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Model input and output for hydrologic simulations in the Rio Grande Headwaters, Colorado, using the Precipitation-Runoff Modeling System (PRMS) The U.S. Geological Survey Precipitation-Runoff Modeling System (PRMS) was used to assess the effects of changing climate and land disturbance on seasonal streamflow in the Rio Grande Headwaters (RGHW) region. Three applications of PRMS in the RGHW were used to simulate 1) baseline effects of climate, 2) effects of bark-beetle induced tree mortality, and 3) effects of wildfire, on components of the hydrologic cycle and subsequent seasonal streamflow runoff from April through September for water years 1980 through 2017. PRMS input files and select PRMS output variables for each simulation are contained in this data release to accompany the journal article. Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: Data Visualization & Tools, Hydrology, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, Science Tools For Managers, South Central CASC, All tags... USGS Science Data Catalog (SDC), Water Resources, Water, Coasts and Ice, Fewer tags Geographic patterns and time trends in surface-water quality, modeled streamflow, fish population characteristics, and ecological flows in the Canadian River Basin from Northeast New Mexico to Lake Eufaula, Oklahoma Geographic patterns and time trends of water-quality, modeled streamflow, and ecological data were compared along the Canadian River and selected tributaries in northeastern New Mexico to Lake Eufaula in Oklahoma to determine effects of climate change on water quality, streamflows, fish populations and ecological flows in this watershed from 1939 to 2013. Project participants included staff from the Oklahoma Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit, Vieux and Associates, USGS New Jersey Water Science Center and the USGS Oklahoma Water Science Center. Principal project funding was by the South Central Climate Science Center, with in-kind matching from the project participant organizations. Tags: Ecology, Instream Flows, Precipitation Variability, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, South Central CASC, All tags... USGS Science Data Catalog (SDC), Water, Coasts and Ice, Fewer tags Point locations of daily flow rates in the Canadian River watershed derived from hydrologic modeling 1994-2013 The development of a hydrologic foundation, essential for advancing our understanding of flow-ecology relationships, was accomplished using the high-resolution physics-based distributed rainfall-runoff model Vflo. We compared the accuracy and bias associated with flow metrics that were generated using Vflo at both a daily and monthly time step in the Canadian River basin, USA. First, we calibrated and applied bias correction to the Vflo model to simulate streamflow at ungaged catchment locations. Next, flow metrics were calculated using both simulated and observed data from stream gage locations. We found discharge predictions using Vflo were more accurate than using drainage area ratios. General correspondence... Categories: Data; Tags: Rivers, Streams and Lakes, South Central CASC, Vflo, Water, Coasts and Ice, biota, All tags... distributed modeling, hydro-ecology, hydrology, mathematical modeling, precipitation (atmospheric), stream discharge, streamflow, Fewer tags Reference period and projected environmental suitability scores These data were generated with MAXENT 3.3.3k freeware (Phillips et al. 2011) using climate data and fire probability data for for three time periods: reference (1900-1929), mid-century (2040-2069) and late century (2070-2099), and community occurrence point data extracted from LANDFIRE Environmental Site Potential (ESP). Future time period data are from three global climate models (GCMs): CGCM, GFDL, and HadCM3. In MAXENT, we used the logistic output format (generating presence probabilities between 0 and 1), a random test percentage of 30 (using 70 % of the occurrence points to generate the suitability model and 30 % of the occurrence points to validate it), and a jackknife test to measure variable importance.... Tags: Climate Change, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Environmental Suitability Models, Fire, LANDFIRE, All tags... MAXENT, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Plants, South Central CASC, Texas, Wildlife and Plants, Fewer tags Fish Data Collection and Streamflows on the Canadian River 1995-2015 The use of streamflow simulations from the Vflo model and subsequent calculation of streamflow metrics to investigate flow-ecology relationships may be hindered by our inability to accurately model flow variability and extreme flows of the arid Great Plains. The Canadian River and other rivers in the Great Plains tend to have highly variable flows and harsh environmental conditions. The combination of these environmental conditions makes semi-arid and arid regions difficult to represent with a hydrologic model, especially extreme events. In some cases, overestimating flows may be acceptable to water managers (e.g., vulnerability of infrastructures), but could greatly affect estimates of fish species persistence.... Categories: Data; Tags: Great Plains, Pelagophils, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, South Central CASC, Water, Coasts and Ice, All tags... fish assemblage, Fewer tags Model input for Precipitation-Runoff Modeling System simulations in the Rio Grande Headwaters, Colorado, for water years 1980 through 2017 The U.S. Geological Survey Precipitation-Runoff Modeling System (PRMS) was used to assess the effects of changing climate and land disturbance on seasonal streamflow in the Rio Grande Headwaters (RGHW) region. Three applications of PRMS in the RGHW were used to simulate 1) baseline effects of climate (see RGHW-PRMS_baseline_input.zip), 2) effects of bark-beetle induced tree mortality (see RGHW-PRMS_BB_input.zip), and 3) effects of wildfire (see RGHW-PRMS_fire_input.zip), on components of the hydrologic cycle by hydrologic response unit (HRU) and subsequent seasonal streamflow runoff from April through September for water years 1980 through 2017. PRMS input files (control, climate-by-hru, data, parameter, dynamic... Categories: Data; Tags: Data Visualization & Tools, Del Norte, Rio Grande, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, Science Tools For Managers, All tags... South Central CASC, South Fork Rio Grande, Water, Coasts and Ice, streamflow modeling, water supply and demand, Fewer tags Water Quality Data Analyses in the Canadian River Basin, 1939-2013 Summary of statistics, regression analyses, LOADEST regressions, mean annual flow-weighted concentrations/values, and Kendal tau trend analyses of flow-weighted constituent concentrations of dissolved chloride, suspended sediment, dissolved oxygen, pH, and Temperature values of water samples collected intermittently at USGS streamgages on the Canadian River or its tributaries from northeastern New Mexico, to Lake Eufaula in Oklahoma from 1949-2013. Water-quality data were retrieved from the USGS NWIS system in 2014. Categories: Data; Tags: Canadian River, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, South Central CASC, Water, Coasts and Ice, streamflow U.S. Gulf of Mexico coast (TX, MS, AL, and FL) Macroclimate Landscape and Climate Data (2013-2014) The northern Gulf of Mexico coast spans two major climate gradients and represents an excellent natural laboratory for developing climate-influenced ecological models. In this project, we used these zones of remarkable transition to develop macroclimate-based models for quantifying the regional responses of coastal wetland ecosystems to climate variation. In addition to providing important fish and wildlife habitat and supporting coastal food webs, these coastal wetlands provide many ecosystem goods and services including clean water, stable coastlines, food, recreational opportunities, and stored carbon. Our objective was to examine and forecast the effects of macroclimatic drivers on wetland ecosystem structure... Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: Corpus Christi, Galveston, Grand Bay, Gulf of Mexico, Laguna Madre, All tags... Port Aransas, San Antonio, Sea-Level Rise and Coasts, Slidell, South Central CASC, State of Alabama, State of Florida, State of Louisiana, State of Mississippi, State of Texas, Tampa Bay, Ten Thousand Islands, Water, Coasts and Ice, Weeks Bay, Wetlands, climate, climate, elevation, elevation, landscape, landscape, latitude, latitude, longitude, longitude, Fewer tags U.S. Gulf of Mexico coast (TX, MS, AL, and FL) Macroclimate Vegetation Data Section 1 (2013-2014) The northern Gulf of Mexico coast spans two major climate gradients and represents an excellent natural laboratory for developing climate-influenced ecological models. In this project, we used these zones of remarkable transition to develop macroclimate-based models for quantifying the regional responses of coastal wetland ecosystems to climate variation. In addition to providing important fish and wildlife habitat and supporting coastal food webs, these coastal wetlands provide many ecosystem goods and services including clean water, stable coastlines, food, recreational opportunities, and stored carbon. Our objective was to examine and forecast the effects of macroclimatic drivers on wetland ecosystem structure... Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: Corpus Christi, Galveston, Grand Bay, Gulf of Mexico, Laguna Madre, All tags... Port Aransas, San Antonio, Sea-Level Rise and Coasts, Slidell, South Central CASC, State of Alabama, State of Florida, State of Louisiana, State of Mississippi, State of Texas, Tampa Bay, Ten Thousand Islands, Water, Coasts and Ice, Weeks Bay, Wetlands, environment, vegetation, vegetation, Fewer tags Reference period and projected environmental suitability scores-Oaks These data were generated with MAXENT 3.3.3k freeware (Phillips et al. 2011) using climate data and fire probability data for for three time periods: reference (1900-1929), mid-century (2040-2069) and late century (2070-2099), and community occurrence point data extracted from LANDFIRE Environmental Site Potential (ESP). Future time period data are from three global climate models (GCMs): CGCM, GFDL, and HadCM3. In MAXENT, we used the logistic output format (generating presence probabilities between 0 and 1), a random test percentage of 30 (using 70 % of the occurrence points to generate the suitability model and 30 % of the occurrence points to validate it), and a jackknife test to measure variable importance.... Categories: Data; Types: Downloadable, GeoTIFF, Map Service, Raster; Tags: Climate Change, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Environmental Suitability Models, Fire, LANDFIRE, All tags... MAXENT, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Plants, South Central CASC, Texas, Wildlife and Plants, Fewer tags U.S. Gulf of Mexico coast (TX, MS, AL, and FL) Macroclimate Soil Data (2013-2014) The northern Gulf of Mexico coast spans two major climate gradients and represents an excellent natural laboratory for developing climate-influenced ecological models. In this project, we used these zones of remarkable transition to develop macroclimate-based models for quantifying the regional responses of coastal wetland ecosystems to climate variation. In addition to providing important fish and wildlife habitat and supporting coastal food webs, these coastal wetlands provide many ecosystem goods and services including clean water, stable coastlines, food, recreational opportunities, and stored carbon. Our objective was to examine and forecast the effects of macroclimatic drivers on wetland ecosystem structure... Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: Corpus Christi, Galveston, Grand Bay, Gulf of Mexico, Laguna Madre, All tags... Port Aransas, San Antonio, Sea-Level Rise and Coasts, Slidell, South Central CASC, State of Alabama, State of Florida, State of Louisiana, State of Mississippi, State of Texas, Tampa Bay, Ten Thousand Islands, Water, Coasts and Ice, Weeks Bay, Wetlands, bulk density, bulk density, environment, environment, moisture, soil, soil, soil organic matter, soil organic matter, Fewer tags Fire Risk Frequency Analysis of the South Central Plains (1996-2015) Fire is a natural and necessary component of the South Central Plains ecosystem. However, fire suppression and more frequent droughts in the region have resulted in a build-up of dry fuels loads such as dead wood, resulting in fires that burn hotter and impact the landscape more severely. Uncontrolled wildfires have cost the region several billion dollars in the past five years. Further, fire suppression has resulted in substantial losses in native plant biodiversity and wildlife habitat, which also has costly implications. In Oklahoma alone, it’s estimated that $157 million will be required to restore rangelands to their native conditions. Of further concern is the fact that projected changes in climate indicate... Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: Climate change, Climatology, Controlled fires, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Fire, All tags... South Central CASC, Fewer tags Model output from Precipitation-Runoff Modeling System simulations in the Rio Grande Headwaters, Colorado, for water years 1980 through 2017 The U.S. Geological Survey Precipitation-Runoff Modeling System (PRMS) was used to assess the effects of changing climate and land disturbance on seasonal streamflow in the Rio Grande Headwaters (RGHW) region. Three applications of PRMS in the RGHW were used to simulate 1) baseline effects of climate (see RGHW-PRMS_baseline_simulation.zip), 2) effects of bark-beetle induced tree mortality (see RGHW-PRMS_BB_simulation.zip), and 3) effects of wildfire (see RGHW-PRMS_fire_simulation.zip), on components of the hydrologic cycle by hydrologic response unit (HRU) and subsequent seasonal streamflow runoff from April through September for water years 1980 through 2017. Select PRMS output variables for each simulation are... Categories: Data; Tags: Data Visualization & Tools, Del Norte, Rio Grande, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, Science Tools For Managers, All tags... South Central CASC, South Fork Rio Grande, Water, Coasts and Ice, streamflow modeling, water supply and demand, Fewer tags Landward migration of tidal saline wetlands with sea-level rise and urbanization: a comparison of northern Gulf of Mexico estuaries Coastal wetland ecosystems are expected to migrate landward in response to accelerated sea-level rise. However, due to differences in topography and coastal urbanization extent, estuaries vary in their ability to accommodate wetland migration. The landward movement of wetlands requires suitable conditions, such as a gradual slope and land free of urban development. Urban barriers can constrain migration and result in wetland loss (coastal squeeze). For future-focused conservation planning purposes, there is a pressing need to quantify and compare the potential for wetland landward movement and coastal squeeze. For 41 estuaries in the northern Gulf of Mexico (i.e., the USA gulf coast), we quantified and compared... Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Downloadable, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, Shapefile; Tags: Alabama, Florida, Gulf of Mexico, Louisiana, Mississippi, All tags... North America, Sea-Level Rise and Coasts, South Central CASC, Southeast CASC, Texas, USGS Science Data Catalog (SDC), United States, Water, Coasts and Ice, Wetlands, biota, climate change, climate change, effects of climate change, environment, estuaries, estuary, natural resource management, planning Cadastre, sea level change, sea-level change, wetlands, wetlands, Fewer tags Reference period and projected environmental suitability scores-Mesquite These data were generated with MAXENT 3.3.3k freeware (Phillips et al. 2011) using climate data and fire probability data for for three time periods: reference (1900-1929), mid-century (2040-2069) and late century (2070-2099), and community occurrence point data extracted from LANDFIRE Environmental Site Potential (ESP). Future time period data are from three global climate models (GCMs): CGCM, GFDL, and HadCM3. In MAXENT, we used the logistic output format (generating presence probabilities between 0 and 1), a random test percentage of 30 (using 70 % of the occurrence points to generate the suitability model and 30 % of the occurrence points to validate it), and a jackknife test to measure variable importance.... Categories: Data; Types: Downloadable, GeoTIFF, Map Service, Raster; Tags: Climate Change, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Environmental Suitability Models, Fire, LANDFIRE, All tags... MAXENT, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Plants, South Central CASC, Texas, Wildlife and Plants, Fewer tags Reference period and projected environmental suitability scores-Pinyon-Juniper These data were generated with MAXENT 3.3.3k freeware (Phillips et al. 2011) using climate data and fire probability data for for three time periods: reference (1900-1929), mid-century (2040-2069) and late century (2070-2099), and community occurrence point data extracted from LANDFIRE Environmental Site Potential (ESP). Future time period data are from three global climate models (GCMs): CGCM, GFDL, and HadCM3. In MAXENT, we used the logistic output format (generating presence probabilities between 0 and 1), a random test percentage of 30 (using 70 % of the occurrence points to generate the suitability model and 30 % of the occurrence points to validate it), and a jackknife test to measure variable importance.... Categories: Data; Types: Downloadable, GeoTIFF, Map Service, Raster; Tags: Climate Change, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Environmental Suitability Models, Fire, LANDFIRE, All tags... MAXENT, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Plants, South Central CASC, Texas, Wildlife and Plants, Fewer tags Fire and climate suitability for woody vegetation communities in south central United States-Data Three .csv files contain occurrence points (longitude and latitude) for three woody vegetation communities found in Texas, Oklahoma and New Mexico. Points were extracted from publicly available LANDFIRE Environmental Site Potential 30 m raster downgraded to 1 km using a majority classification algorithm. The three communities are an oak type (dominated by Quercus stellata and Q. marilandica), a mesquite type (dominated by Prosopis glandulosa and P. velutina), and a pinyon-juniper type (dominated by Pinus edulis and Juniperus osteosperma). The 21 rasters contain environmental suitability scores for each of the three communities, generated with MAXENT freeware using historic and projected climate and fire probability... Tags: Climate Change, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Environmental Site Potential, Environmental Suitability Models, Fire, All tags... LANDFIRE, MAXENT, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Plants, South Central CASC, Texas, Type localities, Wildlife and Plants, Fewer tags