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Predicted climate and avian malaria risk to Hawaiian honeycreepers on the Island of Hawaii from 2098-2100 This data set describes the predicted daily climate (temperature and rainfall) for low, mid, and high-elevations on Mona Loa, Island of Hawaii from 2098-2100. Climate predictions are based on 3 alternative climate scenarios (RCP 4.5, A1B, and RCP 8.5) - see Liao et al. 2015 for more details and climate references. The predicted daily risk of susceptible Hawaiian honeycreepers are based on the daily climate data, mosquito abundance and other factors. Also see Samuel et al. 2011 The dynamics, transmission, and population impacts of avian malaria in native Hawaiian birds: a modeling approach. Ecological Applications 21:2960-2973 for description of the epidemiological model used for avian malaria risk predictions. Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: Birds, Culex mosquitoes, Downscaled climate models, Hawaiian honeycreepers, Mona Loa, All tags... Pacific Islands CASC, Wildlife and Plants, avian malaria, epidemiological model, Fewer tags Hydrological Analysis of Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem Montane Meadow Condition using MODIS data Locating meadow study sitesMeadow centers as recorded in the ‘Copy of sitecords_areaelev from Caruthers thesis.xls’ file delivered by Debinski in November 2012 were matched to polygons as recorded in files ‘teton97map_area.shp’ and ‘gallatin97map_area.shp’ both also delivered by Debinski in November 2012.In cases where the meadow center did not fall within a meadow polygon, if there was a meadow polygon of the same meadow TYPE nearby (judgment was used here), the meadow center was matched with the meadow polygon of same meadow TYPE. In total, 29 of 30 Gallatin meadow sites and 21 of 25 Teton meadow sites were positively located.Identifying meadow pixels for analysisThe native MODIS 250-meter grid was reprojected... Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem, MODIS, NDVI, North Central CASC, Plants, All tags... Wildlife and Plants, biota, meadow, Fewer tags An analysis of montane meadow drying in the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem using remotely sensed NDVI from the MODIS period of record (lsp metrics) Locating meadow study sitesMeadow centers as recorded in the ‘Copy of sitecords_areaelev from Caruthers thesis.xls’ file delivered by Debinski in November 2012 were matched to polygons as recorded in files ‘teton97map_area.shp’ and ‘gallatin97map_area.shp’ both also delivered by Debinski in November 2012.In cases where the meadow center did not fall within a meadow polygon, if there was a meadow polygon of the same meadow TYPE nearby (judgment was used here), the meadow center was matched with the meadow polygon of same meadow TYPE. In total, 29 of 30 Gallatin meadow sites and 21 of 25 Teton meadow sites were positively located.Identifying meadow pixels for analysisThe native MODIS 250-meter grid was reprojected... Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem, MODIS, MODIS NDVI, North Central CASC, Plants, All tags... Wildlife and Plants, biota, meadow, Fewer tags Charles M. Russell National Wildlife Refuge Spot Landcover Classification in Relation to Greater Sage Grouse This landcover raster was generated through a Random Forest predictive model developed in R using a combination of image-derived and ancillary variables, and field-derived training points grouped into 18 classes. Overall accuracy, generated internally through bootstrapping, was 75.5%. A series of post-modeling steps brought the final number of land cover classes to 28. Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: Birds, CMR, Charles M. Russell National Wildlife Refuge, Data Visualization & Tools, Landcover, All tags... Montana, North Central CASC, SPOT Imagery, Science Tools For Managers, Wildlife and Plants, environment, imageryBaseMapsEarthCover, Fewer tags Training Points Training points collected in the field between 2012 and 2013 were grouped into 18 classes: Forested Burn (66), Foothill Woodland Steppe Transition (73), Greasewood Flat (73), Greasewood Steppe (239), Greasewood Sage Steppe (277), Great Plains Badlands (166), Great Plains Riparian (255), Low Density Sage Steppe (776), Medium Density Sage Steppe (783), Mixed Grass Prairie (555), Mixed Grass Prairie Burned (278), Ponderosa Pine Woodland and Shrubland (512), Riparian Floodplain (223), Semi-Desert Grassland (103), Sparsely Vegetated Mixed Shrub (252), Silver Sage Flat (70) , Silver Sage Steppe (64), and Water (246). When insufficient field data were available for a class, we augmented it through photointerpretation of... Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: Birds, Charles M. Russel Wildlife Refuge, Data Visualization & Tools, North Central CASC, Science Tools For Managers, All tags... Wildlife and Plants, environment, Fewer tags Potential climate change impacts on grassland connectivity in the U.S. Northern Rockies Establishing connections among natural landscapes is the most frequently recommended strategy for adapting management of natural resources in response to climate change. The U.S. Northern Rockies still support a full suite of native wildlife, and survival of these populations depends on connected landscapes. Connected landscapes support current migration and dispersal as well as future shifts in species ranges that will be necessary for species to adapt to our changing climate. Working in partnership with state and federal resource managers and private land trusts, we sought to: 1) understand how future climate change may alter habitat composition of landscapes expected to serve as important connections for wildlife,... Categories: Data; Types: ArcGIS Map Package, Citation, Downloadable; Tags: Connectivity, Environment and Conservation, Forests, Grasslands and Plains, Idaho, All tags... Landscapes, Mammals, Montana, North Central CASC, Rocky Mountains, United States, Wildlife and Plants, Wyoming, climate change, environment, environment, grassland ecosystems, natural resource management, Fewer tags Potential climate change impacts on alpine connectivity in the U.S. Northern Rockies Establishing connections among natural landscapes is the most frequently recommended strategy for adapting management of natural resources in response to climate change. The U.S. Northern Rockies still support a full suite of native wildlife, and survival of these populations depends on connected landscapes. Connected landscapes support current migration and dispersal as well as future shifts in species ranges that will be necessary for species to adapt to our changing climate. Working in partnership with state and federal resource managers and private land trusts, we sought to: 1) understand how future climate change may alter habitat composition of landscapes expected to serve as important connections for wildlife,... Categories: Data; Types: ArcGIS Map Package, Citation, Downloadable; Tags: Alpine, Connectivity, Environment and Conservation, Forests, Grasslands and Plains, All tags... Idaho, Landscapes, Mammals, Montana, North Central CASC, Rocky Mountains, United States, Wildlife and Plants, Wyoming, climate change, environment, environment, natural resource management, Fewer tags Submerged aquatic vegetation and environmental data along a salinity gradient in Barataria Bay, Louisiana (2015) This data set includes bi-monthly data on submerged aquatic vegetation species composition, percent cover, above and below ground biomass and environmental data at coastal sites across the fresh to saline gradient in Barataria Bay, LA. This project was co-funded by the South Central Climate Adaptation Science Center and the Gulf Coast Prairie and the Gulf Coastal Plains and Ozarks Landscape Conservation Cooperatives. An alternate reference to this product can be found here. Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: Climatology, Gulf of Mexico, Louisiana Coastal, Plants, Sea-Level Rise and Coasts, All tags... South Central CASC, USGS Science Data Catalog (SDC), Water, Coasts and Ice, Wetlands, Wildlife and Plants, aquatic vegetation, coastal zone management, coastal zones, estuary, salinity, wetland, wetland ecosystems, wetlands, Fewer tags Projected future bioclimate-envelope suitability for amphibian species in South Central USA This dataset contains the result of the bioclimatic-envelope modeling of the three amphibian species -- the Sacramento Mountain Salamander (Aneides hardii), the Jemez Mountains Salamander (Plethodon neomexicanus), and the Chiricahua Leopard Frog (Lithobates chiricahuensis) -- in the South Central US using the downscaled data provided by WorldClim. We used five species distribution models (SDM) including Generalized Linear Model, Random Forest, Boosted Regression Tree, Maxent, and Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) and ensembles to develop the present day distributions of the species based on climate-driven models alone. We then projected future distributions of the species using data from four climate... Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: Aneides hardii, Birds, Chiricahua Leopard Frog, Jemez Mountains Salamander, Lithobates chiricahuensis, All tags... Mammals, Other Wildlife, Plethodon neomexicanus, Sacramento Mountain Salamander, South Central CASC, Wildlife and Plants, bioclimatic-envelope, biota, climatologyMeteorologyAtmosphere, herpetofauna, Fewer tags Projected future bioclimate-envelope suitability for reptile species in South Central USA This dataset contains the result of the bioclimatic-envelope modeling of the two reptile species -- Rio Grande Cooter (Pseudemys gorzugi) and Gray-Checkered Whiptail (Aspidoscelis dixoni) -- in the South Central US using the downscaled data provided by WorldClim. We used five species distribution models (SDM) including Generalized Linear Model, Random Forest, Boosted Regression Tree, Maxent, and Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) and ensembles to develop the present day distributions of the species based on climate-driven models alone. We then projected future distributions of the species using data from four climate models: Community Climate System Model version 4 (CCSM4), Hadley Centre Global Environment... Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: Aspidoscelis dixoni, Birds, Gray-Checkered Whiptail, Mammals, Other Wildlife, All tags... Pseudemys gorzugi, Rio Grande Cooter, South Central CASC, Wildlife and Plants, bioclimatic-envelope, biota, climatologyMeteorologyAtmosphere, herpetofauna, Fewer tags Merged traits used to fit the Hawaiian native plant vulnerability model This dataset is a list of variables (in columns) corresponding to nodes in a categorical network model. Geographic variables vary according to the specific climate downscaling model used to project plant species range into the future. Continuous variables were discretized into two to five categories as required by the model, usually based on quantiles of distribution. Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: Pacific Islands CASC, Pacific Islands Landscape Conservation Cooperative, Pacific Islands Landscape Conservation Cooperative, Plants, Wildlife and Plants, All tags... biota, elevation, location, network model, Fewer tags Wisconsin Lake Temperature Metrics Decreasing Clarity It is well recognized that the climate is warming in response to anthropogenic emission of greenhouse gases. Over the last decade, this has had a warming effect on lakes. Water clarity is also known to effect water temperature in lakes. What is unclear is how a warming climate might interact with changes in water clarity in lakes. As part of a project at the USGS Office of Water Information, several water clarity scenarios were simulated for lakes in Wisconsin to examine how changing water clarity interacts with climate change to affect lake temperatures at a broad scale. This data set contains the following parameters: year, WBIC, durStrat, max_schmidt_stability, mean_schmidt_stability_JAS, mean_schmidt_stability_July,... Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: 007, 012, Fish, Northeast CASC, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, All tags... US, United States, WI, Water, Coasts and Ice, Wildlife and Plants, Wisconsin, Wisconsin, climate change, environment, hydrodynamic model, inlandWaters, lakes, limnology, water clarity, water quality, water temperature, Fewer tags Wisconsin Lake Temperature Metrics Increasing Clarity It is well recognized that the climate is warming in response to anthropogenic emission of greenhouse gases. Over the last decade, this has had a warming effect on lakes. Water clarity is also known to effect water temperature in lakes. What is unclear is how a warming climate might interact with changes in water clarity in lakes. As part of a project at the USGS Office of Water Information, several water clarity scenarios were simulated for lakes in Wisconsin to examine how changing water clarity interacts with climate change to affect lake temperatures at a broad scale. This data set contains the following parameters: year, WBIC, durStrat, max_schmidt_stability, mean_schmidt_stability_JAS, mean_schmidt_stability_July,... Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: 007, 012, Fish, Northeast CASC, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, All tags... US, United States, WI, Water, Coasts and Ice, Wildlife and Plants, Wisconsin, Wisconsin, climate change, environment, hydrodynamic model, inlandWaters, lakes, limnology, water clarity, water quality, water temperature, Fewer tags Potential climate change impacts on forest connectivity in the U.S. Northern Rockies Establishing connections among natural landscapes is the most frequently recommended strategy for adapting management of natural resources in response to climate change. The U.S. Northern Rockies still support a full suite of native wildlife, and survival of these populations depends on connected landscapes. Connected landscapes support current migration and dispersal as well as future shifts in species ranges that will be necessary for species to adapt to our changing climate. Working in partnership with state and federal resource managers and private land trusts, we sought to: 1) understand how future climate change may alter habitat composition of landscapes expected to serve as important connections for wildlife,... Categories: Data; Types: ArcGIS Map Package, Citation, Downloadable; Tags: Connectivity, Environment and Conservation, Forests, Grasslands and Plains, Idaho, All tags... Landscapes, Mammals, Montana, North Central CASC, Rocky Mountains, United States, Wildlife and Plants, Wyoming, climate change, environment, environment, forest ecosystems, natural resource management, Fewer tags Potential climate change impacts on bighorn sheep connectivity in the U.S. Northern Rockies Establishing connections among natural landscapes is the most frequently recommended strategy for adapting management of natural resources in response to climate change. The U.S. Northern Rockies still support a full suite of native wildlife, and survival of these populations depends on connected landscapes. Connected landscapes support current migration and dispersal as well as future shifts in species ranges that will be necessary for species to adapt to our changing climate. Working in partnership with state and federal resource managers and private land trusts, we sought to: 1) understand how future climate change may alter habitat composition of landscapes expected to serve as important connections for wildlife,... Categories: Data; Types: ArcGIS Map Package, Citation, Downloadable; Tags: Bighorn sheep, Connectivity, Environment and Conservation, Forests, Grasslands and Plains, All tags... Idaho, Landscapes, Mammals, Montana, North Central CASC, Rocky Mountains, United States, Wildlife and Plants, Wyoming, climate change, environment, environment, natural resource management, Fewer tags Potential climate change impacts on mountain goat connectivity in the U.S. Northern Rockies Establishing connections among natural landscapes is the most frequently recommended strategy for adapting management of natural resources in response to climate change. The U.S. Northern Rockies still support a full suite of native wildlife, and survival of these populations depends on connected landscapes. Connected landscapes support current migration and dispersal as well as future shifts in species ranges that will be necessary for species to adapt to our changing climate. Working in partnership with state and federal resource managers and private land trusts, we sought to: 1) understand how future climate change may alter habitat composition of landscapes expected to serve as important connections for wildlife,... Categories: Data; Types: ArcGIS Map Package, Citation, Downloadable; Tags: Connectivity, Environment and Conservation, Forests, Grasslands and Plains, Idaho, All tags... Landscapes, Mammals, Montana, Mountain goat, North Central CASC, Rocky Mountains, United States, Wildlife and Plants, Wyoming, climate change, environment, environment, natural resource management, Fewer tags CM2.0 model: Projected shifts in fish species dominance in Wisconsin lakes under climate change Temperate lakes may contain both coolwater fish species such as walleye (Sander vitreus) and warmwater species such as largemouth bass (Micropterus salmoides). Recent declines in walleye and increases in largemouth bass populations have raised questions regarding the future trajectories and appropriate management actions for these important species. We developed a thermodynamic model of water temperatures driven by downscaled climate data and lake specific characteristics to estimate daily water temperature profiles for 2148 lakes in Wisconsin, USA under contemporary (1989-2014) and future (2040-2064 and 2065-2089) conditions. We correlated contemporary walleye recruitment success and largemouth bass relative abundance... Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: 007, 012, Fish, Northeast CASC, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, All tags... US, United States, WI, Water, Coasts and Ice, Wildlife and Plants, Wisconsin, Wisconsin, bass, climate change, environment, inlandWaters, largemouth bass, modeling, reservoirs, species distribution models, temperate lakes, thermal profiles, walleye, water, Fewer tags Model configuration: A large-scale database of modeled contemporary and future water temperature data for 10,774 Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin Lakes Climate change has been shown to influence lake temperatures globally. To better understand the diversity of lake responses to climate change and give managers tools to manage individual lakes, we modelled daily water temperature profiles for 10,774 lakes in Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin for contemporary (1979-2015) and future (2020-2040 and 2080-2100) time periods with climate models based on the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5, the worst-case emission scenario. From simulated temperatures, we derived commonly used, ecologically relevant annual metrics of thermal conditions for each lake. We included all available supporting metadata including satellite and in-situ observations of water clarity, maximum... Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: 007, 012, Fish, IA, IL, All tags... IN, Illinois, Illinois, Indiana, Indiana, Iowa, Iowa, MI, MN, Michigan, Michigan, Minnesota, Minnesota, Northeast CASC, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, SD, South Dakota, South Dakota, US, United States, WI, Water, Coasts and Ice, Wildlife and Plants, Wisconsin, Wisconsin, climate change, environment, inlandWaters, modeling, reservoirs, temperate lakes, thermal profiles, water, Fewer tags Potential climate change impacts on grizzly bear connectivity in the U.S. Northern Rockies Establishing connections among natural landscapes is the most frequently recommended strategy for adapting management of natural resources in response to climate change. The U.S. Northern Rockies still support a full suite of native wildlife, and survival of these populations depends on connected landscapes. Connected landscapes support current migration and dispersal as well as future shifts in species ranges that will be necessary for species to adapt to our changing climate. Working in partnership with state and federal resource managers and private land trusts, we sought to: 1) understand how future climate change may alter habitat composition of landscapes expected to serve as important connections for wildlife,... Categories: Data; Types: ArcGIS Map Package, Citation, Downloadable; Tags: Connectivity, Environment and Conservation, Forests, Grasslands and Plains, Grizzly bear, All tags... Idaho, Landscapes, Mammals, Montana, North Central CASC, Rocky Mountains, United States, Wildlife and Plants, Wyoming, climate change, environment, environment, natural resource management, Fewer tags An analysis of montane meadow drying in the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem using remotely sensed NDVI from the MODIS period of record (hq_nvdi) Locating meadow study sitesMeadow centers as recorded in the ‘Copy of sitecords_areaelev from Caruthers thesis.xls’ file delivered by Debinski in November 2012 were matched to polygons as recorded in files ‘teton97map_area.shp’ and ‘gallatin97map_area.shp’ both also delivered by Debinski in November 2012.In cases where the meadow center did not fall within a meadow polygon, if there was a meadow polygon of the same meadow TYPE nearby (judgment was used here), the meadow center was matched with the meadow polygon of same meadow TYPE. In total, 29 of 30 Gallatin meadow sites and 21 of 25 Teton meadow sites were positively located.Identifying meadow pixels for analysisThe native MODIS 250-meter grid was reprojected... Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem, MODIS, NDVI, North Central CASC, Plants, All tags... Wildlife and Plants, biota, meadow, Fewer tags 1 2 3 4 »