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The purpose of this grant was to provide research opportunities to students and staff working with the Southeast Climate Science Center (SE CSC) with a focus on decision analysis and science communication. Research activities occured primarily within the framework of existing SE CSC-funded projects. Student research supported project activities associated with the development and use of science-based information to make climate adaptation management decisions. Student abilities to participate in these research activities were enhanced by participation in a course entitled “Introduction to Structured Decision Making” taught at the National Conservation Training Center (NCTC) in Shepherdstown, WV. In addition to participation...
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Climate change is causing species to shift their phenology, or the timing of recurring life events such as migration and spawning, in variable and complex ways. This can potentially result in mismatches or asynchronies in food and habitat resources that negatively impact individual fitness, population dynamics, and ecosystem function. Numerous studies have evaluated phenological shifts in terrestrial species, particularly birds and plants, yet far fewer evaluations have been conducted for marine animals. This project sought to improve our understanding of shifts in the timing of seasonal migration, spawning or breeding, and biological development (i.e. life stages present, dominant) of coastal fishes and migratory...
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Vernal pools are small, seasonal wetlands that provide critically important seasonal habitat for many amphibian species of conservation concern. Natural resource managers and scientists in the Northeast, as well as the Northeast Refugia Research Coalition, coordinated by the Northeast CSC, recently identified vernal pools as a priority ecosystem to study, and recent revisions to State Wildlife Action Plans highlighted climate change and disease as primary threats to key vernal pool ecosystems. Mapping out the hydrology of vernal pools across the Northeast is an important step in informing land management and conservation decision-making. Project researchers modeled the hydrology of roughly 450 vernal pools from...
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Cold-water adapted Brook Trout were historically widely distributed – ranging from northern Quebec to Georgia, and from the Atlantic Ocean to Manitoba in the north, and along the Appalachian ridge in the south. However, studies show that due to factors associated with climate change, such as increased stream temperature and changing water flow, the number of streams containing Brook Trout is declining. Although efforts have been made to protect and restore this cold-water fish at local levels, the extent that temperature increases will vary within and across different streams and the ability of Brook Trout to seek cold-water refugia or adapt to these increasing stream temperatures currently remains unclear. The...
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The amount of water flowing through a stream is an important driver of aquatic habitat, but scientists don’t often measure streamflow in the small stream networks that feed larger rivers. Monitoring smaller streams is especially important as climate change is causing them to (a) flood more often and more intensely, and (b) lose habitat as drought events and water temperatures increase. A better understanding of the changing patterns of flow and temperatures in small streams can help decision makers evaluate which streams will provide suitable habitat for plants and animals under a changing climate. Specific goals of this project are to 1) understand how water flow and temperature interact in small streams and 2)...
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Negative human-bear interactions are a common problem and management priority for many wildlife agencies in North America. Bears are adaptable to anthropogenic activity and food sources which creates opportunities for conflict with humans, including property damage, livestock depredation, and in severe cases, human injury. Acute climate events and long-term directional climate change can exacerbate the frequency and severity of human-bear interactions by changing resource availability, increasing overlap between humans and wildlife, and driving competition. Despite the pervasive threat that climate change poses, studies evaluating climate, human-wildlife interactions, and adaptive management strategies are limited....
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The smallmouth bass (SMB) is a widespread species with a distribution that extends throughout the eastern and central U.S., in addition to introduced populations in other regions. From a management perspective, the SMB is important both as a popular sport fish and as a threat to native species where it is present outside of its natural range. Understanding the population-level responses of this species to environmental change is thus a priority for fisheries resource managers. This project aimed to explicitly model the impacts of projected climate and land use change on the growth, population dynamics, and distribution of stream-dwelling SMB in the U.S. Impacts on growth and demographic variables were modeled using...
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This project brought together a team of researchers from the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) and universities to develop a comprehensive web-based dataset of high-resolution (or ‘downscaled’) climate change projections, to enable scientists and decision-makers to better assess climate related ecosystem impacts. Currently, scientists and resource managers often find it difficult to use downscaled climate projections because of the multiple methodologies used to produce them and the time-consuming process required to obtain model output. In response, the research team implemented a three-part plan to provide high resolution climate data for the impact modeling community. First, a database was developed of up-to-date...
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We are seeking to better understand networks among resource managers with respect to developing plans for climate change adaptation. We are pursuing this through a network analysis based on a survey of federal resource management staff and scientists in the southwestern and Midwestern U.S. Originally planned, this study was conceived to cover the Southwest and North Central Climate Science Centers, as defined by the USGS. In practice, surveys are most easily distributed within regions as defined by the federal resource agencies. Unfortunately, there is no uniform set of regions. We have tried to be comprehensive in our survey and cover at least the North Central and Southwestern Region.
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A hydrologic model was developed as part of the Southeast Regional Assessment Project using the Precipitation Runoff Modeling System (PRMS), a deterministic, distributed-parameter, process-based system that simulates the effects of precipitation, temperature, and land use on basin hydrology. Streamflow and other components of the hydrologic cycle simulated by PRMS were used to inform other types of simulations such as water-temperature, hydrodynamic, and ecosystem-dynamics simulations.
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The Gap Analysis Project (GAP) is an element of the U.S. Geological Survey. GAP helps to implement the Department of the Interior’s goals of inventory, monitoring, research, and information transfer. GAP has three primary goals: Identify conservation gaps that help keep common species common; Provide conservation information to the public so that informed resource management decisions can be made; and Facilitate the application of GAP data and analysis to specific resource management activities. To implement these goals, GAP carries out the following objectives: Map the land cover of the United States Map predicted distributions of vertebrate species for the U.S. Map the location, ownership and stewardship of...
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The data are a long-term (1980-present), daily reanalysis of reference evapotranspiration, covering the globe at a spatial resolution of 0.625° Longitude x 0.5° Latitude. Reference evapotranspiration is a measure of evaporative demand, or the "thirst of the atmosphere", basically how much moisture from the surface could evaporate into overpassing air, assuming (i) that enough water is available to evaporate and (ii) the surface is covered with a specific reference crop that completely shades the ground (some other conditions also apply). For this dataset, reference evapotranspiration is derived from the daily implementation of the Penman-Monteith reference evapotranspiration equation (Monteith, 1965) as codified...
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Fish data on six species (black crappie (Pomoxis nigromaculatus), bluegill (Lepomis macrochirus), largemouth bass (Micropterus salmoides), northern pike (Esox lucius), walleye (Sander vitreus), and yellow perch (perca flavescens)) caught in gill nets and trap nets between 2000 and 2019 during Minnesota Department of Natural Resources (MNDNR) fisheries surveys done in the months of June through September. Fish catch and effort (number of nets set overnight) comes from over 1,000 Minnesota lakes. In addition to fisheries data, we included additional information concerning lake characteristics, predicted water temperature, and watershed land use. Lake area and maximum depth were obtained from MNDNR public databases....
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Death Valley National Park, California. Furnace Creek Formation at the north end of the Black Mountains. View is southwest and west of Zabriskie Point, an overlook by Highway 190 about 3 miles up Furnace Creek Wash from Furnace Creek Inn. The base of the Furnace Creek Formation is at the topographic break between the badlands and the rougher, higher ground in the distance on the left. Light-colored playa beds about 2,500 feet thick extend to the base of a conglomerate which forms the dark cliff at the right. The beds are dipping to the right (north) into the Texas Spring Syncline. The center of the photograph looks west across Death Valley to the Panamint Range at Aguereberry Point; Tucki Mountain on the right....
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Species occurrence records of the taxonomic class of Bivalvia in oceans within 1000 kilometers of the United States shoreline. This is a subset of the OBIS-USA dataset where Bivalvia records were queried on December 2, 2014. After initial queries, the remaining data were further queried to retain only samples within 1000 kilometers of the U.S. shoreline. Spatial queries were then used to remove samples overlaying land masses. Data are provided in a geodatabase format, as well as a comma seperated values format. OBIS-USA provides aggregated, interoperable biogeographic data collected primarily from U.S. waters and oceanic regions--the Arctic, the Atlantic and Pacific oceans, the Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico and...
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Data consist of presence / absence records of planktic foraminifer species from 5 core samples at 3 localities in southeast Florida. Samples are placed in biostratigraphic zones and ages are estimated from calibrated first and last appearances of select taxa.
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A hydrodynamic and water-quality model (CE-QUAL-W2) was developed of a 21-mile reach of the upper Illinois River including a 3-mile reach of a major tributary, the Fox River. The CE-QUAL-W2 model is 2-dimensional in the vertical and longitudinal directions and averaged over the lateral direction. Continuous water quality and streamgage data provided time-series data for model boundary conditions. Discrete velocity, cross-section area, and temperature profiles at several locations within the study reach provided model calibration data. The model was calibrated to 2021 and 2022 observed data and validated with 2020 data. Model output consisted of 2-dimensional, laterally averaged hydrodynamic and water-temperature...
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Album caption: Tertiary lacustrine clays of Hueco Bolson cut into badlands by tributaries of Rio Grande. 5 Miles east of Clint , El Paso County, Texas.
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Measurements of fog, wind, fog interception, soil moisture, and fog effects on plant water use and plant survival were collected to test a model to estimate CWI as a function of fog-water movement and vegetation characteristics.
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The San Francisco Bay estuary contains the largest remaining expanse of tidal salt marshes in the western U.S. These marshes are home to a variety of federal and state protected species, such as the California clapper rail, California black rail, and the salt marsh harvest mouse. The estuary is also located on the Pacific Flyway, and is an important site for migrating and wintering birds. As climate conditions change, these salt marshes face a number of threats, including accelerated rates of sea-level rise, shifting precipitation, erosion, and more frequent and intense storms. Seas in the San Francisco Bay estuary have been rising 2.2 centimeters per decade, and could rise by as much as 1.24 meters by 2100, according...
map background search result map search result map Fate of Endangered Species in San Francisco Bay Tidal Marshes with Sea-Level Rise Development of the Geo Data Portal to Make Climate Projections and Scientific Data More Accessible to Users Projected Climate Change Impacts on Stream Dwelling Smallmouth Bass Populations in the U.S. (Local Assessment) Climate Change and Federal Land Management: Assessing Priorities Using a Social Network Approach USGS Gap Analysis Project (GAP) Furnace Creek Formation at the north end of the Black Mountains. Death Valley National Park, California. Circa 1960. Implications of Future Shifts in Migration, Spawning, and Other Life Events of Coastal Fish and Wildlife Species Supporting Students and Early Career Researchers in the Development of Science to Inform Adaptation Management Decisions Bivalvia Subset of Ocean Biogeographic Information System (OBIS) - USA Dataset Collection for NFHP Thematic Viewer 20141202 SERAP: Modeling of Hydrologic Systems Mapping Climate Change Resistant Vernal Pools in the Northeastern U.S. Understanding Brook Trout Persistence in Warming Streams Cloud Water Interception Parameters for 5 sites in Hawai'i from 2016-2019 The Effects of Climate Variability and Change on Human-Bear Interactions in North America Data In Support Of Accounting For Spatio-Temporal Variation In Catachability In Joint Species Distribution Models Hydrodynamic and Water-Temperature Model of a 21-Mile Reach of the Upper Illinois River, Illinois, 2020 – 2022 Integrating Streamflow and Temperature to Identify Streams with Coldwater Refugia in the Northeast Global reference evapotranspiration for food-security monitoring (ver. 2.1, April 2024) Occurrences of Pliocene Planktic foraminifers in core samples from SE Florida Tertiary lacustrine clays of Hueco Bolson cut into badlands by tributaries of Rio Grande. Texas, Hydrodynamic and Water-Temperature Model of a 21-Mile Reach of the Upper Illinois River, Illinois, 2020 – 2022 Fate of Endangered Species in San Francisco Bay Tidal Marshes with Sea-Level Rise Tertiary lacustrine clays of Hueco Bolson cut into badlands by tributaries of Rio Grande. Texas, Furnace Creek Formation at the north end of the Black Mountains. Death Valley National Park, California. Circa 1960. Understanding Brook Trout Persistence in Warming Streams SERAP: Modeling of Hydrologic Systems Cloud Water Interception Parameters for 5 sites in Hawai'i from 2016-2019 Projected Climate Change Impacts on Stream Dwelling Smallmouth Bass Populations in the U.S. (Local Assessment) Occurrences of Pliocene Planktic foraminifers in core samples from SE Florida Implications of Future Shifts in Migration, Spawning, and Other Life Events of Coastal Fish and Wildlife Species Data In Support Of Accounting For Spatio-Temporal Variation In Catachability In Joint Species Distribution Models Mapping Climate Change Resistant Vernal Pools in the Northeastern U.S. Integrating Streamflow and Temperature to Identify Streams with Coldwater Refugia in the Northeast Climate Change and Federal Land Management: Assessing Priorities Using a Social Network Approach Supporting Students and Early Career Researchers in the Development of Science to Inform Adaptation Management Decisions Development of the Geo Data Portal to Make Climate Projections and Scientific Data More Accessible to Users The Effects of Climate Variability and Change on Human-Bear Interactions in North America USGS Gap Analysis Project (GAP) Bivalvia Subset of Ocean Biogeographic Information System (OBIS) - USA Dataset Collection for NFHP Thematic Viewer 20141202 Global reference evapotranspiration for food-security monitoring (ver. 2.1, April 2024)