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Science Brief for Resource Managers: Metacommunity Dynamics of Gila River Fishes Description: The upper Gila River in New Mexico is one of the few unobstructed rivers in the Colorado River Basin with largely intact native fish populations, including four federally listed and one state listed species.Freshwater systems throughout the West continue to be threatened by human encroachment and water development. Methodologies or decision support tools to evaluate resource management practices that foster an understanding of how fish species adapt to the effects of climate change are critical to future resource management planning. Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2011, AZ-01, AZ-02, Academics & scientific researchers, Applications and Tools, All tags... Arizona, Colorado River Basin, Conservation NGOs, Data Acquisition and Development, Data.gov Desert LCC, Datasets/Database, Decision Support, EARTH SCIENCE > BIOLOGICAL CLASSIFICATION > ANIMALS/VERTEBRATES > FISH, Federal resource managers, LCC Network Science Catalog, NM-02, New Mexico, New Mexico, Population & Habitat Evaluation/Projection, Publication, Report, Transboundary Madrean Watersheds Pilot Area, United States, Upper Gila River Basin, biodiversity, biota, climate change, completed, fish, product, risk, river, water, water management, Fewer tags Importance of biogeomorphic and spatial properties in assessing a tidal salt marsh vulnerability to sea-level rise We evaluated the biogeomorphic processes of a large (309 ha) tidal salt marsh and examined factors that influence its ability to keep pace with relative sea-level rise (SLR). Detailed elevation data from 1995 and 2008 were compared with digital elevation models (DEMs) to assess marsh surface elevation change during this time. Overall, 37 % (113 ha) of the marsh increased in elevation at a rate that exceeded SLR, whereas 63 % (196 ha) of the area did not keep pace with SLR. Of the total area, 55 % (169 ha) subsided during the study period, but subsidence varied spatially across the marsh surface. To determine which biogeomorphic and spatial factors contributed to measured elevation change, we collected soil cores... Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: Completed, LCC Network Science Catalog, Publication, environment Beyond a global warming fingerprint of climate change: heterogeneous biogeographic responses in California Understanding recent biogeographic responses to climate change is fundamental for improving our predictions of likely future responses and guiding conservation planning at both local and global scales. Studies of observed biogeographic responses to 20th century climate change have principally examined effects related to ubiquitous increases in temperature – collectively termed a warming fingerprint. Although the importance of changes in other aspects of climate – particularly precipitation and water availability – is widely acknowledged from a theoretical standpoint and supported by paleontological evidence, we lack a practical understanding of how these changes interact with temperature to drive biogeographic responses.... Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: Completed, LCC Network Science Catalog, Publication, environment Climate change and connectivity: Assessing landscape and species vulnerability Habitat loss and fragmentation are widely recognized as among the most important threats to global biodiversity. New analytical approaches are providing improved ability to predict the effects of landscape change on population connectivity at vast spatial extents. This paper presents an analysis of population connectivity for three species of conservation concern [swift fox (Vulpes velox); lesser prairie-chicken (Tympanuchus pallidicinctus); massasuaga (Sistrurus catenatus)] across the American Great Plains region. We used factorial least-cost path and resistant kernel analyses to predict effects of landscape conditions on corridor network connectivity. Our predictions of population connectivity provide testable... Categories: Data, Project, Publication; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2010, CO-01, CO-02, CO-03, CO-04, All tags... CO-05, CO-06, CO-07, Climate Change, Decision Support, Decision support, FY 2010, Federal resource managers, Federal resource managers, GPLCC, GRASSLANDS, Great Plains, Great Plains Landscape Conservation Cooperative, KS-01, KS-02, KS-04, LCC, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Map, Map, NE-01, NE-03, NM-02, NM-03, OK-03, OK-04, OK-05, Policy makers & regulators, Policy makers & regulators, Population and Habitat Evaluation/Projection, Project, Publication, Publication, Report, SAVANNA, SD-00, State agencies, State agencies, TERRESTRIAL ECOSYSTEMS, TX-11, TX-13, TX-19, TX-23, Vulnerability Assessment, WY-00, biota, completed, geoscientificInformation, Fewer tags High Resolution Vegetation Mapping of the Alaska Peninsula and Unimak Island The tundra biome is the dominant terrestrial ecosystem of the circumpolar north, and its fate in a rapidly changing climate is of high scientific and socioeconomic concern. One of those concerns is that the majority of caribou herds throughout the circumpolar north are declining, perhaps as a result of climate change. The principal objective of this research is to reveal the connections between soil nutrient cycling, forage quality and caribou habitat selection. This framework is underpinned by the concept that tundra ecosystem productivity is ultimately driven by the thermodynamics of the system induced by climate. Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: ALPINE/TUNDRA, ALPINE/TUNDRA, CARBON, CARBON, CARBON CYCLE/CARBON BUDGET MODELS, All tags... CARBON CYCLE/CARBON BUDGET MODELS, EVEN-TOED UNGULATES, EVEN-TOED UNGULATES, Federal resource managers, HERBIVORY, HERBIVORY, LANDSCAPE PROCESSES, LANDSCAPE PROCESSES, LCC Network Science Catalog, LICHENS, LICHENS, NITROGEN, NITROGEN, NITROGEN, NITROGEN, NUTRIENTS, NUTRIENTS, ORGANIC MATTER, ORGANIC MATTER, Publication, SOIL ABSORPTION, SOIL ABSORPTION, SOIL FERTILITY, SOIL FERTILITY, SOIL PRODUCTIVITY, SOIL PRODUCTIVITY, SOIL RESPIRATION, SOIL RESPIRATION, SOIL TEMPERATURE, SOIL TEMPERATURE, State agencies, Tribes, VEGETATION COVER, VEGETATION COVER, VEGETATION COVER, VEGETATION COVER, Western Alaska Landscape Conservation Cooperative data.gov, biota, biota, environment, environment, onGoing, Fewer tags Ecological effects of climate change on salt marsh wildlife: a case study from a highly urbanized estuary Coastal areas are high-risk zones subject to the impacts of global climate change, with significant increases in the frequencies of extreme weather and storm events, and sea-level rise forecast by 2100. These physical processes are expected to alter estuaries, resulting in loss of intertidal wetlands and their component wildlife species. In particular, impacts to salt marshes and their wildlife will vary both temporally and spatially and may be irreversible and severe. Synergistic effects caused by combining stressors with anthropogenic land-use patterns could create areas of significant biodiversity loss and extinction, especially in urbanized estuaries that are already heavily degraded. In this paper, we discuss... Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: Completed, LCC Network Science Catalog, Publication, environment Anthropogenic refugia ameliorate the severe climate-related decline of a montane mammal along its trailing edge We conducted detailed resurveys of a montane mammal, Urocitellus beldingi, to examine the effects of climate change on persistence along the trailing edge of its range. Of 74 California sites where U. beldingi were historically recorded (1902–1966), 42 per cent were extirpated, with no evidence for colonization of previously unoccupied sites. Increases in both precipitation and temperature predicted site extirpations, potentially owing to snowcover loss. Surprisingly, human land-use change buffered climate change impacts, leading to increased persistence and abundance. Excluding human-modified sites, U. beldingi has shown an upslope range retraction of 255 m. Generalized additive models of past distribution were... Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: Completed, LCC Network Science Catalog, Publication, environment Predicting Waterbird Nest Distributions on the Yukon–Kuskokwim Delta of Alaska The Yukon–Kuskokwim Delta of Alaska,USAis a globally important region for numerous avianspecies including millions of migrating and nesting waterbirds.However, data on the current spatial distributionof critical nesting areas and the importance of environmental variables in the selection of nest locations aregenerally lacking for waterbirds in this region.We modeled nest densities for 6 species of geese and eiders thatcommonly breed on the Yukon–Kuskokwim Delta, including cackling goose (Branta hutchinsii minima),emperor goose (Chen canagica), black brant (B. bernicla nigricans), greater white-fronted goose (Anser albifronsfrontalis), spectacled eider (Somateria fischeri), and common eider (S. mollissima).Thedata... Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: BIRDS, BIRDS, CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ASSESSMENT MODELS, CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ASSESSMENT MODELS, DELTAS, All tags... DELTAS, DELTAS, DELTAS, DUCKS/GEESE/SWANS, DUCKS/GEESE/SWANS, ENDANGERED SPECIES, ENDANGERED SPECIES, EROSION, EROSION, ESTUARINE WETLANDS, ESTUARINE WETLANDS, FLOODS, FLOODS, Federal resource managers, HABITAT CONVERSION/FRAGMENTATION, HABITAT CONVERSION/FRAGMENTATION, INUNDATION, INUNDATION, LCC Network Science Catalog, PALUSTRINE WETLANDS, PALUSTRINE WETLANDS, Policy makers & regulators, Publication, SALTWATER INTRUSION, SALTWATER INTRUSION, SEA LEVEL RISE, SEA LEVEL RISE, SEA LEVEL RISE, SEA LEVEL RISE, SEDIMENT TRANSPORT, SEDIMENT TRANSPORT, SEDIMENTATION, SEDIMENTATION, SEVERE STORMS, SEVERE STORMS, SPECIES LIFE HISTORY, SPECIES LIFE HISTORY, STORM SURGE, STORM SURGE, STORMS, STORMS, Tribes, USE/FEEDING HABITATS, USE/FEEDING HABITATS, WETLANDS, WETLANDS, Western Alaska Landscape Conservation Cooperative data.gov, biota, biota, climatologyMeteorologyAtmosphere, climatologyMeteorologyAtmosphere, completed, environment, environment, imageryBaseMapsEarthCover, imageryBaseMapsEarthCover, oceans, oceans, Fewer tags Report, Inventory and Assessment Protocols, Adaptation Plan, and Presentation for: Springs in the Sky Island Region: Inventory, Assessment, and Management Planning Project Sky Island Alliance (SIA) is a non-governmental organizational that works to protect and restore the rich natural heritage of native species and habitats in the Sky Island Region. We work with volunteers, scientists, land-owners, public officials, and government agencies to establish protected areas, restore healthy landscapes, and promote public appreciation of the region’s unique biological diversity. Because of our long-standing collaborative relationships with land managers and our large corps of skilled volunteers, we were in a unique position to spearhead this project.SIA initiated this springs inventory, assessment and management planning project to develop baseline information on springs in the Sky Island... Categories: Data, Publication; Types: ArcGIS REST Map Service, Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2011, AZ-02, AZ-03, Arizona, Conservation NGOs, All tags... Data Acquisition and Development, Data Management and Integration, Data.gov Desert LCC, Datasets/Database, Decision Support, Document, EARTH SCIENCE, EARTH SCIENCE, FLUVIAL LANDFORMS, FLUVIAL LANDFORMS, Federal resource managers, GEOMORPHIC LANDFORMS/PROCESSES, GEOMORPHIC LANDFORMS/PROCESSES, LAND SURFACE, LAND SURFACE, LCC Network Science Catalog, Map, Policy makers & regulators, Publication, Regional & county planners, Report, Report, SPRING, SPRING, Sky Island Region, Sky Islands Region, Transboundary Madrean Watersheds Pilot Area, United States, assessment, assessments, biota, completed, management, presentation, product, seeps and springs, volunteers, Fewer tags Even a marsh can drown This September, 2014 article in the Orange County Register highlights the project “Sea-level rise modeling across the California salt marsh gradient”. Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: Completed, LCC Network Science Catalog, Publication, environment Modeling snowdrift habitat for polar bear dens Throughout the Arctic most pregnant polar bears (Ursus maritimus) construct maternity dens in seasonal snowdrifts that form in wind-shadowed areas. We developed and verified a spatial snowdrift polar bearden habitat model (SnowDens-3D) that predicts snowdrift locations and depths along Alaska’s Beaufort Sea coast. SnowDens-3D integrated snow physics, weather data, and a high-resolution digital elevation model (DEM) to produce predictions of the timing, distribution, and growth of snowdrifts suitable for polar bear dens. SnowDens-3D assimilated 18 winters (1995 through 2012) of observed daily meteorological data and a 2.5 m grid-increment DEM covering 337.5 km2 of the Beaufort Sea coast, and described the snowdrift... Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: ANIMAL ECOLOGY AND BEHAVIOR, ANIMAL ECOLOGY AND BEHAVIOR, ANIMAL MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS, ANIMAL MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS, Academics & scientific researchers, All tags... Arctic Landscape Conservation Cooperative data.gov, BEARS, BEARS, Federal resource managers, LCC Network Science Catalog, Publication, REGULATORY MODELS, REGULATORY MODELS, SNOW, SNOW, SNOW COVER, SNOW COVER, SNOW DEPTH, SNOW DEPTH, SNOW DEPTH, SNOW DEPTH, State agencies, TOPOGRAPHY, TOPOGRAPHY, WIND SPEED/WIND DIRECTION, WIND SPEED/WIND DIRECTION, biota, biota, completed, elevation, elevation, environment, environment, geoscientificInformation, geoscientificInformation, Fewer tags Marshes to mudflats—Effects of sea-level rise on tidal marshes along a latitudinal gradient in the Pacific Northwest In the Pacific Northwest, coastal wetlands support a wealth of ecosystem services including habitat provision for wildlife and fisheries and flood protection. The tidal marshes, mudflats, and shallow bays of coastal estuaries link marine, freshwater, and terrestrial habitats, and provide economic and recreational benefits to local communities. Climate change effects such as sea-level rise are altering these habitats, but we know little about how these areas will change over the next 50–100 years. Our study examined the effects of sea-level rise on nine tidal marshes in Washington and Oregon between 2012 and 2015, with the goal of providing scientific data to support future coastal planning and conservation. We compiled... Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: LCC Network Science Catalog, Publication, completed, data.gov California LCC, environment Erosion of refugia in the Sierra Nevada meadows network with climate change Climate refugia management has been proposed as a climate adaptation strategy in the face of global change. Key to this strategy is identification of these areas as well as an understanding of how they are connected on the landscape. Focusing on meadows of the Sierra Nevada in California, we examined multiple factors affecting connectivity using circuit theory, and determined how patches have been and are expected to be affected by climate change. Connectivity surfaces varied depending upon the underlying hypothesis, although meadow area and elevation were important features for higher connectivity. Climate refugia that would promote population persistence were identified from downscaled climate layers, based on... Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: Completed, LCC Network Science Catalog, Publication, environment Publication: Correlates of habitat fragmentation and northern bobwhite abundance in the Gulf Prairie Landscape Conservation Cooperative The northern bobwhite Colinus virginianus has experienced range-wide declines over the past several decades, primarily due to habitat loss and habitat fragmentation. As northern bobwhite populations continue to decline, there is a need for studies that address the impact of habitat changes on population persistence at multiple spatial scales. Our goal was to assess changes in habitat and land use related to northern bobwhite declines across multiple spatial scales in Texas, Oklahoma, and Louisiana. We determined northern bobwhite trends for 1972–2012 using Breeding Bird Survey data. At the regional scale, we compared northern bobwhite population trends with road density (2000, 2012), human population (1970–2010),... Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: Academics & scientific researchers, Conservation NGOs, EARTH SCIENCE > HUMAN DIMENSIONS > HABITAT CONVERSION/FRAGMENTATION, Federal resource managers, LCC Network Science Catalog, All tags... Policy makers & regulators, Private land owners, Publication, Regional & county planners, State agencies, biota, completed, Fewer tags Resilient and Connected Landscapes for Terrestrial Conservation This report describes an effort of a team of 60 scientists led by The Nature Conservancy (TNC) to identify the places where nature’s own natural resilience is the highest. Thanks to the land’s diverse topography, bedrock, and soil, these climate-resilient sites are more likely to sustain native plants, animals, and natural processes into the future, becoming natural strongholds for diversity. To map their locations, The Nature Conservancy-led team used over 70 new and comprehensive datasets to find places that are buffered from the effects of climate change because the site offers a wide range of micro-climates within a highly connected area. In 2015, the results were published in a leading conservation science... Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: LCC Network Science Catalog, North Atlantic Landscape Conservation Cooperative Data.gov, Report, climate change, completed, All tags... connectivity, landscape conservation, permeability, resilience, terrestrial ecosystems, Fewer tags Pacific Coast Sea-Level Rise Workshops Workshops were held in each of the 3-6 areas to present study results and solicit visits with managers over 2-3 days. In addition, stakeholder involvement was recruited at 1-3 areas to develop a decision-making tool that incorporates climate change projections in management alternatives. Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: LCC Network Science Catalog, Publication, completed, data.gov California LCC, environment Collaborative decision-analytic framework to maximize resilience of tidal marshes to climate change Decision makers that are responsible for stewardship of natural resources face many challenges, which are complicated by uncertainty about impacts from climate change, expanding human development, and intensifying land uses. A systematic process for evaluating the social and ecological risks, trade-offs, and cobenefits associated with future changes is critical to maximize resilience and conserve ecosystem services. This is particularly true in coastal areas where human populations and landscape conversion are increasing, and where intensifying storms and sea-level rise pose unprecedented threats to coastal ecosystems. We applied collaborative decision analysis with a diverse team of stakeholders who preserve, manage,... Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: LCC Network Science Catalog, Publication, completed, data.gov California LCC, environment Effects of climate change on tidal marshes along a latitudinal gradient in California The coastal region of California supports a wealth of ecosystem services including habitat provision for wildlife and fisheries. Tidal marshes, mudflats, and shallow bays within coastal estuaries link marine, freshwater and terrestrial habitats, and provide economic and recreational benefits to local communities. Climate change effects such as sea-level rise (SLR) are altering these habitats, but we know little about how these areas will change over the next 50–100 years. Our study examined the projected effects of three recent SLR scenarios produced for the West Coast of North America on tidal marshes in California. We compiled physical and biological data, including coastal topography, tidal inundation, plant... Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: Completed, LCC Network Science Catalog, Publication, data.gov California LCC, environment Identifying Important Migratory Landbird Stopover Sites in the Northeast Dozens of species of landbirds, such as warblers, hummingbirds, and orioles, migrate through the Northeastern United States from their summer breeding grounds in the U.S. and Canada to their nonbreeding grounds as far south as South America. During the migration period, birds must find habitat where they can stop, rest and replenish their energy reserves. Conservation efforts are increasingly focused on identifying stopover sites that are important for sustaining migratory landbird populations. This project builds upon prior work by the University of Delaware and USGS to use weather surveillance data and field surveys to map and predict important migratory bird stopover sites.This project was co-funded by through... Categories: Data, Project, Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: Applications and Tools, Conservation Planning, FWS R5 SA Project, Federal resource managers, LCC, All tags... LCC Network Science Catalog, NALCC, North Atlantic Landscape Conservation Cooperative, Project, Publication, completed, environment, environment, Fewer tags