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Warmer Waters From Climate Change Could Impact Sport Fish Communities in Midwestern Lakes Climate change is predicted to alter sport fish communities in Midwestern lakes, according to a new study that related water temperature to suitability for walleye and largemouth bass in more than 2,100 Wisconsin lakes. Tags: Anglers, Fish, Fisheries, Northeast CASC, Recreation, All tags... Rivers, Streams and Lakes, Water, Coasts and Ice, Wildlife and Plants, Fewer tags Model configuration: A large-scale database of modeled contemporary and future water temperature data for 10,774 Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin Lakes Climate change has been shown to influence lake temperatures globally. To better understand the diversity of lake responses to climate change and give managers tools to manage individual lakes, we modelled daily water temperature profiles for 10,774 lakes in Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin for contemporary (1979-2015) and future (2020-2040 and 2080-2100) time periods with climate models based on the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5, the worst-case emission scenario. From simulated temperatures, we derived commonly used, ecologically relevant annual metrics of thermal conditions for each lake. We included all available supporting metadata including satellite and in-situ observations of water clarity, maximum... Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: 007, 012, Fish, IA, IL, All tags... IN, Illinois, Illinois, Indiana, Indiana, Iowa, Iowa, MI, MN, Michigan, Michigan, Minnesota, Minnesota, Northeast CASC, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, SD, South Dakota, South Dakota, US, United States, WI, Water, Coasts and Ice, Wildlife and Plants, Wisconsin, Wisconsin, climate change, environment, inlandWaters, modeling, reservoirs, temperate lakes, thermal profiles, water, Fewer tags Process-guided deep learning predictions of lake water temperature Climate change has been shown to influence lake temperatures in different ways. To better understand the diversity of lake responses to climate change and give managers tools to manage individual lakes, we focused on improving prediction accuracy for daily water temperature profiles in 68 lakes in Minnesota and Wisconsin during 1980-2018. The data are organized into these items: Spatial data - One shapefile of polygons for all 68 lakes in this study (.shp, .shx, .dbf, and .prj files) Model configurations - Model parameters and metadata used to configure models (1 JSON file, with metadata for each of 68 lakes, indexed by "site_id") Model inputs - Data formatted as model inputs for predicting temperature a. Lake... Tags: 007, 012, Ecology, Fish, Limnology, All tags... MN, Minnesota, Northeast CASC, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, US, USGS Science Data Catalog (SDC), United States, WI, Water Quality, Water Resources, Water, Coasts and Ice, Wildlife and Plants, Wisconsin, climate change, deep learning, environment, hybrid modeling, inlandWaters, machine learning, modeling, reservoirs, temperate lakes, temperature, thermal profiles, water, Fewer tags Temperature data: A large-scale database of modeled contemporary and future water temperature data for 10,774 Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin Lakes Climate change has been shown to influence lake temperatures globally. To better understand the diversity of lake responses to climate change and give managers tools to manage individual lakes, we modelled daily water temperature profiles for 10,774 lakes in Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin for contemporary (1979-2015) and future (2020-2040 and 2080-2100) time periods with climate models based on the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5, the worst-case emission scenario. From simulated temperatures, we derived commonly used, ecologically relevant annual metrics of thermal conditions for each lake. We included all available supporting metadata including satellite and in-situ observations of water clarity, maximum... Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: 007, 012, Fish, IA, IL, All tags... IN, Illinois, Illinois, Indiana, Indiana, Iowa, Iowa, MI, MN, Michigan, Michigan, Minnesota, Minnesota, Northeast CASC, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, SD, South Dakota, South Dakota, US, United States, WI, Water, Coasts and Ice, Wildlife and Plants, Wisconsin, Wisconsin, climate change, environment, inlandWaters, modeling, reservoirs, temperate lakes, thermal profiles, water, Fewer tags Seasonality of change: Summer warming rates do not fully represent effects of climate change on lake temperatures Abstract (from http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/lno.10557/abstract): Responses in lake temperatures to climate warming have primarily been characterized using seasonal metrics of surface-water temperatures such as summertime or stratified period average temperatures. However, climate warming may not affect water temperatures equally across seasons or depths. We analyzed a long-term dataset (1981–2015) of biweekly water temperature data in six temperate lakes in Wisconsin, U.S.A. to understand (1) variability in monthly rates of surface- and deep-water warming, (2) how those rates compared to summertime average trends, and (3) if monthly heterogeneity in water temperature trends can be predicted by heterogeneity... Categories: Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: Fish, Northeast CASC, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, Water, Coasts and Ice, Wildlife and Plants Climate warming of Wisconsin lakes can be either amplified or suppressed by trends in water clarity While climate change is rapidly warming lakes and reservoirs, warming rates can be highly variable among systems because lake characteristics can modulate atmospheric forcing. While it is known that water clarity changes can alter lake water temperatures, it is unknown if frequently observed water clarity trends are sufficient to meaningfully impact the thermal trajectories of diverse lake populations. Using process-based modeling and empirical observations, this study demonstrates that water clarity changes of about 1% per year amplifies or suppresses warming at rates comparable to climate-induced warming. These results demonstrate that trends in water clarity, which are occurring in many lakes, may be as important... Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: Climatology, Fish, Northeast CASC, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, USGS Science Data Catalog (SDC), All tags... Water Quality, Water, Coasts and Ice, Wildlife and Plants, Fewer tags Projected shifts in fish species dominance in Wisconsin lakes under climate change Temperate lakes may contain both coolwater fish species such as walleye (Sander vitreus) and warmwater species such as largemouth bass (Micropterus salmoides). Recent declines in walleye and increases in largemouth bass populations have raised questions regarding the future trajectories and appropriate management actions for these important species. We developed a thermodynamic model of water temperatures driven by downscaled climate data and lake specific characteristics to estimate daily water temperature profiles for 2151 lakes in Wisconsin, USA under contemporary (1989-2014) and future (2040-2064 and 2065-2089) conditions. We correlated contemporary walleye recruitment success and largemouth bass relative abundance... Tags: Aquatic Biology, Fish, Northeast CASC, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, USGS Science Data Catalog (SDC), All tags... Water, Coasts and Ice, Wildlife and Plants, Fewer tags Model drivers: A large-scale database of modeled contemporary and future water temperature data for 10,774 Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin Lakes Climate change has been shown to influence lake temperatures globally. To better understand the diversity of lake responses to climate change and give managers tools to manage individual lakes, we modelled daily water temperature profiles for 10,774 lakes in Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin for contemporary (1979-2015) and future (2020-2040 and 2080-2100) time periods with climate models based on the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5, the worst-case emission scenario. From simulated temperatures, we derived commonly used, ecologically relevant annual metrics of thermal conditions for each lake. We included all available supporting metadata including satellite and in-situ observations of water clarity, maximum... Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: 007, 012, Fish, IA, IL, All tags... IN, Illinois, Illinois, Indiana, Indiana, Iowa, Iowa, MI, MN, Michigan, Michigan, Minnesota, Minnesota, Northeast CASC, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, SD, South Dakota, South Dakota, US, United States, WI, Water, Coasts and Ice, Wildlife and Plants, Wisconsin, Wisconsin, climate change, environment, inlandWaters, modeling, reservoirs, temperate lakes, thermal profiles, water, Fewer tags Spatial data: A large-scale database of modeled contemporary and future water temperature data for 10,774 Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin Lakes Climate change has been shown to influence lake temperatures globally. To better understand the diversity of lake responses to climate change and give managers tools to manage individual lakes, we modelled daily water temperature profiles for 10,774 lakes in Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin for contemporary (1979-2015) and future (2020-2040 and 2080-2100) time periods with climate models based on the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5, the worst-case emission scenario. From simulated temperatures, we derived commonly used, ecologically relevant annual metrics of thermal conditions for each lake. We included all available supporting metadata including satellite and in-situ observations of water clarity, maximum... Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Downloadable, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, Shapefile; Tags: 007, 012, Fish, IA, IL, All tags... IN, Illinois, Illinois, Indiana, Indiana, Iowa, Iowa, MI, MN, Michigan, Michigan, Minnesota, Minnesota, Northeast CASC, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, SD, South Dakota, South Dakota, US, United States, WI, Water, Coasts and Ice, Wildlife and Plants, Wisconsin, Wisconsin, climate change, environment, inlandWaters, modeling, reservoirs, temperate lakes, thermal profiles, water, Fewer tags Data release: A large-scale database of modeled contemporary and future water temperature data for 10,774 Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin Lakes Climate change has been shown to influence lake temperatures globally. To better understand the diversity of lake responses to climate change and give managers tools to manage individual lakes, we modelled daily water temperature profiles for 10,774 lakes in Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin for contemporary (1979-2015) and future (2020-2040 and 2080-2100) time periods with climate models based on the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5, the worst-case emission scenario. From simulated temperatures, we derived commonly used, ecologically relevant annual metrics of thermal conditions for each lake. We included all available supporting metadata including satellite and in-situ observations of water clarity, maximum... Types: Citation; Tags: 007, 012, Climatology, Ecology, Fish, All tags... IA, IL, IN, Illinois, Illinois, Indiana, Indiana, Iowa, Iowa, MI, MN, Michigan, Michigan, Minnesota, Minnesota, Northeast CASC, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, SD, South Dakota, South Dakota, US, USGS Science Data Catalog (SDC), United States, WI, Water Resources, Water, Coasts and Ice, Wildlife and Plants, Wisconsin, Wisconsin, climate change, environment, inlandWaters, modeling, reservoirs, temperate lakes, thermal profiles, water, Fewer tags Process‐guided deep learning predictions of lake water temperature Abstract(from:https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2019WR024922)The rapid growth of data in water resources has created new opportunities to accelerate knowledge discovery with the use of advanced deep learning tools. Hybrid models that integrate theory with state‐of‐the art empirical techniques have the potential to improve predictions while remaining true to physical laws. This paper evaluates the Process‐Guided Deep Learning (PGDL) hybrid modeling framework with a use‐case of predicting depth‐specific lake water temperatures. The PGDL model has three primary components: a deep learning model with temporal awareness (long short‐term memory recurrence), theory‐based feedbacks (model penalties... Categories: Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: Fish, Northeast CASC, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, Water, Coasts and Ice, Wildlife and Plants, All tags... data science, deep learning, lake modeling, process‐guided deep learning, temperature prediction, theory‐guided data science, Fewer tags Thermal metrics: A large-scale database of modeled contemporary and future water temperature data for 10,774 Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin Lakes Climate change has been shown to influence lake temperatures globally. To better understand the diversity of lake responses to climate change and give managers tools to manage individual lakes, we modelled daily water temperature profiles for 10,774 lakes in Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin for contemporary (1979-2015) and future (2020-2040 and 2080-2100) time periods with climate models based on the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5, the worst-case emission scenario. From simulated temperatures, we derived commonly used, ecologically relevant annual metrics of thermal conditions for each lake. We included all available supporting metadata including satellite and in-situ observations of water clarity, maximum... Categories: Data; Types: Citation; Tags: 007, 012, Fish, IA, IL, All tags... IN, Illinois, Illinois, Indiana, Indiana, Iowa, Iowa, MI, MN, Michigan, Michigan, Minnesota, Minnesota, Northeast CASC, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, SD, South Dakota, South Dakota, US, United States, WI, Water, Coasts and Ice, Wildlife and Plants, Wisconsin, Wisconsin, climate change, environment, inlandWaters, modeling, reservoirs, temperate lakes, thermal profiles, water, Fewer tags Climate change and freshwater fish Lakes in Wisconsin are getting warmer, and fish communities are changing as a result. Learn more by visiting https://owi.usgs.gov/vizlab/climate-change-walleye-bass/ where you can read more detailed information about the study’s findings, and examine predictions for individual lakes throughout Wisconsin with an interactive map. Tags: Data Visualization, Fish, Fisheries, Midwest, Northeast CASC, All tags... Recreation, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, Water, Coasts and Ice, Wildlife and Plants, Fewer tags Developing Adaptation Strategies for Recreational and Tribal Fisheries in the Upper Midwest Fisheries in the glacial lakes region of the upper Midwest are culturally, economically, and recreationally beneficial. Walleye, for instance, represent an important subsistence food source for some Wisconsin tribal nations and are also popular among recreational anglers. However, predicted ecological changes to these aquatic communities, such as an increase in invasive fish species, a decrease in walleye and other native fishes, and worsening water quality due to increases in temperature and shifts in precipitation, has prompted concern among regional anglers who may abandon certain fisheries as these changes occur. Understanding how changes in climate may affect glacial lakes region fishes, and how fishery managers... Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2018, CASC, Fish, Fish, Indigenous Peoples, All tags... Indigenous Peoples, National CASC, National CASC, Projects by Region, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, Tribes and Tribal Organizations, Tribes and Tribal Organizations, Water, Coasts and Ice, Water, Coasts and Ice, Wildlife and Plants, Wildlife and Plants, Wildlife and Plants, Wisconsin, adaptation, glacial lakes, walleye, Fewer tags