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Assessing and Mapping Rare Plant Species Vulnerability to Climate Change This project used species distribution modeling to assess the risk to habitat change under various climate change scenarios for rare plants. To predict the response of rare plant species to climate change, the project modeled the current distribution of the species using climate and environmental data (e.g., soils, disturbance, land-use), use these models to predict the species distribution given climate change, calculate current and future range size, calculate the amount of overlap of predicted future distribution with current distribution, and assess where barriers and protected areas are located with reference to the change in species distribution. Given the results of the distribution modeling, each species... Categories: Data, Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2010, CA, CA-wide, California, California Landscape Conservation Cooperative, All tags... Conservation NGOs, Conservation Planning, Conservation planning, Datasets/Database, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Map, Project, Science Project, Southwest CSC, State agencies, Vulnerability Assessment, Vulnerability Assessment, assessment, completed, environment, mapping, multiple, vulnerability, Fewer tags A Monitoring Protocol to Assess Wintering Shorebird Population Trends Phase 1 & 2 (2010, 2012): This project developed a sampling design and monitoring protocol for wintering shorebirds in the Central Valley and in the San Francisco Bay Estuary and develop an LCC-specific online shorebird monitoring portal publicly available at the California Avian Data Center. The three objectives in Phase II of this project are: 1) Complete the shorebird monitoring plan for the CA LCC by developing a sampling design and monitoring protocol for wintering shorebirds in coastal southern California and northern Mexico. 2) Develop models to evaluate the influence of habitat factors from multiple spatial scales on shorebird use of San Francisco Bay and managed wetlands in the Sacramento Valley, as a model... Categories: Data, Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2010, 2011, 2013, Academics & scientific researchers, Academics & scientific researchers, All tags... CA, CA Central Valley, California Central Valley, California Landscape Conservation Cooperative, Conservation NGOs, Data Management and Integration, Datasets/Database, Estuarine, Federal, Federal resource managers, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Methodology/Protocol, Methodology/Protocol, Monitoring, Monitoring, Monitoring, Project, Publication, SF Bay/Delta, Science Project, Southwest CSC, Tidal, Wetland, birds, cadc, california avian data center, completed, conservation, environment, fish, habitat, information exchange, invertebrates, land use, management, map, model, monitoring, multiple, on-line, pacific flyway, rice, santa monica nra, scenarios, sdm, shorebirds, wetland, wintering shorebirds, Fewer tags Synthesis of Current Science and Assessment of Science Needs for Adaptation in the Southwest The goals of this project were to: (1) produce a state-of-the-art assessment and synthesis of climate change projections, impacts, vulnerabilities, adaptive capacity, and prospects for mitigation and adaptation actions in the Southwest in support of the regional contribution to the National Climate Assessment; (2) develop an inventory of federal partners and stakeholders involved with climate adaptation programs, and (3) forge stronger bonds between the DOI-SW CSC, the three NOAA-RISAs in the Southwest, and the Landscape Conservation Cooperatives. Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2011, CASC, Completed, Federal, LCC, All tags... Multiple, Projects by Region, RISA, Science Tools for Managers, Science Tools for Managers, Southwest, Southwest, Southwest CASC, Southwest Climate Alliance, State of the Science, State of the Science, adaptation, climate assessment, climate change, climate change projection, communication, coordination, inventory, management, mitigation, multiple, stakeholders, synthesis, vulnerabilities, workshop, Fewer tags The Effects of Linear Developments on Wildlife: A Review of Selected Scientific Literature Synopsis: A review of the scientific literature describing the effects of linear developments on wildlife, especially large mammals, was provided. Of particular interest were the types of roads and linear developments created by the oil and pipeline industries in western Canada. The effects of linear developments (roads, powerline/pipeline rights-of-way, deforested strips) on wildlife were examined in the context of regional and landscape ecology. The review describes the different classes of linear disturbances, the various response categories for animal species and the impacts on species for the different classes. The review also provides potential mitigations and recommendations for landscape scale planning... Categories: Publication; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: Land use configuration, Landscape fragmentation, biodiversity, linear disturbance, meso-regional, All tags... multiple, western Canada, Fewer tags Projecting Future Streamflow in the Colorado River Basin The Colorado River is the dominant water source for the southwestern United States, crossing through seven states before reaching Mexico. The river supplies water to approximately 36 million people, irrigates nearly six million acres of farmland within and beyond the basin, and contributes an estimated 26 billion dollars each year to the region’s recreational economy. Yet the Colorado River’s water supply is already fully allocated, meaning that the economic and environmental health of the region is closely tied to the river’s streamflow. Climate projections for the Southwest show a future marked by chronic drought and substantial reductions in streamflow. The region has already been impacted by climate change,... Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2013, CA, CASC, CMIP5, CO River Basin, All tags... Colorado River, Completed, Drought, Drought, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Extreme Weather, Extreme Weather, Federal, Morro Bay, Multiple, NV, Projects by Region, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, Southwest, Southwest, Southwest, Southwest CASC, Water, Coasts and Ice, Water, Coasts and Ice, bay-delta, drought, dynamical downscaling, ecosystem, ensemble, enso, gcm, hydrology, la nina, management, model, monsoon, multiple, pdf, precipitation, public health, regional climate projection, season, semi-arid, snowpack, sst, streamflow, streamflow projection, weather, Fewer tags Integrated Land Management Tools Compendium Synopsis: Synthesizes information on a range of tools for reducing the footprint of human use, with an intended focus on public lands and associated natural resources. Implementation considerations and links to other resources are provided. Many tools are related either directly or indirectly to landscape patterns. For example, the section on “Disturbance Standards, Limits, or Thresholds” provides guidance and case study examples of pattern-based threshold establishment and implementation considerations in Alberta, California, and Australia. Many other Integrated Land Management tools outlined also relate directly or indirectly to landscape patterns and techniques for their management. Selected examples under the... Categories: Publication; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: Alberta, Land use configuration, Landscape fragmentation, Natural cover amount, agriculture, All tags... biodiversity, connectivity, land use management, meso-regional, multiple, Fewer tags Analysis of Downscaled Climate Simulations and Projections and Their Use in Decision Making for the Southwest To understand potential climate change impacts on ecosystems, water resources, and numerous other natural and managed resources, climate change data and projections must be downscaled from coarse global climate models to much finer resolutions and more applicable formats. This project conducted comparative analyses to better understand the accuracy and properties of these downscaled climate simulations and climate-change projections. Interpretation, guidance and evaluation, including measures of uncertainties, strengths and weaknesses of the different methodologies for each simulation, can enable potential users with the necessary information to select and apply the models. Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2012, CASC, Completed, Data Visualization & Tools, Data Visualization & Tools, All tags... Downscaling, Federal, Projects by Region, Science Tools for Managers, Science Tools for Managers, Southwest, Southwest, Southwest CASC, bcsd, climate, climate change, downscale, downscaled climate projections, dynamical, ecosystem, gcm, maca, model, modeling, multiple, roms, simulation, statistical, water, wrf, Fewer tags Assessment of Available Climate Models and Projections for the Southwest Region The goal of this project was to: (a) archive the relevant AR5 model output data for the southwest region; (b) downscale daily temperature and precipitation to 12 X 12 km cell spatial resolution over the Southwest; (c) assess the precision (degree of agreement) of the simulated models; (d) assess the direction and magnitude of change in projections between AR4 and AR5, as well as assess projections of key extreme climatic events (i.e., extreme drought, extreme seasonal precipitation, extreme high and low temperature events); and (e) assess critical ecosystem impacts (i.e., climate water deficit and fire; hydrological condition of major river systems; impacts on highly valued species). Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2011, CASC, Completed, Data Visualization & Tools, Data Visualization & Tools, All tags... Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Extreme Weather, Extreme Weather, Federal, Multiple, Other Water, Other Water, Projects by Region, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, Science Tools for Managers, Science Tools for Managers, Southwest, Southwest, Southwest CASC, Water, Coasts and Ice, Water, Coasts and Ice, Fewer tags Effects of Sea-Level Rise and Extreme Storms on California Coastal Habitats: Part 1 In California, the near-shore area where the ocean meets the land is a highly productive yet sensitive region that supports a wealth of wildlife, including several native bird species. These saltmarshes, mudflats, and shallow bays are not only critical for wildlife, but they also provide economic and recreational benefits to local communities. Today, sea-level rise, more frequent and stronger storms, saltwater intrusion, and warming water temperatures are among the threats that are altering these important habitats. To support future planning and conservation of California’s near-shore habitats, researchers examined current weather patterns, elevations, tides, and sediments at these sites to see how they affect... Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2012, Bolinas Lagoon, CA, CASC, California, All tags... Coastal, Coastal Habitats, Completed, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Extreme Weather, Extreme Weather, Federal, Humboldt Bay, Morro Bay, Newport Bay, Projects by Region, Pt. Mugu, SF Bay/Delta, San Pablo Bay, Sea-Level Rise and Coasts, Sea-Level Rise and Coasts, Southwest, Southwest CASC, Tijuana River, Water, Coasts and Ice, Water, Coasts and Ice, animals, assessment, birds, climate change, coastal, conservation, dem, downscale, dynamical, gcm, geomorphology, gis, hydrology, intertidal, management, marsh, model, multiple, nearshore, plants, sea level rise, sediment, sf bay, shoals, slr, storm, tidal, vegetation, vulnerability, wrf, Fewer tags Sea-level rise projections for and observational data of tidal marshes along the California coast The overarching goal of this research was to use site-specific data to develop local and regionally-applicable climate change models that inform management of tidal wetlands along the Pacific Northwest coast. The overarching questions were: (1) how do tidal marsh site characteristics vary across estuaries, and (2) does tidal marsh susceptibility to sea-level rise (SLR) vary along a latitudinal gradient and between estuaries? These questions are addressed in this data collection with three specific objectives: (1) measure topographical and ecological characteristics (e.g., elevation, tidal range, vegetation composition) for tidal marsh and intertidal mudflats, (2) model SLR vulnerability of these habitats, and (3)... Categories: Data; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2012, Bolinas Lagoon, CA, CASC, California, All tags... Coastal, Coastal Habitats, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Education, Modeling and Tools, Extreme Weather, Extreme Weather, Federal, Humboldt Bay, Morro Bay, Newport Bay, Pt. Mugu, SF Bay/Delta, San Pablo Bay, Sea-Level Rise and Coasts, Sea-Level Rise and Coasts, Southwest CASC, Southwest CASC, Tijuana River, Water and Ice, Water, Coasts and Ice, animals, assessment, birds, climate change, coastal, conservation, dem, downscale, dynamical, gcm, geomorphology, gis, hydrology, intertidal, management, marsh, model, multiple, nearshore, plants, sea level rise, sediment, sf bay, shoals, slr, storm, tidal, vegetation, vulnerability, wrf, Fewer tags Changing Patterns in the Number of Species in North American Floras. Synopsis: One of the most important trends in biodiversity is the increase in the number of species as the land area increases. Botanists call this trend the species-area relationship, and it is one of the most dependable rules in biology. Many human activities on the landscape, influence species directly by disrupting their habitat, by removing other organisms upon which they may depend, or by injuring or killing them. Less direct, but in many cases equally as disruptive to the native species of an area, is the introduction of exotic species. In this study, data from published studies on flora over the last two centuries was used to produce contour maps of flora size and percentage of exotic species in North America... Categories: Publication; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: Land use configuration, Landscape fragmentation, North America, biodiversity, flora, All tags... meso-regional, multiple, Fewer tags Effects of habitat fragmentation on birds and mammals in landscapes with different proportions of suitable habitat: a review. Conclusions: The negative effects of patch size and isolation on species may not occur until the landscape consists of less than 10% suitable habitat for birds, and 30% suitable habitat for mammals. Thresholds/Learnings: The negative effects of patch size and isolation on species may not occur until the landscape consists of less than 10% suitable habitat for birds, and 30% suitable habitat for mammals. Synopsis: This study involved a review of studies on birds and mammals in habitat patches in landscapes with different proportions of suitable habitat. The findings demonstrate that there exists a threshold in proportion of suitable habitat in the landscape, above which fragmentation becomes pure habitat loss.... Categories: Publication; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: Landscape fragmentation, Natural cover amount, Natural cover heterogeneity, birds, fragmentation, All tags... habitat loss, habitat suitability, meso-regional, multiple, patch size, terrestrial mammals, world-wide, Fewer tags Assessing climate change vulnerability and developing a climate change adaptation strategy for Sierra Nevada birds This project used the NatureServe Climate Change Vulnerability Index tool to assess vulnerability of 140 bird species that breed in the Sierra Nevada and will develop a peer-reviewed Climate Change Adaptation Strategy for Sierra Nevada bird species that are most vulnerable to climate change. The Strategy provides recommendations for actions that managers can take now and in the future to bolster resilience to climate change. Categories: Data, Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2011, Applications and Tools, CA, California Landscape Conservation Cooperative, Conservation NGOs, All tags... Conservation Plan/Design/Framework, Conservation Planning, Conservation planning, Datasets/Database, EARTH SCIENCE > BIOLOGICAL CLASSIFICATION > ANIMALS/VERTEBRATES > BIRDS, Federal, Federal resource managers, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Multiple, Project, Science Project, Sierra Nevada, Sierra Nevada, State agencies, Vulnerability Assessment, Vulnerability Assessment, adaptation, birds, birds, birds, completed, conservation, environment, gcm, sierra nevada, uncertainty, vulnerability, Fewer tags Assessing climate change vulnerability and developing a climate change adaptation strategy for Sierra Nevada birds This project used the NatureServe Climate Change Vulnerability Index tool to assess vulnerability of 140 bird species that breed in the Sierra Nevada and will develop a peer-reviewed Climate Change Adaptation Strategy for Sierra Nevada bird species that are most vulnerable to climate change. The Strategy provides recommendations for actions that managers can take now and in the future to bolster resilience to climate change. Categories: Data, Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2011, Applications and Tools, CA, California Landscape Conservation Cooperative, Conservation NGOs, All tags... Conservation Plan/Design/Framework, Conservation Planning, Conservation planning, Datasets/Database, EARTH SCIENCE > BIOLOGICAL CLASSIFICATION > ANIMALS/VERTEBRATES > BIRDS, Federal, Federal resource managers, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Multiple, Project, Science Project, Sierra Nevada, Sierra Nevada, State agencies, Vulnerability Assessment, Vulnerability Assessment, adaptation, birds, birds, birds, completed, conservation, environment, gcm, sierra nevada, uncertainty, vulnerability, Fewer tags The Vulnerability of Forests to Climate Change and Wildfire in the Southwestern U.S. Fire in the western U.S. poses one of the greatest threats to human and ecological communities alike. In fact, fire management is the largest single expenditure of land management funds on federal lands. Now, climate change is altering wildfire patterns. Climate change in the West is creating warmer and drier conditions, resulting in an increase in the amount of dead vegetation available to fuel fires. This project sought to assess the vulnerability of forests in the southwestern U.S. to climate change and wildfire, in order to understand how these ecosystems might become altered as a result. Researchers (a) examined how climate change impacts wildfires in the region, to better understand fire risk; (b) identified... Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2012, CA, CASC, CO, Completed, All tags... Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Federal, Fire, Fire, Forests, Forests, Landscapes, Landscapes, NM, NV, OR, Plants, Plants, Projects by Region, Southwest, Southwest, Southwest CASC, Southwest US, UT, Wildlife and Plants, Wildlife and Plants, adaptive capacity, assessment, climate change, connectivity, ecosystem, ensemble, exposure, fire, forests, forests, management, model, multiple, prism, sensitivity, trees, vegetation, vulnerability, vulnerability assessment, wildfire, woodlands, woodlands, Fewer tags Climate Change Vulnerability of the Pyramid Lake Paiute Tribe in the Southwest Native Americans are one of the most vulnerable populations to climate change in the United States because of their reliance upon the natural environment for food, livelihood, and cultural traditions. In the Southwest, where the temperature and precipitation changes from climate change are expected to be particularly severe, tribal communities may be especially vulnerable. Through this project, researchers sought to better understand the climate change threats facing the Pyramid Lake Paiute Tribe of northwestern Nevada. Researchers found that the Tribe’s vulnerability to climate change stems from its dependence on Pyramid Lake, which may experience reduced water supply in the future. This will potentially have negative... Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2012, CASC, Completed, Federal, Fish, All tags... Fish, Indigenous Peoples, Indigenous Peoples, Multiple, NV, Paiute Tribe, Projects by Region, Pyramid Lake, Pyramid Lake, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, Science Tools for Managers, Science Tools for Managers, Social Science, Social Science, Southwest, Southwest, Southwest CASC, TEK, Tribes and Tribal Organizations, Tribes and Tribal Organizations, Truckee River, Water, Coasts and Ice, Water, Coasts and Ice, Wildlife and Plants, Wildlife and Plants, adaptation, climate, climate change, collaboration, culture, decision framework, downscale, economic, hydrology, management, native american communities, resilience, social, threshold, tradition, tribal, vulnerability, water, Fewer tags Evaluating the Impact of Climate Science Produced by the Southwest CSC on Resource Management Agency Decisions Few evaluations of actual collaborative science or co-production processes have been undertaken that can point to specific outcomes for either resource management or science decisions. Project researchers will assess a sample of collaborative Southwest Climate Science Center (SW CSC) funded research projects in order to evaluate the approaches used by SW CSC investigators to collaborate with agency managers and stakeholders; assess the management outcomes of these collaborative processes; develop a tentative set of metrics to measure the effect of these collaborations on management outcomes and the research process; and distill a set of best practices that improve both management and collaborative research process-related... Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2013, CASC, Completed, Data Visualization & Tools, Federal, All tags... Projects by Region, Science Tools for Managers, Science Tools for Managers, Social Science, Social Science, Southwest, Southwest, Southwest CASC, best practices, co-production, collaborative, decision-making, evaluation, interviews, management, managers, multiple, science, stakeholders, surveys, webinars, workshops, Fewer tags Identifying the Vulnerability of Birds and Reptiles to Changes in Climate in the Southwest Biodiversity is declining worldwide, and this trend could potentially become more severe as climate conditions change. An integral component of proactive adaptive management planning requires forecasts of how changes in climate will affect individual species. This need has been identified my multiple federal agencies, including the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, National Park Service, Bureau of Land Management, and U.S. Forest Service. The goal of this project was to assist land and wildlife managers in anticipating which species are most vulnerable to changes in climate in the Southwest, and how resources can best be invested to facilitate adaptation. Researchers evaluated the current and future breeding ranges... Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2012, AZ, Birds, Birds, CA, All tags... CASC, CO, Federal, Multiple, NM, NV, OR, Other Wildlife, Other Wildlife, Projects by Region, Southwest, Southwest, Southwest, Southwest CASC, UT, Wildlife and Plants, Wildlife and Plants, biodiverstiy, birds, birds, climate change, downscale, gcm, management, model, multiple, natureserve, reptiles, reptiles, species distribution, species distribution model, statistical, vulnerability assessment, Fewer tags Improving Groundwater Supply Forecasting in the Southwestern U.S. Changing climate conditions have been identified as a major threat to the sustainability and availability of water resources in the Southwestern U.S. Long-term decreases in precipitation can lead to reductions in regional groundwater levels and loss of groundwater storage in aquifers for some communities. Reduced precipitation can also lead to lower water levels in streams and losses in the vegetation that grows alongside riverbanks. The goal of this project was to identify how hydrologic systems in the Southwest might respond to changes in climate and the degree to which this response is dependent on the characteristics of the hydrologic system. To do this, researchers developed a tool that simulates how quickly... Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2012, AZ, CASC, Completed, Desert, All tags... Federal, Projects by Region, Riparian, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, Southwest, Southwest, Southwest CASC, Upper San Pedro Basin, Upper Verde Watershed, Verde River Basin, Water, Coasts and Ice, Water, Coasts and Ice, multiple, plants, Fewer tags Assessing the Use of Climate Information in Resource Management Decisions in the Southwest In the Southwestern U.S., rising temperatures and changing precipitation patterns are resulting in changes such as more frequent and severe wildfires and prolonged drought. Natural resource managers striving to make decisions in the face of these changing conditions can benefit from information on past, present, and future climate. While an array of climate assessments are available, it is unclear how useful or relevant this information is for resource management decision-making in the Southwest. This project sought to identify the types of environmental information that resource managers in the Southwest need to make climate-related management decisions. To meet this goal, researchers first assessed the degree... Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2013, AZ, CA, CASC, CO, All tags... Completed, Data Visualization & Tools, Federal, NM, NV, Projects by Region, Science Tools for Managers, Science Tools for Managers, Social Science, Social Science, Southwest, Southwest, Southwest CASC, UT, communication, decision support, decision support, information, knowledge networks, management, multiple, networks, social science, survey, Fewer tags 1 2 »