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The Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) is a measure of drought derived from both precipitation and temperature. Negative (i.e., dry) values of PDSI are closely associated with a high potential for wildland fire. PDSI is based on a supply-and-demand model of soil moisture originally developed by Wayne Palmer, who published his method in the 1965 paper Meteorological Drought for the Office of Climatology of the U.S. Weather Bureau.The index has proven to be most effective in indicating long-term drought (or wetness) over a matter of several months. PDSI calculations are standardized for an individual station (or grid cell) based on the long-term variability of precipitation and temperature at that location....
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The Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) is a measure of drought derived from both precipitation and temperature. Negative (i.e., dry) values of PDSI are closely associated with a high potential for wildland fire. PDSI is based on a supply-and-demand model of soil moisture originally developed by Wayne Palmer, who published his method in the 1965 paper Meteorological Drought for the Office of Climatology of the U.S. Weather Bureau.The index has proven to be most effective in indicating long-term drought (or wetness) over a matter of several months. PDSI calculations are standardized for an individual station (or grid cell) based on the long-term variability of precipitation and temperature at that location....
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This dataset shows the predicted area of high fire potential for the current year up to the end of the forecast period as simulated by a modified version of the MC1 Dynamic General Vegetation Model (DGVM). The area of high fire potential is where PDSI and MC1-calculated values of potential fire behavior (fireline intensity for forest and shrubland and rate of spread of spread for grassland) exceed calibrated threshold values. Potential fire behavior in MC1 is estimated using National Fire Danger Rating System (NFDRS) formulas, monthly climatic (temperature, precipitation, and relative humidity) data, and fuel moisture and loading estimates. Monthly climatic data includes recorded values up to the last observed...
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The Nature Conservancy (TNC) has derived climate suitability forecasts for most species of trees and shrubs considered to be ecological dominants of terrestrial Californian habitat types. Our plant projections are compiled as decision support tools to help Conservancy project staff, as well as our external partners, develop the necessary plans, priorities and strategies to successfully adapt to uncertain changes in future climate. In the recently completed Southern Sierra Partnership's 2010 Climate-Adapted Conservation Plan for the Southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains, species and habitat forecasts shown here informed the development of a regional conservation design that explicitly incorporates long-term...
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The Nature Conservancy (TNC) has derived climate suitability forecasts for most species of trees and shrubs considered to be ecological dominants of terrestrial Californian habitat types. Our plant projections are compiled as decision support tools to help Conservancy project staff, as well as our external partners, develop the necessary plans, priorities and strategies to successfully adapt to uncertain changes in future climate. In the recently completed Southern Sierra Partnership's 2010 Climate-Adapted Conservation Plan for the Southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains, species and habitat forecasts shown here informed the development of a regional conservation design that explicitly incorporates long-term...
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The Nature Conservancy (TNC) has derived climate suitability forecasts for most species of trees and shrubs considered to be ecological dominants of terrestrial Californian habitat types. Our plant projections are compiled as decision support tools to help Conservancy project staff, as well as our external partners, develop the necessary plans, priorities and strategies to successfully adapt to uncertain changes in future climate. In the recently completed Southern Sierra Partnership's 2010 Climate-Adapted Conservation Plan for the Southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains, species and habitat forecasts shown here informed the development of a regional conservation design that explicitly incorporates long-term...
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The Nature Conservancy (TNC) has derived climate suitability forecasts for most species of trees and shrubs considered to be ecological dominants of terrestrial Californian habitat types. Our plant projections are compiled as decision support tools to help Conservancy project staff, as well as our external partners, develop the necessary plans, priorities and strategies to successfully adapt to uncertain changes in future climate. In the recently completed Southern Sierra Partnership's 2010 Climate-Adapted Conservation Plan for the Southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains, species and habitat forecasts shown here informed the development of a regional conservation design that explicitly incorporates long-term...
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The Nature Conservancy (TNC) has derived climate suitability forecasts for most species of trees and shrubs considered to be ecological dominants of terrestrial Californian habitat types. Our plant projections are compiled as decision support tools to help Conservancy project staff, as well as our external partners, develop the necessary plans, priorities and strategies to successfully adapt to uncertain changes in future climate. In the recently completed Southern Sierra Partnership's 2010 Climate-Adapted Conservation Plan for the Southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains, species and habitat forecasts shown here informed the development of a regional conservation design that explicitly incorporates long-term...
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The Nature Conservancy (TNC) has derived climate suitability forecasts for most species of trees and shrubs considered to be ecological dominants of terrestrial Californian habitat types. Our plant projections are compiled as decision support tools to help Conservancy project staff, as well as our external partners, develop the necessary plans, priorities and strategies to successfully adapt to uncertain changes in future climate. In the recently completed Southern Sierra Partnership's 2010 Climate-Adapted Conservation Plan for the Southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains, species and habitat forecasts shown here informed the development of a regional conservation design that explicitly incorporates long-term...
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The Nature Conservancy (TNC) has derived climate suitability forecasts for most species of trees and shrubs considered to be ecological dominants of terrestrial Californian habitat types. Our plant projections are compiled as decision support tools to help Conservancy project staff, as well as our external partners, develop the necessary plans, priorities and strategies to successfully adapt to uncertain changes in future climate. In the recently completed Southern Sierra Partnership's 2010 Climate-Adapted Conservation Plan for the Southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains, species and habitat forecasts shown here informed the development of a regional conservation design that explicitly incorporates long-term...
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The Nature Conservancy (TNC) has derived climate suitability forecasts for most species of trees and shrubs considered to be ecological dominants of terrestrial Californian habitat types. Our plant projections are compiled as decision support tools to help Conservancy project staff, as well as our external partners, develop the necessary plans, priorities and strategies to successfully adapt to uncertain changes in future climate. In the recently completed Southern Sierra Partnership's 2010 Climate-Adapted Conservation Plan for the Southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains, species and habitat forecasts shown here informed the development of a regional conservation design that explicitly incorporates long-term...
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The Nature Conservancy (TNC) has derived climate suitability forecasts for most species of trees and shrubs considered to be ecological dominants of terrestrial Californian habitat types. Our plant projections are compiled as decision support tools to help Conservancy project staff, as well as our external partners, develop the necessary plans, priorities and strategies to successfully adapt to uncertain changes in future climate. In the recently completed Southern Sierra Partnership's 2010 Climate-Adapted Conservation Plan for the Southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains, species and habitat forecasts shown here informed the development of a regional conservation design that explicitly incorporates long-term...
thumbnail
The Nature Conservancy (TNC) has derived climate suitability forecasts for most species of trees and shrubs considered to be ecological dominants of terrestrial Californian habitat types. Our plant projections are compiled as decision support tools to help Conservancy project staff, as well as our external partners, develop the necessary plans, priorities and strategies to successfully adapt to uncertain changes in future climate. In the recently completed Southern Sierra Partnership's 2010 Climate-Adapted Conservation Plan for the Southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains, species and habitat forecasts shown here informed the development of a regional conservation design that explicitly incorporates long-term...
thumbnail
The Nature Conservancy (TNC) has derived climate suitability forecasts for most species of trees and shrubs considered to be ecological dominants of terrestrial Californian habitat types. Our plant projections are compiled as decision support tools to help Conservancy project staff, as well as our external partners, develop the necessary plans, priorities and strategies to successfully adapt to uncertain changes in future climate. In the recently completed Southern Sierra Partnership's 2010 Climate-Adapted Conservation Plan for the Southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains, species and habitat forecasts shown here informed the development of a regional conservation design that explicitly incorporates long-term...
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This dataset shows the predicted area of high fire potential for the current year up to the end of the forecast period as simulated by a modified version of the MC1 Dynamic General Vegetation Model (DGVM). The area of high fire potential is where PDSI and MC1-calculated values of potential fire behavior (fireline intensity for forest and shrubland and rate of spread of spread for grassland) exceed calibrated threshold values. Potential fire behavior in MC1 is estimated using National Fire Danger Rating System (NFDRS) formulas, monthly climatic (temperature, precipitation, and relative humidity) data, and fuel moisture and loading estimates. Monthly climatic data includes recorded values up to the last observed...
thumbnail
The Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) is a measure of drought derived from both precipitation and temperature. Negative (i.e., dry) values of PDSI are closely associated with a high potential for wildland fire. PDSI is based on a supply-and-demand model of soil moisture originally developed by Wayne Palmer, who published his method in the 1965 paper Meteorological Drought for the Office of Climatology of the U.S. Weather Bureau.The index has proven to be most effective in indicating long-term drought (or wetness) over a matter of several months. PDSI calculations are standardized for an individual station (or grid cell) based on the long-term variability of precipitation and temperature at that location....
thumbnail
The Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) is a measure of drought derived from both precipitation and temperature. Negative (i.e., dry) values of PDSI are closely associated with a high potential for wildland fire. PDSI is based on a supply-and-demand model of soil moisture originally developed by Wayne Palmer, who published his method in the 1965 paper Meteorological Drought for the Office of Climatology of the U.S. Weather Bureau.The index has proven to be most effective in indicating long-term drought (or wetness) over a matter of several months. PDSI calculations are standardized for an individual station (or grid cell) based on the long-term variability of precipitation and temperature at that location....
thumbnail
The Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) is a measure of drought derived from both precipitation and temperature. Negative (i.e., dry) values of PDSI are closely associated with a high potential for wildland fire. PDSI is based on a supply-and-demand model of soil moisture originally developed by Wayne Palmer, who published his method in the 1965 paper Meteorological Drought for the Office of Climatology of the U.S. Weather Bureau.The index has proven to be most effective in indicating long-term drought (or wetness) over a matter of several months. PDSI calculations are standardized for an individual station (or grid cell) based on the long-term variability of precipitation and temperature at that location....
thumbnail
The Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) is a measure of drought derived from both precipitation and temperature. Negative (i.e., dry) values of PDSI are closely associated with a high potential for wildland fire. PDSI is based on a supply-and-demand model of soil moisture originally developed by Wayne Palmer, who published his method in the 1965 paper Meteorological Drought for the Office of Climatology of the U.S. Weather Bureau.The index has proven to be most effective in indicating long-term drought (or wetness) over a matter of several months. PDSI calculations are standardized for an individual station (or grid cell) based on the long-term variability of precipitation and temperature at that location....
thumbnail
The Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) is a measure of drought derived from both precipitation and temperature. Negative (i.e., dry) values of PDSI are closely associated with a high potential for wildland fire. PDSI is based on a supply-and-demand model of soil moisture originally developed by Wayne Palmer, who published his method in the 1965 paper Meteorological Drought for the Office of Climatology of the U.S. Weather Bureau.The index has proven to be most effective in indicating long-term drought (or wetness) over a matter of several months. PDSI calculations are standardized for an individual station (or grid cell) based on the long-term variability of precipitation and temperature at that location....


map background search result map search result map Palmer drought severity index forecast August - October 2012 (based on ECHAM 7-mo weather forecast) Palmer drought severity index forecast June - August 2012 (based on COLA 7-mo weather forecast) MC1 DGVM fire potential forecast January-August 2012 (based on NSIPP 7-month weather forecast) Palmer drought severity index forecast APRIL - JUNE 2012 (based on ECHAM 7-mo weather forecast) Palmer drought severity index forecast APRIL - JUNE 2012 (based on COLA 7-mo weather forecast) Palmer drought severity forecast March-May, 2012 (based on COLA 7-mo weather forecast) MC1 DGVM fire potential forecast January - May 2012 (based on ECPC 7-month weather forecast) Palmer drought severity index forecast July - December 2011 (based on ECPC 7-mo weather forecast) Palmer drought severity index forecast July-September 2011 (based on CCM3V6 7-mo weather forecast) Hot, wet scenario forecast of climate suitability for mountain hemlock (Tsuga mertensiana) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 IPSL-CM4 A2 projections Ensemble forecast of climate suitability for California black oak (Quercus kelloggii) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon multiple (n=11) downscaled 2045-2065 A2 GCM projections Hot, dry scenario forecast of climate suitability for blue oak (Quercus douglasii) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 MIROC3.2 A2  projections Warm, dry scenario forecast of climate suitability for Oregon oak (Quercus garryana) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 MRI-CGCM2.3.2 A2  projections Hot, dry scenario forecast of climate suitability for scrub oak (Quercus berberidifolia) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 MIROC3.2 A2  projections Hot, wet scenario forecast of climate suitability for scrub oak (Quercus berberidifolia) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 IPSL-CM4 A2 projections Warm, dry scenario forecast of climate suitability for quaking aspen (Populus tremuloides) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 MRI-CGCM2.3.2 A2  projections Ensemble forecast of climate suitability for foothill pine (Pinus sabiniana) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon multiple (n=11) downscaled 2045-2065 A2 GCM projections Ensemble forecast of climate suitability for ponderosa pine (Pinus ponderosa) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon multiple (n=11) downscaled 2045-2065 A2 GCM projections Ensemble forecast of climate suitability for single-leaf pinyon pine (Pinus monophylla) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon multiple (n=11) downscaled 2045-2065 A2 GCM projections Ensemble forecast of climate suitability for sugar pine (Pinus lambertiana) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon multiple (n=11) downscaled 2045-2065 A2 GCM projections Hot, wet scenario forecast of climate suitability for mountain hemlock (Tsuga mertensiana) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 IPSL-CM4 A2 projections Ensemble forecast of climate suitability for California black oak (Quercus kelloggii) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon multiple (n=11) downscaled 2045-2065 A2 GCM projections Hot, dry scenario forecast of climate suitability for blue oak (Quercus douglasii) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 MIROC3.2 A2  projections Warm, dry scenario forecast of climate suitability for Oregon oak (Quercus garryana) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 MRI-CGCM2.3.2 A2  projections Hot, dry scenario forecast of climate suitability for scrub oak (Quercus berberidifolia) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 MIROC3.2 A2  projections Hot, wet scenario forecast of climate suitability for scrub oak (Quercus berberidifolia) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 IPSL-CM4 A2 projections Warm, dry scenario forecast of climate suitability for quaking aspen (Populus tremuloides) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon downscaled 2045-2065 MRI-CGCM2.3.2 A2  projections Ensemble forecast of climate suitability for foothill pine (Pinus sabiniana) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon multiple (n=11) downscaled 2045-2065 A2 GCM projections Ensemble forecast of climate suitability for ponderosa pine (Pinus ponderosa) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon multiple (n=11) downscaled 2045-2065 A2 GCM projections Ensemble forecast of climate suitability for single-leaf pinyon pine (Pinus monophylla) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon multiple (n=11) downscaled 2045-2065 A2 GCM projections Ensemble forecast of climate suitability for sugar pine (Pinus lambertiana) in the southern Sierra Nevada and Tehachapi Mountains (California, USA) based upon multiple (n=11) downscaled 2045-2065 A2 GCM projections Palmer drought severity index forecast August - October 2012 (based on ECHAM 7-mo weather forecast) Palmer drought severity index forecast June - August 2012 (based on COLA 7-mo weather forecast) MC1 DGVM fire potential forecast January-August 2012 (based on NSIPP 7-month weather forecast) Palmer drought severity index forecast APRIL - JUNE 2012 (based on ECHAM 7-mo weather forecast) Palmer drought severity index forecast APRIL - JUNE 2012 (based on COLA 7-mo weather forecast) Palmer drought severity forecast March-May, 2012 (based on COLA 7-mo weather forecast) MC1 DGVM fire potential forecast January - May 2012 (based on ECPC 7-month weather forecast) Palmer drought severity index forecast July - December 2011 (based on ECPC 7-mo weather forecast) Palmer drought severity index forecast July-September 2011 (based on CCM3V6 7-mo weather forecast)