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MC1 is a widely used dynamic global vegetation model (DGVM) that has been used to simulate potential vegetation shifts in California and Alaska, all of North America, and over the entire globe under various climate change scenarios. However, past simulations were run at a scale that is too coarse (e.g., 10km x 10km for the California simulations) for use by local resource managers, such as those in Yosemite National Park ( see Data Basin feature on Yosemite results ). More recently, the model has been implemented at a finer resolution (800m x 800m) of greater utility to National Park staff. MC1 is a model that simulates vegetation types, ecosystem fluxes of carbon, nitrogen, and water, as well as wildfire occurrence...
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All Conservation Design Elements identified through a multi-year conservation planning effort undertaken by the Appalachian Landscape Conservation Cooperative (LCC). These elements were identified by the program Marxan as meeting collective conservation targets. Datasets include a merged design of all five elements, individual element shapefiles, and a prioritization shapefile (Conservation Design elements outlined by the NatureScape Design that were then placed into a prioritization framework based on Margulis and Pressy 2000).
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Final Report - Executive Summary: This final project report is prepared to summarize the research project titled “Assessing evapotranspiration rate changes for proposed restoration of the forested uplands of the Desert Landscape Conservation Cooperatives (LCC)” for the Desert LCC of the Bureau of Reclamation as a requirement for closing out the project. This report includes the scope of work, summary of research project, results, and conclusions.Among all of the components of the terrestrial water cycle, evapotranspiration (ET) consumes the largest amount of water. Accurate estimation of ET is very important to understand the influence of ET to the hydrologic response of recharge and runoff processes in the water...
Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2012, ATMOSPHERE, ATMOSPHERE, ATMOSPHERIC WATER VAPOR, ATMOSPHERIC WATER VAPOR, All tags...
This simulated ecosystem carbon dataset is used to report terrestrial carbon balance of the Nisqually River basin in the Ecological Modelling paper "Modeling watershed carbon dynamics as affected by land cover change and soil erosion" The data is derived from simulations of the LUCAS model. Annual carbon variables of 2017 at 30m spatial resolution with 2426 rows and 2459 columns. Carbon stock and flux units are in kgC/m2 and kgC/m2/yr, respectively. Data are in tif format and Albers equal area projection. Overall data creation steps: 1. The pIBIS model was used to generate annual carbon parameters of typical ecosystems. 2. The USPED model was used to generate annual soil erosion and deposition maps as affected by...
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The beaches of the Hawaiian Islands attract nearly 9 million visitors each year, who inject around $15.6 billion into the state’s economy and support almost 200,000 jobs. Beyond their economic importance, Hawaiian beaches are also culturally and ecologically valuable. However, climate change driven sea-level rise is causing many beaches to disappear, endangering property, infrastructure, and critical habitats. The goal of this project was to develop a method for forecasting erosion-vulnerable beach areas that could be used in coastal management planning. Researchers focused on the island of Kauaʻi, modeling beach response to rising sea level over the next century and producing maps that provide information about...
Monarch butterfly and other pollinators are in trouble. Monarch butterfly habitat— including milkweed host plants and nectar food sources—has declined drastically throughout most of the United States. Observed overwinter population levels have also exhibited a long-term downward trend, suggesting a strong relationship between habitat loss and monarch population declines. Preliminary research results from a U.S. Geological Survey led effort indicate that we need a comprehensive conservation strategy that includes all land types in order to stabilize monarch populations at levels necessary to adequately minimize extinction risk—urban areas will likely play a critical role. A Landscape Conservation Design (LCD) tool...
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Monarch butterfly and other pollinators are in trouble. Monarch butterfly habitat— including milkweed host plants and nectar food sources—has declined drastically throughout most of the United States. Observed overwinter population levels have also exhibited a long-term downward trend, suggesting a strong relationship between habitat loss and monarch population declines. Preliminary research results from a U.S. Geological Survey led effort indicate that we need a comprehensive conservation strategy that includes all land types in order to stabilize monarch populations at levels necessary to adequately minimize extinction risk—urban areas will likely play a critical role. A Landscape Conservation Design (LCD) tool...
Tidal marsh habitat is at high risk of severe loss and degradation as a result of human uses, sea-level rise, changes in salinity, and more frequent and extreme storms projected by climate models. Availability of habitat is a prerequisite for long-term viability of marsh bird populations and this has been modeled in a companion California Landscape Conservation Cooperative project (Veloz et al. 2011). However, habitat alone will ensure neither resilience nor recovery of depleted and threatened populations. To provide management guidance to reduce species’ vulnerability and recover depleted populations, we developed interactive population dynamic models for four key marsh species: Black Rail, Clapper Rail, Common...
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This data release contains inputs for and outputs from hydrologic simulations for the conterminous United States (CONUS) using the Precipitation Runoff Modeling System (PRMS) version 5.1.0 and the USGS National Hydrologic Model Infrastructure (NHMI, Regan and others, 2018). Historical simulations using the Maurer forcings (Maurer and others, 2002) were conducted for the period 1950-2010. This metadata record documents the simulation output files for simulations ran using the dynamic parameters file. The output files are aggregated at the HUC4 level and are grouped and downloadable by HUC2 hydrologic region. Each zip folder contains identical information, just for a different region and set of hydrologic response...
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The continental United States (CONUS) was modeled to produce simulations of historical and potential future streamflow using the Precipitation-Runoff Modeling System (PRMS) application of the USGS National Hydrologic Model Infrastructure (NHMI; Regan and others, 2018). This child page specifically contains atmospheric forcings (daily minimum air temperature, daily maximum air temperature, and daily precipitation accumulation) from each of the global circulation models (GCMs) presented in table1_GCMs_used.csv, using the Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5 for simulating potential future streamflow for the period 2006 - 2100.
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Phase 1 & 2 (2010, 2012): This project developed a sampling design and monitoring protocol for wintering shorebirds in the Central Valley and in the San Francisco Bay Estuary and develop an LCC-specific online shorebird monitoring portal publicly available at the California Avian Data Center. The three objectives in Phase II of this project are: 1) Complete the shorebird monitoring plan for the CA LCC by developing a sampling design and monitoring protocol for wintering shorebirds in coastal southern California and northern Mexico. 2) Develop models to evaluate the influence of habitat factors from multiple spatial scales on shorebird use of San Francisco Bay and managed wetlands in the Sacramento Valley, as a model...
Categories: Data, Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2010, 2011, 2013, Academics & scientific researchers, Academics & scientific researchers, All tags...
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The USGS Forecasting Scenarios of Land-use Change (FORE-SCE) model was used to produce an agricultural biofuel scenarios for the Northern Glaciated Plains, from 2012 to 2030. The modeling used parcel data from the USDA's Common Land Unit (CLU) data set to represent real, contiguous ownership and land management units. A Monte Carlo approach was used to create 50 unique replicates of potential landscape conditions in the future, based on a agricultural scenario from the U.S. Department of Energy's Billion Ton Update. The data are spatially explicit, covering the entire Northern Glaciated Plains ecoregions (an EPA Level III ecoregion), with a spatial resolution of 30-meters and 22 unique land-cover classes (including...
With increasing levels of wind generation capacity on electricity systems, system operators will need to adapt their system operation policy to facilitate the efficient and cost effective integration of wind power. This paper illustrate the relative merits of adopting different system operational approaches on a system with significant wind power capacity. The impact on conventional generation, reserve levels and emissions are assessed and the implications are discussed. The illustrations show that an operational approach, which incorporates wind forecast information, while considering an increased need for reserve due to wind power, results in a more efficient integration of the wind capacity.
Categories: Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: coal, dynamics, investment, model, system
With increasing levels of wind generation capacity on electricity systems, system operators will need to adapt their system operation policy to facilitate the efficient and cost effective integration of wind power. This paper illustrate the relative merits of adopting different system operational approaches on a system with significant wind power capacity. The impact on conventional generation, reserve levels and emissions are assessed and the implications are discussed. The illustrations show that an operational approach, which incorporates wind forecast information, while considering an increased need for reserve due to wind power, results in a more efficient integration of the wind capacity.
Categories: Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: coal, dynamics, investment, model, system
With increasing levels of wind generation capacity on electricity systems, system operators will need to adapt their system operation policy to facilitate the efficient and cost effective integration of wind power. This paper illustrate the relative merits of adopting different system operational approaches on a system with significant wind power capacity. The impact on conventional generation, reserve levels and emissions are assessed and the implications are discussed. The illustrations show that an operational approach, which incorporates wind forecast information, while considering an increased need for reserve due to wind power, results in a more efficient integration of the wind capacity.
Categories: Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: coal, dynamics, investment, model, system
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NARCCAP: http://www.narccap.ucar.edu/ The North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP) is an international program that will serve the climate scenario needs of the United States, Canada, and northern Mexico. NARCCAP is systematically investigating the uncertainties in future climate projections on the regional level. NARCCAP closely matches the regional climate models (RCMs) with multiple atmosphere-ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs) along with the A2 scenario from the Special Report on Emission Scenarios (SRES) over an area covering most of North America. NARCCAP also validates the regional climate model performance by driving the RCMs with reanalyses, which is similar to driving...
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The 2006 National Insect and Disease Risk Map (NIDRM) Project integrates 188 individual risk models constructed within a common, consistent framework that accounts for regional variations in current and future forest health. The 2006 risk assessment, conducted within the contiguous United States and Alaska, provides a consistent, repeatable, transparent process through which interactive spatial and temporal risk assessments can be conducted at various scales to aid in the allocation of resources for forest health management. This modeling process is intended to increase the utilization of forest health risk maps within and outside the National Forest System and encourage development of future risk maps. NIDRM...
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This map represents the mean annual value of water contributed to the stream network, simulated by the model MC1 for the 30-year period 1971-2000. The data is from output variable STREAMFLOW in MC1 version B60. The data is in units comparable to rainfall, millimeters of water per year; values range from 34 to 894 mm yr-1. The vegetation model MC1 (e.g. Bachelet et al. 2001) was used to simulate vegetation dynamics, associated carbon and nitrogen cycle, water budget, and wild fire impacts at two study sites in eastern Oregon (Deschutes and Fremont-Winema National Forests) and in Arizona (Apache Sitgreaves National Forest area) in the context of a project funded by the USDA Forest Service (PNW 09-JV-11261900-003)....
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This dataset represents the historical mean number of fires per year burned per ~ 4 km pixel, averaged for each HUC5 watershed, simulated by the model MC1 for the 30-year period 1971-2000. Historical mean number of fires per year per ~4 km pixel was averaged across each HUC5 watershed. Watersheds represent 5th level (HUC5, 10-digit) hydrologic unit boundaries and were acquired from the Natural Resources Conservation Service. Background: The dynamic global vegetation model MC1 (see Bachelet et al.2001) was used to simulate vegetation dynamics, associated carbon and nitrogen cycle, water budget, a nd wild fire impacts for OR, WA, AZ and NM, for a project funded by the USDA Forest Service (PNW09-JV-11261900-003)....
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This data release contains inputs for and outputs from hydrologic simulations of the Apalachicola-Chattahoochee-Flint River Basin (ACFB) in the southeastern U.S. using the Precipitation Runoff Modeling System (PRMS). Seven hydrologic models, one coarse-resolution model for the entire ACFB and six fine-resolution models of tributary sub-basins. These simulations were developed to provide estimates of water availability and statistics of streamflow. These PRMS model input and output data are intended to accompany a U.S. Geological Survey Scientific Investigations Report (LaFontaine and others, 2017); they include three types of data: 1) PRMS input parameter and data files, 2) PRMS output data files, and 3) GIS files...


map background search result map search result map A Monitoring Protocol to Assess Wintering Shorebird Population Trends Forecasting Beach Loss from Sea-Level Rise on the Island of Kauaʻi Simulated historical mean number of fires per year (1971-2000 average per ~4 km pixel) for AZ and NM, USA Seasonal Average Minimum Daily Temperature (1971-1999) from CCSM-driven WRFG Average Amount of Water Contributed to the Stream Network (1971-2000) for the Apache-Sitgreaves study area, Arizona, USA Modeled fir engraver beetle basal area loss - 2006 MC1 Dynamic Global Vegetation Model Model Input and Output for Hydrologic Simulations of the Apalachicola-Chattahoochee-Flint River Basin using the Precipitation Runoff Modeling System Modeled 2030 land cover for the Northern Glaciated Plains ecoregion Report and Publications: Assessing Evapotranspiration Rate Changes for Proposed Restoration of the Forested Uplands of the DLCC Urban Monarch Chicago Tools NatureScape, Design Output Data by HUC4 Sub-basin for Hydrologic Simulations of the CONUS using the NHM-PRMS, 1950-2010, Maurer Calibration, Dynamic Parameters Input Files for Hydrologic Simulations for the Conterminous United States for Future Conditions Using the National Hydrologic Model Infrastructure (NHMI) and the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 Average Amount of Water Contributed to the Stream Network (1971-2000) for the Apache-Sitgreaves study area, Arizona, USA Model Input and Output for Hydrologic Simulations of the Apalachicola-Chattahoochee-Flint River Basin using the Precipitation Runoff Modeling System A Monitoring Protocol to Assess Wintering Shorebird Population Trends Report and Publications: Assessing Evapotranspiration Rate Changes for Proposed Restoration of the Forested Uplands of the DLCC Modeled 2030 land cover for the Northern Glaciated Plains ecoregion Simulated historical mean number of fires per year (1971-2000 average per ~4 km pixel) for AZ and NM, USA NatureScape, Design MC1 Dynamic Global Vegetation Model Output Data by HUC4 Sub-basin for Hydrologic Simulations of the CONUS using the NHM-PRMS, 1950-2010, Maurer Calibration, Dynamic Parameters Input Files for Hydrologic Simulations for the Conterminous United States for Future Conditions Using the National Hydrologic Model Infrastructure (NHMI) and the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 Modeled fir engraver beetle basal area loss - 2006 Seasonal Average Minimum Daily Temperature (1971-1999) from CCSM-driven WRFG