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The populations of many forest birds have declined in recent decades due to loss of habitat area and degradation of habitat quality. Past land management has left the landscape of the heavily forested Appalachian Mountains with too little old growth as well as too few young, regenerating forests. This change in habitat structure has led to the listing of several forest birds as Species of Greatest Conservation Need. Active management is needed to maintain habitat for these species, but climate change may alter the kinds of management that are effective. Climate change is likely to affect forest structure – and bird habitat suitability – because of shifts in temperature, precipitation, and disturbance. While current...
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Climate change and invasive fish species threaten the resilience and biodiversity of freshwater ecosystems in the Southeastern U.S., including the Everglades, which are vital to the Miccosukee Tribe of Indians of Florida. Researchers supported by this Southeast CASC project will model invasive fish distributions under changing climate conditions and refine the model predictions through targeted sampling. The resulting habitat suitability maps will guide resource managers in selecting strategies to prevent or control invasions and protect ecosystem resilience. Invasive fish species and climate change threaten freshwater ecosystems worldwide. By altering habitat conditions, climate change enables invasive fishes...
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State wildlife agencies and their partners use State Wildlife Action Plans to coordinate and guide management activities aimed at protecting species. To do so, they must identify factors putting species and their habitats at risk. Current and future climate change is one such factor. To succeed, management actions need to account for impacts of climate change on species today and in the future as climate change accelerates in coming decades. Researchers use modeling approaches to simulate and understand how future climate change will impact species. In contrast, natural resource managers involved in wildlife action plans tend to favor index-based scoring approaches to understand the risks to and vulnerability...
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Species are on the move as they respond to climate change. This includes many native species, but also species with high costs to society such as disease vectors, pests, and nonnative invasive species (an invasive species is a species that is not native to a specific location but is spreading with the tendency of causing damage to native plants and animals). Currently there are hundreds of invasive species with relatively restricted ranges in the southeastern U.S., but as the climate changes these species are expected to expand their ranges to new regions. It is important to understand if and how these species might move and what actions we can take to lessen their impact on species and habitats. To achieve this...
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The southeastern U.S. is home to more than half of the animal and plant species that are being reviewed by the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS) to determine if they are threatened or endangered due to losses or changes in habitat. The longleaf pine ecosystem, which is native to the southeastern U.S., supports several animal species that are considered a priority to be reviewed, based on significant threats, how much knowledge we have about the species, and opportunities for conserving them. These include the gopher tortoise, striped newt, gopher frog, southern hognose snake, and Florida pine snake. This ecosystem also supports a large number of priority plants. State wildlife agencies in the Southeast are...
NC State University (NCSU) has largely met target objectives described in the Term Sheet (provided by NCASC) for the Phase 2 reporting period from August 1, 2017 - August 1, 2024. Over this period, NCSU has augmented the scope of work due to leveraged activity, new partnerships across the university, and new consortium members. We welcomed five new consortium members at the start of this phase. This includes four university partners – Auburn University, Duke University, University of Florida, and University of Tennessee – that have specific contractual activities associated with the new host agreement; University of South Carolina continued research and development on partner projects initiated in Phase I. This...
Categories: Publication; Types: Citation
The primary goal of the Nicholas Institute’s work under the SE CASC host award was to advance the integration of ecosystem services concepts into natural resource management practices that are relevant to SE CASC. Their activities addressed both state and federal needs, driven by two key workstreams: (1) regional ecosystem services mapping and the development of pilot ecosystem accounts for the southeastern U.S., and (2) opportunity mapping and benefits quantification for natural and working lands in North Carolina.
Categories: Publication; Types: Citation
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We estimated the effect of microhabitat and microclimatic factors on occupancy, abundance and reproduction of four species of Eleutherodactylus frogs (E. wightmanae, E. brittoni, E. antillensis, E. coqui). Data consist of presence-non/presence data (binary), and physical (abiotic) and habitat (biotic) covariates collected at each of 48 survey stations (2017) and 35 (2018) along two altitudinal gradients in west-central Puerto Rico.
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Climate change is expected to worsen the spread of invasive vines in the Southeast, where they disrupt ecosystems and damage human-built systems like agriculture and infrastructure. Researchers supported by this Southeast CASC project will combine species distribution models and remote sensing to improve predictions of vine spread by including often-overlooked biotic factors like host plants and co-occurring vine species. The researchers will also train undergraduate and graduate students in advanced research methods and work directly with land managers to document their experiences and challenges managing impacted landscapes and infrastructure. The Southeast is a hotspot for invasive vines that disrupt ecosystem...
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Managing and adapting to changing wildland fire regimes due to human-caused global warming can be facilitated through the use of analog mapping of potential climate-influenced outcomes. This dataset contains results from a simple process-based model, PC2FM, to derive projected analog fire regimes with respect to the potential fire probability concept. This concept is based on the potential energy and fuels available in the background environmental state under pre-industrial conditions for the coterminous US. To map climate-fire analog futures, three key relevant variables are used in addition to fire probability derived from PC2FM: annual temperature, annual precipitation, and precipitation seasonality. Projections...
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North Carolina State University is the host institution for the Southeast Climate Adaptation Science Center, providing organizational leadership to implement the CASC mission through capacity building, project management, communications, partnership development, and connections with scientific capabilities in the region. The mission is implemented through collaborative partnerships among USGS, natural and cultural resource management organizations, and academic institutions. SE CASC is part of a national network of nine regional CASCs along with a USGS national managing entity. NC State is the lead university for a consortium of academic and non-profit institutions across the Southeast, bringing together a breadth...
    map background search result map search result map Providing Science for the Conservation of Animals in the Southeastern Longleaf Pine Ecosystem An Assessment of Invasive Species Range Shifts in the Southeastern U.S. and Actions to Manage Them Local Demographic Rates of Four Eleutherodactylus Frogs in Puerto Rico, 2017-2019 (ver. 1.1, January 2025) Accounting for Ecological Impacts of Climate Change in State Wildlife Action Plans: A comparison of Model-Based and Index-Based Vulnerability Assessments Informing Climate-Adaptive Forest Management for Breeding Bird Habitat in the Southern Appalachians Southeast Climate Adaptation Science Center Consortium - Hosted by North Carolina State University (2023-2028) Climate-fire analog mapping to inform adaptive management strategies for wildland fire in protected areas of the conterminous U.S. Predicting Climate-Driven Invasive Fish Spread to Support Indigenous and State Freshwater Management in Florida Predicting Invasive Vine Spread in the Southeast using Remote Sensing and Species Distribution Models Informing Climate-Adaptive Forest Management for Breeding Bird Habitat in the Southern Appalachians Predicting Climate-Driven Invasive Fish Spread to Support Indigenous and State Freshwater Management in Florida An Assessment of Invasive Species Range Shifts in the Southeastern U.S. and Actions to Manage Them Accounting for Ecological Impacts of Climate Change in State Wildlife Action Plans: A comparison of Model-Based and Index-Based Vulnerability Assessments Providing Science for the Conservation of Animals in the Southeastern Longleaf Pine Ecosystem Southeast Climate Adaptation Science Center Consortium - Hosted by North Carolina State University (2023-2028) Predicting Invasive Vine Spread in the Southeast using Remote Sensing and Species Distribution Models Climate-fire analog mapping to inform adaptive management strategies for wildland fire in protected areas of the conterminous U.S.