the ‘Copy of sitecords_areaelev from Caruthers thesis.xls’ file delivered by Debinski in November 2012 were matched to polygons as recorded in files ‘teton97map_area.shp’ and ‘gallatin97map_area.shp’ both also delivered by Debinski in November 2012.In cases where the meadow center did not fall within a meadow polygon, if there was a meadow polygon of the same meadow TYPE nearby (judgment was used here), the meadow center was matched with the meadow polygon of same meadow TYPE. In total, 29 of 30 Gallatin meadow sites and 21 of 25 Teton meadow sites were positively located.Identifying meadow pixels for analysisThe native MODIS 250-meter grid was reprojected... Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem, MODIS, NDVI, North Central CASC, Plants, All tags... Wildlife and Plants, biota, meadow, Fewer tags An analysis of montane meadow drying in the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem using remotely sensed NDVI from the MODIS period of record (lsp metrics) Locating meadow study sitesMeadow centers as recorded in the ‘Copy of sitecords_areaelev from Caruthers thesis.xls’ file delivered by Debinski in November 2012 were matched to polygons as recorded in files ‘teton97map_area.shp’ and ‘gallatin97map_area.shp’ both also delivered by Debinski in November 2012.In cases where the meadow center did not fall within a meadow polygon, if there was a meadow polygon of the same meadow TYPE nearby (judgment was used here), the meadow center was matched with the meadow polygon of same meadow TYPE. In total, 29 of 30 Gallatin meadow sites and 21 of 25 Teton meadow sites were positively located.Identifying meadow pixels for analysisThe native MODIS 250-meter grid was reprojected... Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem, MODIS, MODIS NDVI, North Central CASC, Plants, All tags... Wildlife and Plants, biota, meadow, Fewer tags Charles M. Russell National Wildlife Refuge Spot Landcover Classification in Relation to Greater Sage Grouse This landcover raster was generated through a Random Forest predictive model developed in R using a combination of image-derived and ancillary variables, and field-derived training points grouped into 18 classes. Overall accuracy, generated internally through bootstrapping, was 75.5%. A series of post-modeling steps brought the final number of land cover classes to 28. Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: Birds, CMR, Charles M. Russell National Wildlife Refuge, Data Visualization & Tools, Landcover, All tags... Montana, North Central CASC, SPOT Imagery, Science Tools For Managers, Wildlife and Plants, environment, imageryBaseMapsEarthCover, Fewer tags Training Points Training points collected in the field between 2012 and 2013 were grouped into 18 classes: Forested Burn (66), Foothill Woodland Steppe Transition (73), Greasewood Flat (73), Greasewood Steppe (239), Greasewood Sage Steppe (277), Great Plains Badlands (166), Great Plains Riparian (255), Low Density Sage Steppe (776), Medium Density Sage Steppe (783), Mixed Grass Prairie (555), Mixed Grass Prairie Burned (278), Ponderosa Pine Woodland and Shrubland (512), Riparian Floodplain (223), Semi-Desert Grassland (103), Sparsely Vegetated Mixed Shrub (252), Silver Sage Flat (70) , Silver Sage Steppe (64), and Water (246). When insufficient field data were available for a class, we augmented it through photointerpretation of... Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: Birds, Charles M. Russel Wildlife Refuge, Data Visualization & Tools, North Central CASC, Science Tools For Managers, All tags... Wildlife and Plants, environment, Fewer tags Publication: Measuring and managing resistance and resilience under climate change in northern Great Lake forests Within the time frame of the longevity of tree species, climate change will change faster than the ability of natural tree migration. Migration lags may result in reduced productivity and reduced diversity in forests under current management and climate change. We evaluated the efficacy of planting climate-suitable tree species (CSP), those tree species with current or historic distributions immediately south of a focal landscape, to maintain or increase aboveground biomass, productivity, and species and functional diversity. We modeled forest change with the LANDIS-II forest simulation model for 100 years (2000–2100) at a 2-ha cell resolution and five-year time steps within two landscapes in the Great Lakes region... Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2011, 2011, 2012, 2012, 2013, All tags... 2013, Conservation NGOs, EARTH SCIENCE > LAND SURFACE > LANDSCAPE, Federal resource managers, Great Lakes, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Landscape Conservation Cooperatives, Private land owners, Publication, Regional & county planners, Report, State agencies, Tribes, Upper Midwest and Great Lakes Landscape Conservation Cooperative, Vulnerability Assessment, climate change, completed, connectivity, environment, environment, forests, upper midwest, Fewer tags Presence and abundance of non-native plant species associated with recent energy development in the Williston Basin The Williston Basin, located in the NorthernGreat Plains, is experiencing rapid energy developmentwith North Dakota and Montana being the epicenter ofcurrent and projected development in the USA. Theaverage single-bore well pad is 5 acres with an estimated58,485 wells in North Dakota alone. This landscapeleveldisturbance may provide a pathway for the establishmentof non-native plants. To evaluate potentialinfluences of energy development on the presence andabundance of non-native species, vegetation surveyswere conducted at 30 oil well sites (14 ten-year-oldand 16 five-year-old wells) and 14 control sites in nativeprairie environments across the Williston Basin. Nonnativespecies richness and cover were recorded... Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2013, Conservation NGOs, EARTH SCIENCE > LAND SURFACE > LANDSCAPE, Federal resource managers, LCC, All tags... LCC Network Science Catalog, Monitoring, Montana, North Dakota, Plains and Prairie Potholes Landscape Conservation Cooperative, Private land owners, Publication, Report, State agencies, Tribes, completed, environment, environment, Fewer tags Vulnerability of Breeding Waterbirds to Climate Change in the Prairie Pothole Region The Prairie Pothole Region (PPR) of the north-central U.S. and south-central Canada contains millions of small prairie wetlands that provide critical habitat to many migrating and breeding waterbirds. Due to their small size and the relatively dry climate of the region, these wetlands are considered at high risk for negative climate change effects as temperatures increase. To estimate the potential impacts of climate change on breeding waterbirds, we predicted current and future distributions of species common in the PPR using species distribution models (SDMs). We created regional-scale SDMs for the U.S. PPR using Breeding Bird Survey occurrence records for 1971–2011 and wetland, upland, and climate variables.... Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2010, 2011, 2012, Climate change, Conservation NGOs, All tags... Datasets/Database, Decision Support, EARTH SCIENCE > LAND SURFACE > LANDSCAPE, Federal resource managers, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Landscape Conservation Cooperatives, Plains and Prairie Potholes Landscape Conservation Cooperative, Prairie Pothole Region, Presentation, Publication, Regional & county planners, Report, State agencies, Training/Outreach/Workshop, Vulnerability Assessment, avian conservation, climate models, completed, downscale climate models, environment, environment, migratory birds, plains and prairie potholes landscape conservation cooperative, Fewer tags Publication: A blind spot in climate change Full life-cycle vulnerability assessments are identifying the effects of climate change on nongame migratory birds that are of conservation concern and breed in the upper Midwest and Great Lakes region. Full life-cycle analyses are critical, as current efforts likely underestimate the vulnerability of migratory land birds due to a focus on assessing only one component of the annual cycle. The approach provides a framework for integrating exposure to climate changes, sensitivity to these changes, and the potential for adaptation in both winter and summer seasons, and accounts for carry-over effects from one season to another. The results of this work will inform regional management by highlighting both local and... Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2011, 2011, 2012, 2012, 2013, All tags... 2013, Conservation NGOs, EARTH SCIENCE > LAND SURFACE > LANDSCAPE, Federal resource managers, Great Lakes, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Landscape Conservation Cooperatives, Publication, Report, State agencies, Tribes, Upper Midwest and Great Lakes Landscape Conservation Cooperative, Vulnerability Assessment, climate change, completed, environment, environment, migratory birds, upper midwest, vulnerability, Fewer tags Tijuana: Tidal Marsh Digital Elevation Model To assess the current topography of the tidal marshes we conducted survey-grade elevation surveys at all sites between 2009 and 2013 using a Leica RX1200 Real Time Kinematic (RTK)Global Positioning System (GPS) rover (±1 cm horizontal, ±2 cm vertical accuracy; Leica Geosystems Inc., Norcross, GA; Figure 4). At sites with RTK network coverage (San Pablo, Petaluma, Pt. Mugu, and Newport), rover positions were received in real time from the Leica Smartnet system via a CDMA modem (www.lecia-geosystems.com). At sites without network coverage (Humboldt, Bolinas, Morro and Tijuana), rover positions were received in real time from a Leica GS10 antenna base station via radio link. When using the base station, we adjusted... Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Downloadable, GeoTIFF, Map Service, Raster; Tags: Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Extreme Weather, Sea-Level Rise and Coasts, Southwest CASC, Tijuana, All tags... Water, Coasts and Ice, elevation surveys, salt marsh, Fewer tags Timelapse photos at SNOTEL station, locations, and associated metadata, Ollalie Meadows, Wash., 2015 UW_Olallie_photo_metadata & image files: These are the raw timelapse photographs. The date/time stamp is inaccurate for the camera deployed in the open (at the SNOTEL) due to a programming error. This timestamp is one day early (i.e., subtract 1 day from the timestamp when using these data). Also available is metadata for two timelapse cameras and their associated snow depth poles (two visible in each camera's field of view) deployed at Olallie Meadows SNOTEL during water year 2015. One camera was deployed in the open area that is the Olallie Meadows SNOTEL station (the snow pillow is in the field of view). The other camera was deployed in the adjacent forest, approximately 60 m to the southeast of the SNOTEL.... Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: Cascade Mountains, Cle Elum, Data Visualization & Tools, Forests, Kittatas County, All tags... Landscapes, Northwest CASC, Olallie Meadows, Ollalie Meadows, Other Water, SNOTEL, Science Tools For Managers, Washington, Washington, Water, Coasts and Ice, forest canopy density, meteorological observations, snow depth, snow depth, snow observations, time-lapse photography, time-lapse photography, Fewer tags Potential climate change impacts on grassland connectivity in the U.S. Northern Rockies Establishing connections among natural landscapes is the most frequently recommended strategy for adapting management of natural resources in response to climate change. The U.S. Northern Rockies still support a full suite of native wildlife, and survival of these populations depends on connected landscapes. Connected landscapes support current migration and dispersal as well as future shifts in species ranges that will be necessary for species to adapt to our changing climate. Working in partnership with state and federal resource managers and private land trusts, we sought to: 1) understand how future climate change may alter habitat composition of landscapes expected to serve as important connections for wildlife,... Categories: Data; Types: ArcGIS Map Package, Citation, Downloadable; Tags: Connectivity, Environment and Conservation, Forests, Grasslands and Plains, Idaho, All tags... Landscapes, Mammals, Montana, North Central CASC, Rocky Mountains, United States, Wildlife and Plants, Wyoming, climate change, environment, environment, grassland ecosystems, natural resource management, Fewer tags Potential climate change impacts on alpine connectivity in the U.S. Northern Rockies Establishing connections among natural landscapes is the most frequently recommended strategy for adapting management of natural resources in response to climate change. The U.S. Northern Rockies still support a full suite of native wildlife, and survival of these populations depends on connected landscapes. Connected landscapes support current migration and dispersal as well as future shifts in species ranges that will be necessary for species to adapt to our changing climate. Working in partnership with state and federal resource managers and private land trusts, we sought to: 1) understand how future climate change may alter habitat composition of landscapes expected to serve as important connections for wildlife,... Categories: Data; Types: ArcGIS Map Package, Citation, Downloadable; Tags: Alpine, Connectivity, Environment and Conservation, Forests, Grasslands and Plains, All tags... Idaho, Landscapes, Mammals, Montana, North Central CASC, Rocky Mountains, United States, Wildlife and Plants, Wyoming, climate change, environment, environment, natural resource management, Fewer tags Stream Temperature Data in the Little Blitzen watershed of SE Oregon, 2009-15 This dataset includes stream temperatures from two data loggers installed at one site in the Little Blitzen River of SE Oregon as part of a redband trout (Oncorhynchus mykiss gairdnerii) study. The site was used as an undisturbed reference in comparison with similar temperature monitoring sites in the Willow-Whitehorse watershed that experienced a 2012 fire that burned nearly the entire watershed. Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: Drought, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, GNIS ID 1123136, Harney County, Little Blitzen River, All tags... National CASC, Oregon, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, Steens Mountain, Stream / River, Stream temperature, USGS, Water, Coasts and Ice, Watershed, inlandWaters, water temperature, Fewer tags Long format snow course observations, meteorological sensor observations,locations, and associated metadata for Mica Creek, Idaho UI_Mica_Location: Location metadata and meteorological and snow depth observations from met towers in the Mica Creek Experimental Forest. Data were collected at 7 different station sites at approximately half-hour intervals for water years 2003-2006, with discontinuous records due to equipment malfunction or damage. Stations were located within different forest harvest treatment sections, applied to the watershed in approximately 2001, including clear-cut harvest, partial harvest, and control sections (both second growth and old growth control forests). Site Data Citation for full description of the field campaign and sites. UI_Mica_met: Metadata and associated snow depth and SWE observations from 14 manual... Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: Data Visualization & Tools, Forests, Idaho, Landscapes, Mica Creek, All tags... Northwest CASC, Other Water, Science Tools For Managers, Shoshone County, Water, Coasts and Ice, forest canopy density, meteorological observations, snow depth, snow observations, time-lapse photography, Fewer tags Humboldt, California: Tidal Marsh Bathymetry Digital Elevation Model We performed bathymetric surveys using a shallow-water echo-sounding system (Takekawa et al., 2010, Brand et al., 2012) comprised of an acoustic profiler (Navisound 210; Reson, Inc., Slangerup, Denmark), Leica RTK GPS Viva rover, and laptop computer mounted on a shallow-draft, portable flat-bottom boat (Bass Hunter, Cabelas, Sidney, NE; Figure 7). The RTK GPS obtained high resolution elevations of the water surface (reported precision 10 cm water depth. We recorded twenty depth readings and one GPS location each second along transects spaced 100 m apart perpendicular to the nearby salt marsh. We calibrated the system before use with a bar-check plate and adjusted the sound velocity for salinity and temperature differences.... Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Downloadable, GeoTIFF, Map Service, Raster; Tags: Bathymetry Survey, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Extreme Weather, Humboldt Bay, Mad River Slough Marsh, All tags... Sea-Level Rise and Coasts, Southwest CASC, Water, Coasts and Ice, Fewer tags San Pablo, California: Tidal Marsh Bathymetry Digital Elevation Models We performed bathymetric surveys using a shallow-water echo-sounding system (Takekawa et al., 2010, Brand et al., 2012) comprised of an acoustic profiler (Navisound 210; Reson, Inc., Slangerup, Denmark), Leica RTK GPS Viva rover, and laptop computer mounted on a shallow-draft, portable flat-bottom boat (Bass Hunter, Cabelas, Sidney, NE; Figure 7). The RTK GPS obtained high resolution elevations of the water surface (reported precision 10 cm water depth. We recorded twenty depth readings and one GPS location each second along transects spaced 100 m apart perpendicular to the nearby salt marsh. We calibrated the system before use with a bar-check plate and adjusted the sound velocity for salinity and temperature differences.... Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Downloadable, GeoTIFF, Map Service, Raster; Tags: Bathymetry Survey, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Extreme Weather, San Pablo Bay, Sea-Level Rise and Coasts, All tags... Southwest CASC, Water, Coasts and Ice, Fewer tags 1 2 3 4 5 ... 9 »