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The tillage suitability product is a per-crop, per-pixel (30 square-meters) model representation of the predicted probability (0.00-1.00) that an area can support commodity crop development for a suite of crop types commonly grown in the LCD landscape. The values for each grid cell are interpreted as a probability, with any value greater-than 0.50 suggesting an area should be suitable for crop development based on observations of thousands of farmed areas around the LCD. To demonstrate composite suitability (“tillage”) for all crops, we added the individual probabilities for our modeled from cover classes (cereals, corn, cotton, and beans; described below), which represents the overall proportion of votes for “crop”...
The goal of the Ozark Highlands Comprehensive Conservation Strategy (CCS) is to take an ecoregional approach to designing landscapes capable of sustaining healthy plant and animal communities in the Ozark Highlands. A comprehensive conservation strategy is Strategic Habitat Conservation. SHC is a continuous dialogue for habitat conservation. In a rapidly changing world this is necessarily a process rather than a product. An important milestone towards the CCS goal is the development of Conservation Opportunity Areas (COAs) that will focus conservation delivery efforts by the partners and other stakeholders. Although that product is important, this project goes beyond defining COAs to develop a preliminary network...
A presentation describing the planned prioritization model for identifying potentially suitable but currently unoccupied habitats to target search and restoration efforts for the federally-threatened Louisiana Pearlshell Mussel, from an early stage in the project.
This project will expand the East Gulf Coastal Plain’s existing grassland bird habitat model for prioritizing habitat management to include non-avian species of conservation concern in theGulf Coastal Plains and Ozarks region. It will also incorporate non-biological economics and cost effectiveness objectives into the decision framework.
Our goal is to predict the potential consequences of interactions among forest management, succession and natural disturbance, and climate change on Midwestern central hardwood landscapes and wildlife. We are working with partners that include the USDA Forest Service Eastern Region, the Northern Institute of Applied Climate Science, the Gulf Plains and Ozarks LCC, the USGS Northeast Climate Science Center, and the University of Missouri. We are making predictions for scenarios that are defined by alternative forest management actions, natural disturbance regimes, and alternative climate models. We first predict changes in tree species establishment under alternative climates on Midwestern sites with the LINKAGES...
This project will improve the existing Louisiana and Ozarks black bear models by incorporating more accurate, up-to-date landcover data, detailed agricultural data, and urbanization data. The models will then be coupled to create a seamless final landscape scale model of black bear habitat that identifies areas of importance for bears and specific forest management endpoints needed to maintain or create quality bear habitat.
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To estimate wetland CEDs available in the future (2040) we used data from Bartuszevige et al. 2016 which estimates changes in playa functionality as a result of sedimentation, potential wind development, and tillage. Playas estimated to be impacted by these drivers were eliminated from the wetland landcover map and the process of calculating crane energy days described above was repeated.
The Appalachian LCC Conservation Planning Atlas (CPA) is a platform for data discovery, sharing and collaboration for stakeholders throughout the Appalachian LCC region. With the CPA you can search for spatial datasets, visualize LCC-supported projects, and learn more about conservation science and design in the region.
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A collaborative research project sponsored by the National Park Service and the Appalachian LCC seeks to integrate cultural resources, such as historic bridges and Civil War Battlefields, into landscape conservation planning and design to emphasize both natural and cultural resources in defining conservation priorities.The goals of this research is to address the threats of land-use conversion associated with energy expansion, urbanization, sprawl, and climate change on cultural resources that society values. In order to integrate cultural resources into landscape-scale conservation planning and design, researchers at Penn State University will first identify relevant resources and data requirements, while investigating...
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Assessing Future Energy Development across the Appalachian LCC used models that combined data on energy development trends and identified where these may intersect with important natural resource and ecosystem services to give a more comprehensive picture of what potential energy development could look like in the Appalachians. Ultimately this information is intended to support dialogue and conservation on how to effectively avoid, minimize, and offset impacts from energy development to important natural areas and the valuable services they provide.A final report from the study outlines the major findings of the potential footprint from coal, wind, and natural gas development. Models that depicts the probability...
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The northern bobwhite (Colinus virginianus) has experienced range wide declines over the last several decades, primarily because of reduction to habitat through loss and fragmentation. For studies on population decline and habitat, spatial scale is very important: the effects of habitat structure at local spatial scales may depend on the larger landscape scale, and patterns may be more evident at different scales. As northern bobwhite populations continue to decline, there is a need for studies that address habitat changes and their impact on northern bobwhite population trends and persistence at three spatial scales (regional, county, and home range). Our goal was to assess changes in habitat and land use and their...
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Habitat hotspots were mapped for migratory birds ‘guilds’ across the LCD region using species presence/absence data collected from citizen-science datasets and modelled habitat conditions from the LANDFIRE program (Rollins, 2009). For presence/absence data, we used the eBird Reference Dataset (ERD, accessed October 1st, 2016; summarized in Sullivan et al., 2009) to model guild-level response to prevailing vegetation structure (e.g., percent-cover grass, tree, shrub, vegetation height), topography, and water availability for priority migratory bird species outlined in the Rio Mora NWR Land Protection Plan. We parsed eBird species “checklists” for species observed within a ~ 500 kilometer radius of the Rio Mora NWR....
This project will build on a nascent Landscape Connectivity Network facilitated by Pepperwood and comprised of land trusts, parks and open space districts, with state and federal land managers. In partnership with UC Berkeley, the network will build a place-based decision support platform for prioritizing and implementing habitat connectivity projects on the ground across multiple jurisdictions. The product will be a science-based prioritization of critical habitat pinch-points co-created with local land managers that identifies threatened linkages in high value habitat corridors. Specific products generated will include a region-wide prioritization of threatened linkages complemented by linkage-specific portfolio...
The Conservation Blueprint provides a foundation to design strategies for collaborative conservation effort to achieve sustainable landscapes in the face of change. It builds on the Ecological Assesment project to develop a set of linked geospatial data products related to the nine priority systems of the GCPO LCC to provide a scientific (i.e. transparent, replicable & defensible) approach to identifying the next best places for collaborative conservation effort toward the partnership’s shared vision.
Efforts to conserve regional biodiversity in the face of global climate change, habitat loss and fragmentation will depend on approaches that consider population processes at multiple scales. By combining habitat and demographic modeling, landscape-based population viability models effectively relate small-scale habitat and landscape patterns to regional population viability. We demonstrate the power of landscape-based population viability models to inform conservation planning by using these models to evaluate responses of prairie warbler (Dendroica discolor) and wood thrush (Hylocichla mustelina) populations in the Central Hardwoods Bird Conservation Region to simulated conservation scenarios. We assessed the...
This project links downscaled climate data to an ecosystem model (LINKAGES) to a landscape simulator (LANDIS) to wildlife models (HSI). Collectively, these models offer a means to assess the response of wildlife to climate change - mediated through habitat.
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The Appalachian NatureScape Design incorporates and models newly developed data and information from all Appalachian LCC funded research projects as well as key existing datasets from partners to produce a series of maps that integrate aquatic connectivity with terrestrial significant habitats to guide conservation planning and decision making.
California’s native fishes are mostly endemic, with no place to go as climate change increases water temperatures and alters stream flows. Many of the alien fishes, however, are likely to benefit from the effects of climate change. The goal of this project is to synthesize life history traits, population trends, status, and threats, including climate change, for all fishes in the state. We have found that 25% of the endemic fishes are now in danger of extinction. Climate change in conjunction with alien species, agriculture, and dams pose the greatest threat to native fishes. Preliminary results from two regional analyses suggest that native fishes in the Sierra Nevada are slightly less (74%) vulnerable to climate...
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These data represent the average annual depletion rate of the Ogallala aquifer from 1980 to 2009. These data were calculated by averaging spatially explicit 5 year depletion rates reported in McGuire et al. 2012.
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Landscape Conservation Cooperatives are public-private partnerships composed of federal, state, and local governments, Tribes and First Nations, non-governmental organizations, universities, interested public and private organizations, international jurisdictions, and others working together to address landscape and seascape scale conservation issues. However, numerous approaches to landscape conservation design (LCD) exist and the nuances among these efforts makes integration of LCD with other planning efforts and products, both within and across Landscape Conservation Cooperative boundaries, a challenge. We reviewed and synthesized information on LCD projects in the eastern United States to better understand challenges...
map background search result map search result map Final Report: Impacts of Habitat Fragmentation on Northern Bobwhites in the Gulf Coast Prairie Landscape Conservation Cooperative Integrating Approaches to Conservation Design across the LCC Network in the East Assessing Future Energy Development Across the Appalachians Appalachian NatureScape Integrating Cultural Resource Preservation at a Landscape Scale Future Wetland cud BCR 18 in 2040 Driver for Projections - Aquifer Annual Change 1980 to 2013 Driver for Projections Tillage Suitability 2016 Bird Habitat Suitability Lark, Grasshopper, and Cassin's Sparrow Future Wetland cud BCR 18 in 2040 Driver for Projections - Aquifer Annual Change 1980 to 2013 Driver for Projections Tillage Suitability 2016 Bird Habitat Suitability Lark, Grasshopper, and Cassin's Sparrow Final Report: Impacts of Habitat Fragmentation on Northern Bobwhites in the Gulf Coast Prairie Landscape Conservation Cooperative Assessing Future Energy Development Across the Appalachians Appalachian NatureScape Integrating Cultural Resource Preservation at a Landscape Scale Integrating Approaches to Conservation Design across the LCC Network in the East