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LCC funding for this project helped maintain a network of hydrology monitoring sites in a representative watershed of the Arctic Coastal Plain. The work was conducted within the context of climate change and impending oil and gas activities in the region, the latter of which is the impetus for focusing on the Fish Creek watershed. The project included two monitoring components:1) Beaded Stream & Lake Hydrology Monitoring (dominant habitat type within the watershed): in 6 stream/lake complex watersheds (Redworm, Hannahbear, Blackfish, Crea, Oil, and Bills creeks), continuous water level and temperature (in lakes, streams, and confluences), discrete discharge measurements, and continuous water quality (specific conductivity,...
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Baseline (1961-1990) average winter temperature in and projected change in temperature for for the northern portion of Alaska. For the purposes of these maps, ‘winter’ is defined as December - February. The Alaska portion of the Arctic LCC’s terrestrial boundary is depicted by the black line. Baseline results for 1961-1990 are derived from Climate Research Unit (CRU) TS3.1 data and downscaled to 2km grids; results for the other time periods (2010-2039, 2040-2069, 2070-2099) are based on the SNAP 5-GCM composite using the AR5-RCP 8.5, downscaled to 2km grids.
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The maps show baseline (1961-1990) average air temperature and projected air temperature for the decades spanning 2010-2039, 2040-2069, and 2070-2099. Temperature is expressed in both Celsius (у) and Fahrenheit (ц). Baseline results for 1961-1990 are derived from Climate Research Unit (CRU) TS 3.1. data and maps for future time periods are based on a composite of projections from five GCMs (CCSM4, GFDL-CM3, GISS-E2-R, IPSL-CM5A-LR, and MRI-CGCM3) under the AR5-RCP 6.0. Data courtesy of Scenarios Network for Alaska and Arctic Planning.
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Baseline (1961-1990) average air temperature (degree F) for Alaska and Western Canada. This zip file contains three GeoTIFF rasters. The file names identifies whether a file represents an annual mean or a seasonal mean (i.e., summer or winter). Summer is defined as June - August; winter is defined as December - February. Baseline data are derived from Climate Research Unit (CRU) TS 3.1 data. CRU data courtesy of Scenarios Network for Alaska and Arctic Planning.
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Using a bioclimatic envelope approach, University of Alberta investigators project how the distribution and abundance of boreal forest birds across North America will respond to different scenarios of future climate-change. Investigation emphasis is on mapping and quantifying potential range expansions of boreal bird species into Arctic and subarctic regions across Alaska and Canada. The final products demonstrate a broad continental-scale overview of potential shifts in avian distribution.
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This Microsoft Access Database contains soil and permafrost stratigraphy for northern Alaska compiled from numerous project data files and reports. The database has main data tables (tbl_) for site (environmental), soil stratigraphy, soil physical data, soil chemical data, soil radiocarbon dates, and vegetation cover. The Site data includes information of location, observers, geomorphology, topography, hydrology, soil summary characteristics, pH and EC, soil classification, and vegetation cover by species. Soil stratigraphy has information on soil texture and ground ice. Soil physical and chemical data includes lab data on bulk density, moisture, carbon, and nitrogen. The database has 38 reference tables (REF_)...
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Many Arctic shorebird populations are declining, and quantifying adult survival and the effects of anthropogenic factorsis a crucial step toward a better understanding of population dynamics. We used a recently developed, spatially explicitCormack–Jolly–Seber model in a Bayesian framework to obtain broad-scale estimates of true annual survival rates for 6species of shorebirds at 9 breeding sites across the North American Arctic in 2010–2014. We tested for effects ofenvironmental and ecological variables, study site, nest fate, and sex on annual survival rates of each species in thespatially explicit framework, which allowed us to distinguish between effects of variables on site fidelity versus truesurvival. Our...
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Baseline (1961-1990) average total precipitation (mm) for Alaska and Western Canada. Baseline results for 1961-1990 are derived from Climate Research Unit (CRU) TS 3.1.01 data. Data courtesy of Scenarios Network for Alaska and Arctic Planning. The file names identifies whether a file represents an annual (i.e., annual) mean or a seasonal mean (i.e., summer or winter). Summer is defined as June - August; winter is defined as December - February.
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This is a collection of GIF-format animations and PNG images that are suitable for presentations. These products include images for the baseline period (1961-1990) and images for each decade between 2010 and 2090. Baseline values are derived from Climate Research Unit (CRU) TS 3.1. or TS 3.1.01 data; values for future time periods are based on the SNAP 5-GCM composite under the AR5-RCP 6.0 and AR5-RCP 8.5. CRU and GCM data are provided courtesy of Scenarios Network for Alaska and Arctic Planning (SNAP).Air temperature is expressed in units of Celsius (у) and Fahrenheit (ц) and precipitation is available in units of millimeters (mm) and inches (in). Special note about animations: The first image of the animation...
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Average historical annual temperature, projected air temperature, and change in air temperature (degree F) for Northern Alaska. GIF formatted animation and PNG images. Maps created using the SNAP 5-GCM composite (AR5-RCP 8.5) and CRU TS3.1 datasets.
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Arctic wetlands, where millions of local and migratory birds nest, are composed of a mosaic of ice wedge polygons, non-patterned tundra, and large vegetated drained thaw lake basins. Regional climate projections suggest that evapotranspiration, rainfall, and snowfall will increase, making it difficult to predict how surface water distribution might change and how habitats for the invertebrate resources used by waterbirds will be impacted. This study will focus on evaluating how climate change will affect the invertebrate community, and whether the change in climate (through changes in hydrology and surface energy balance) could induce a trophic mismatch that might alter the growth and survival of shorebird young....
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The Arctic Coastal Plain (ACP) of Alaska is an important region for millions of migrating and nesting shorebirds. However, this region is threatened by climate change and increased human development (e.g., oil and gas production) that have the potential to greatly impact shorebird populations and breeding habitat in the near future. Because historic data on shorebird distributions in the ACP are very coarse and incomplete, we sought to develop detailed, contemporary distribution maps so that the potential impacts of climate-mediated changes and development could be ascertained. To do this, we developed and mapped habitat suitability indices for eight species of shorebirds (Black-bellied Plover [Pluvialis squatarola],...
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Potential Evapotranspiration (PET): These data represent decadal mean totals of potential evapotranspiration estimates (mm). The file name specifies the decade the raster represents. For example, a file named pet_mean_mm_decadal_MPI_ECHAM5_A1B_annual_2000-2009.tif represents the decade spanning 2000-2009. The data were generated by using the Hamon equation and output from ECHAM5, a fifth generation general circulation model created by the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology in Hamburg Germany. Data are at 2km x 2km resolution, and all data are stored in geotiffs. Calculations were performed using R 2.12.1 and 2.12.2 for Mac OS Leopard, and data were formatted into geotiffs using the raster and rgdal packages. Users...
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Potential Evapotranspiration (PET): These data represent decadal mean totals of potential evapotranspiration estimates (mm). The file name specifies the decade the raster represents. For example, a file named pet_mean_mm_decadal_MPI_ECHAM5_A1B_annual_2000-2009.tif represents the decade spanning 2000-2009. The data were generated by using the Hamon equation and output from ECHAM5, a fifth generation general circulation model created by the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology in Hamburg Germany. Data are at 2km x 2km resolution, and all data are stored in geotiffs. Calculations were performed using R 2.12.1 and 2.12.2 for Mac OS Leopard, and data were formatted into geotiffs using the raster and rgdal packages. Users...
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Average historical annual total precipitation (inches) and projected relative change in total precipitation (% change from baseline) for Northern Alaska. 30-year averages. Handout format. Maps created using the SNAP 5-GCM composite (AR5-RCP 6.0) and CRU TS3.1.01 datasets.
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The Red-throated Loon is the smallest of the world’s five loon species. This species typicallybreeds in low wetlands in both tundra and forested terrain (Barr et al. 2000). They nest on pondedges, sometimes along very small ponds (<1 ha), particularly in parts of their range sympatricwith Pacific Loons (Barr et al. 2000). Red-throated Loons are unique in that they regularlyforage on fish away from their nesting ponds.In Arctic Alaska this often involves flights to theArctic Ocean (Andres 1993). Like Yellow-billed Loons, the North American breedingpopulation, north of 68° latitude, appear to winter primarily in East Asia from the western KurilIslands to the Yellow Sea (J. Schmutz et al., unpublished data). In 1993,...
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The Peregrine Falcon is one of the most ubiquitous bird species with a breeding distributionranging from tundra to the tropics. In Arctic Alaska this bird’s breeding stronghold is found inmajor river systems where cliff ledges abound and serve as preferred nesting sites. PeregrineFalcons prey on a wide variety of bird species ranging from small passerines to medium-sizedducks and will also take small mammals (White et al. 2002). This species travels widely andArctic-breeding Peregrine Falcons make some of the longest migrations of any bird species. TheNorth American subspecies (tundrius) winters in Central and South America (White et al. 2002).The global population is estimated at ~1.2 million individuals (BirdLife...
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Researchers from the University of Alaska Fairbanks (UAF) willdevelop a model that examines the relationship betweenmeasured steam flow and surface water connectivity betweensummer feeding and overwintering habitats for fish on theNorth Slope.


map background search result map search result map Fish Creek Watershed Hydrology Monitoring Environmental and ecological conditions at Arctic breeding sites have limited effects on true survival rates of adult shorebirds Arctic LCC Boundary Map - PDF Annual Precipitation Maps - RCP 6.0, Inches Permafrost Soils Database for Northern Alaska Interdisciplinary Study of How Climate Change May Affect Wetland Habitats, Invertebrates and Shorebirds Predicting breeding shorebird distributions on the Arctic Coastal Plain of Alaska Potential Evapotranspiration 2080-2089: ECHAM5 - A1B Scenario Potential Evapotranspiration 2090-2099: ECHAM5 - A1B Scenario Climate and Fish Migration Factsheet Animations and Presentation Materials Peregrine Falcon Summer Temperature Maps - RCP 6.0, Fahrenheit Temperature Projection Maps - RCP 6.0 Red-throated Loon Baseline 1961-1990 Average Air Temperature, Fahrenheit Annual Temperature Animation - RCP 8.5, Fahrenheit Baseline 1961-1990 Average Total Precipitation, Millimeters Modeling avifaunal responses to climate change in North America's boreal-Arctic transition zone Baseline (1961-1990) Rasters Climate and Fish Migration Factsheet Fish Creek Watershed Hydrology Monitoring Interdisciplinary Study of How Climate Change May Affect Wetland Habitats, Invertebrates and Shorebirds Predicting breeding shorebird distributions on the Arctic Coastal Plain of Alaska Peregrine Falcon Red-throated Loon Permafrost Soils Database for Northern Alaska Potential Evapotranspiration 2080-2089: ECHAM5 - A1B Scenario Potential Evapotranspiration 2090-2099: ECHAM5 - A1B Scenario Environmental and ecological conditions at Arctic breeding sites have limited effects on true survival rates of adult shorebirds Modeling avifaunal responses to climate change in North America's boreal-Arctic transition zone Arctic LCC Boundary Map - PDF Annual Temperature Animation - RCP 8.5, Fahrenheit Annual Precipitation Maps - RCP 6.0, Inches Animations and Presentation Materials Summer Temperature Maps - RCP 6.0, Fahrenheit Temperature Projection Maps - RCP 6.0 Baseline 1961-1990 Average Air Temperature, Fahrenheit Baseline 1961-1990 Average Total Precipitation, Millimeters Baseline (1961-1990) Rasters