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The Nature Conservancy (TNC) has derived climate suitability forecasts for most species of trees and shrubs considered to be ecological dominants of terrestrial Californian habitat types. Our plant projections are compiled as decision support tools to help Conservancy project staff, as well as our external partners, develop the necessary plans, priorities and strategies to successfully adapt to uncertain changes in future climate. In the recently completed Southern Sierra Partnership's 2010 Climate-Adapted Conservation Plan for the Southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains, species and habitat forecasts shown here informed the development of a regional conservation design that explicitly incorporates long-term...
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The Nature Conservancy (TNC) has derived climate suitability forecasts for most species of trees and shrubs considered to be ecological dominants of terrestrial Californian habitat types. Our plant projections are compiled as decision support tools to help Conservancy project staff, as well as our external partners, develop the necessary plans, priorities and strategies to successfully adapt to uncertain changes in future climate. In the recently completed Southern Sierra Partnership's 2010 Climate-Adapted Conservation Plan for the Southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains, species and habitat forecasts shown here informed the development of a regional conservation design that explicitly incorporates long-term...
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The Nature Conservancy (TNC) has derived climate suitability forecasts for most species of trees and shrubs considered to be ecological dominants of terrestrial Californian habitat types. Our plant projections are compiled as decision support tools to help Conservancy project staff, as well as our external partners, develop the necessary plans, priorities and strategies to successfully adapt to uncertain changes in future climate. In the recently completed Southern Sierra Partnership's 2010 Climate-Adapted Conservation Plan for the Southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains, species and habitat forecasts shown here informed the development of a regional conservation design that explicitly incorporates long-term...
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Conservation planning efforts for sagebrush ecosystems of western North America increasingly focus on enhancing operational resilience though decision-support tools that link spatially explicit variation in soil and plant processes to outcomes of biotic and abiotic disturbances spanning large spatial extents. However, failure to consider higher trophic-level fauna (e.g. wildlife) in these tools can hinder efforts to operationalize resilience owing to spatiotemporal lags between slower reorganization of plant and soil processes following disturbance, and faster behavioral and demographic responses of fauna to disturbance. These spatial products provide additional examples for managers of sagebrush ecosystems and...
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The overall project goal is to understand and model the watershed impacts of forest restoration actions (thinning, prescribed fire) and climate change on the hydrologic function, particularly with respect to (1) changes in soil moisture and water yield during snowmelt, (2) inter-annual and directional changes in stream water quality, and (3) the resulting impacts on watershed management for wildlife species threatened by disturbance and climate change.Specifically, we will: use known relationships of forest structure on snow-water equivalent (SWE) values and processes of sublimation (ablation), infiltration and run-off in the Jemez Mountains of northern New Mexico to model forest-stand restoration prescriptions,...
Categories: Data, Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: Cultural Resources, Decision Support, Federal resource managers, Informing Conservation Delivery, Jemez Mountains, All tags...
Amphibians and reptiles are experiencing severe habitat loss throughout North America; however, this threat to biodiversity can be mitigated by identifying and managing areas that serve a disproportionate role in sustaining herpetofauna. Identification of such areas must take into consideration the dynamic nature of habitat suitability. As climate rapidly changes it is possible that areas currently deemed suitable may no longer be so in the future. To address these needs, we are proposing to generate spatially-explicit data that will (1) identify Priority Amphibian and Reptile Conservation Areas (PARCAs) – those discrete areas most vital to maintaining reptile and amphibian diversity, (2) project regions of current...
Categories: Data, Project; Tags: 2011, AMPHIBIANS, Academics & scientific researchers, Applications and Tools, Applications and Tools, All tags...
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Riparian vegetation provides crucial habitat for wildlife and is a high conservation priority for land managers throughout the Southwest but a central scientific challenge is to generate quantitative predictions of how changes in water availability will affect the amount and quality of riparian wildlife habitat. Researchers will study areas that have long-term datasets available (i.e., hydrological, geomorphological, biological), that characterize a broad range of riparian conditions found in the Southwest. Building on recently developed models funded by the USGS National Climate Change and Wildlife Science Center (NCCWSC), this work will link various hydrologic, geomorphic and habitat models to better understand...
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ABSTRACT: The Lower Colorado River and Rio Grande Basins are home to many riparian vertebrate species with different degrees of rarity. In our study, we focused on two species of birds and two species of gartersnakes that are associated with riparian areas: the Yellow-breasted Chat (Icteria virens), the Yellow Warbler (Setophaga petechia), the Northern Mexican Gartersnake (Thamnophis eques megalops) and the Narrow-headed Gartersnake (T. rufipunctatus). While the extent of distributions of these species is relatively large, they are often patchily distributed in populations that are small; in addition, both gartersnake species are listed as threatened under the Endangered Species Act. Aside from detrimental effects...
Monarch butterfly and other pollinators are in trouble. Monarch butterfly habitat— including milkweed host plants and nectar food sources—has declined drastically throughout most of the United States. Observed overwinter population levels have also exhibited a long-term downward trend, suggesting a strong relationship between habitat loss and monarch population declines. Preliminary research results from a U.S. Geological Survey led effort indicate that we need a comprehensive conservation strategy that includes all land types in order to stabilize monarch populations at levels necessary to adequately minimize extinction risk—urban areas will likely play a critical role. Urban Monarch Guides include a Handout, Guidebook,...
Why Rangelands: The Central Valley of California, the surrounding foothills and the interior Coast Range include over 18 million acres of grassland. Most of this land is privately owned and managed for livestock production. Because grasslands are found in some of California’s fastest-growing counties, they are severely threatened by land conversion and development. In addition climate change stresses grasslands by potentially changing water availability and species distributions.Maintaining a ranching landscape can greatly support biodiversity conservation in the California Landscape Conservation Cooperative (LCC) region. In addition ranches generate multiple ecosystem services—defined as human benefits provided...
Categories: Data, Project; Tags: 2011, 2012, 2013, Applications and Tools, CA, All tags...
To be successful, natural resource managers need to synthesize diverse information on the effects of management actions, climate change and other stressors on wildlife populations at appropriate scales. The project team developed a Decision Support Tool (DST) that integrates the results of multi-disciplinary, multi-taxa modeling allowing users to project outcomes of conservation actions, accounting for effects of climate change and other stressors. This DST builds on work to improve a sea level rise tool for adaptive tidal wetland restoration and management. The DST provides information on how restoration can increase population resilience and long-term persistence at multiple scales for multiple species throughout...
This project supports a collaborative, multi-stakeholder effort led by the U.S. Forest Service (USFS) to develop a largescale vulnerability assessment and associated adaptation strategies for focal resources of the Sierra Nevada. The purpose of this effort is to provide information and tools for Forest Planning and management (e.g., NEPA analyses, Forest Plan revisions, Climate Scorecard) and other natural resource management (e.g., SWAP) and conservation efforts to prepare for climate change impacts in the Sierra Nevada. Specifically, our objectives are to: (1) assess the vulnerability of focal resources to climate change, (2) use spatial analysis and expert input to prioritize conservation areas or actions, and...
Categories: Data, Project; Tags: 2012, 2013, Applications and Tools, CA, California Landscape Conservation Cooperative, All tags...
This project is analyzing downscaled climate model data to assess the geography of climate change at scales relevant to actual conservation actions. This work analyzes the California Essential Habitat Connectivity products to determine which protected lands are most vulnerable and which of the proposed corridors would partially mitigate climate change threats.
The CA LCC assisted the San Francisco Bay Area National Wildlife Refuge Complex in its conservation planning efforts by researching and summarizing projections of climate change and potential impacts for the natural resources of the seven refuges within the Refuge Complex. We used the Climate Commons and the tools linked to it to search the literature and create graphs and maps depicting range and types of climate and physical changes expected for the region, and searched the scientific literature and consulted with experts for the summaries of potential impacts to the target habitats and species.
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The Delivery Priority Tool for the AR MAV CDN is an model overlay that stacks (or combines) Ducks Unlimited's Wetland Restoration Suitability Model for the MAV batture, the Forest Breeding-bird Reforestation Decision Support Model for the MAV batture created by the LMV Joint Venture, and Ducks Unlimited's Easement Protection Priority Model for the MAV batture. The Tool then takes the upper tier of these overlapping priorities within and establishes those as the CDN's conservation targets.
This communications strategy provides a comprehensive framework of prescribed fire issues and messages within which the East Gulf Coastal Plain Joint Venture can identify priority actions according to their ‘niche’ of focusing on fire’s ecological benefits to wildlife, especially birds, particularly at a landscape scale. The strategy is based upon information provided in interviews of 45 prescribed fire/resource management experts throughout the East Gulf Coastal Plain, as well as guidance from the East Gulf Coastal Plain Joint Venture staff and board members.
Long-term, large-scale (i.e. landscape) conservation struggles with big questions such as how can a single strategy be identified when there are multiple possible future outcomes? How do we decide which management action or portfolio of actions is the best for all species when different species will likely have conflicting responses to each action? Successful natural resource decision making processes also incorporate an assessment of baseline conditions; current and future stressors; a set of potential management actions; and formal linkages between conditions, actions and biological responses (i.e. a model). It also requires bringing together the elements of conservation decisions into a framework that allows...
St. Catherine Creek NWR, outside of Natchez, MS is part of the Lower Mississippi River floodplain and provides valuable aquatic and upland habitats for a large diversity of both terrestrial and aquatic organisms. Federal and state fisheries managers both recognize the importance of this floodplain habitat as an integral part of the large river ecosystem and many state partners have crafted management plans that seek to promote conservation activities that enhance and preserve this important resource. The frequency, timing and duration of Mississippi River flooding, drives the spatial extent of floodplain inundation which in turn determines habitat quality and suitability of floodplain habitats for both aquatic and...
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These rasters are the result of calculating the difference in Greater Sage-grouse nest survival after a simulated reduction of raven density to 0.1 ravens per square kilometer. The difference in nest survival represents spatial variation in potential to improve nest survival by reducing raven impacts. The extent of each individual raster is the extent of the field site at which sage-grouse nest observations were recorded.
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Despite the lack of surface flows, the Colorado River riparian corridor in Mexico has proven to be ecologically resilient. Floods in the 1980s and 90s in the region brought back large swaths of native riparian habitat, which still persist today in some areas along the river. Because the historic floodplain is extremely important for agricultural production and therefore the local economy, habitat maintenance must be integrated with continued utilization of lands and water for this purpose.The riparian, marsh, and open-water areas found in Reach 4 provide critical habitat for both migratory and resident riparian bird species. Due to its ecological importance, the riparian corridor and Reach 4 in particular have been...
Categories: Data, Project; Types: ArcGIS REST Map Service, ArcGIS Service Definition, Downloadable, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2014, Applications and Tools, Baja California, Colorado River Delta, DLCC, All tags...


map background search result map search result map Watershed Disturbance and Restoration Impacts on Hydrologic Function Relative to Increased Snowmelt Water Yields, Stream Water Quality, and Species Conservation in the Jemez Mountains, New Mexico: Model Calibration and Validation on a Landscape Scale Predicting Effects of Climate Change on Riparian Obligate Species in the Southwestern United States Hot, wet scenario forecast of climate suitability for blue oak (Quercus douglasii) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 IPSL-CM4 A2 projections Warm, dry scenario forecast of climate suitability for California sycamore (Platanus racemosa) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 MRI-CGCM2.3.2 A2  projections Warm, dry scenario forecast of climate suitability for California juniper (Juniperus californica) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 MRI-CGCM2.3.2 A2  projections Sustainability and Vulnerability of Colorado River Delta Riparian Habitat Under Different Climate Change, Environmental Flow, and Agricultural Water Management Scenarios Arkansas Mississippi Alluvial Valley Conservation Delivery Network - Batture - Decision Priortization Tool 2012 Final Report: Predicting Effects of Climate Change on Riparian Obligate Species in the Southwestern United States Additional Mapping Tools for Great Basin Wildfire and Conifer Management to Increase Operational Resilience: Integrating Sagebrush Ecosystem and Sage-grouse Response Estimates of Raven Impacts on Greater Sage-Grouse Nest Survival Delineated by Field Site in California, Nevada, and Idaho (2009 - 2019) Watershed Disturbance and Restoration Impacts on Hydrologic Function Relative to Increased Snowmelt Water Yields, Stream Water Quality, and Species Conservation in the Jemez Mountains, New Mexico: Model Calibration and Validation on a Landscape Scale Sustainability and Vulnerability of Colorado River Delta Riparian Habitat Under Different Climate Change, Environmental Flow, and Agricultural Water Management Scenarios Final Report: Predicting Effects of Climate Change on Riparian Obligate Species in the Southwestern United States Hot, wet scenario forecast of climate suitability for blue oak (Quercus douglasii) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 IPSL-CM4 A2 projections Warm, dry scenario forecast of climate suitability for California sycamore (Platanus racemosa) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 MRI-CGCM2.3.2 A2  projections Warm, dry scenario forecast of climate suitability for California juniper (Juniperus californica) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 MRI-CGCM2.3.2 A2  projections Arkansas Mississippi Alluvial Valley Conservation Delivery Network - Batture - Decision Priortization Tool 2012 Predicting Effects of Climate Change on Riparian Obligate Species in the Southwestern United States Estimates of Raven Impacts on Greater Sage-Grouse Nest Survival Delineated by Field Site in California, Nevada, and Idaho (2009 - 2019) Additional Mapping Tools for Great Basin Wildfire and Conifer Management to Increase Operational Resilience: Integrating Sagebrush Ecosystem and Sage-grouse Response