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Our objective was to model specific mean daily flow (mean daily flow divided by drainage area [cubic feet per second per square mile]) on small, ungaged streams in the Upper Colorado River Basin. Modeling streamflows is an important tool for understanding landscape-scale drivers of flow and estimating flows where there are no gaged records. We focused our study in the Upper Colorado River Basin, a region that is not only critical for water resources but also projected to experience large future climate shifts toward a drier climate.We used a random forest modeling approach to model the relation between specific mean daily flow on gaged streams (115 gages) and environmental variables. We then projected specific mean...
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Our objective was to model specific minimum flow (mean of the annual minimum flows divided by drainage area [cubic feet per second per square mile]) on small, ungaged streams in the Upper Colorado River Basin. Modeling streamflows is an important tool for understanding landscape-scale drivers of flow and estimating flows where there are no gaged records. We focused our study in the Upper Colorado River Basin, a region that is not only critical for water resources but also projected to experience large future climate shifts toward a drier climate. We used a random forest modeling approach to model the relation between specific minimum flow on gaged streams (115 gages) and environmental variables. We then projected...
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Our objective was to model the risk of becoming intermittent under drier climate conditions on small, ungaged streams in the Upper Colorado River Basin. Modeling streamflows is an important tool for understanding landscape-scale drivers of flow and estimating flows where there are no gaged records. We focused our study in the Upper Colorado River Basin, a region that is not only critical for water resources but also projected to experience large future climate shifts toward a drier climate. We used a conditional inference modeling approach to model the relation between intermittency status on gaged streams (115 gages) and selected mean and minimum flow metrics. We then projected intermittency status and if a stream...
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As part of the Coastal Carolinas Focus Area Study of the U.S. Geological Survey National Water Census Program, the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) was used to develop models for the Pee Dee River Basin, North Carolina and South Carolina, to simulate future streamflow and irrigation demand based on land use, climate, and water demand projections. SWAT is a basin-scale, process-based watershed model with the capability of simulating water-management scenarios. Model basins were divided into approximately two-square mile subbasins and subsequently divided into smaller, discrete hydrologic response units based on land use, slope, and soil type. The calibration period for the historic model was 2000 to 2014. The...
Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: Alexander, Alleghany, Anson, Ashe, Bladen, All tags...
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Longer, drier summers projected for arid and semi-arid regions of western North America under climate change are likely to have enormous consequences for water resources and river-dependent ecosystems. Many climate change scenarios for this region involve decreases in mean annual streamflow, latesummer precipitation and late-summer streamflow in the coming decades. Intermittent streams are already common in this region, and it is likely that minimum flows will decrease and some perennial streams will shift to intermittent flow under climate-driven changes in timing and magnitude of precipitation and runoff, combined with increases in temperature. To understand current intermittency among streams and analyze the...
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This data release contains input and output data from hydrologic simulations of streamflow conditions in the Red River Basin (RRB) using the Precipitation-Runoff Modeling System (PRMS). The RRB PRMS model predicts components of the water balance at 3065 hydrologic response units (HRU) and streamflow for 1614 stream segments within the model domain for the simulation period 1981 to 2016. The data release contains two shapefiles: (1) a map of HRUs in the model domain and (2) a map of stream segments in the model domain. In addition to the shapefiles, the data release includes files containing the calibrated parameters of the RRB PRMS model as well as model inputs and outputs. The model inputs are (1) climate data,...
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Our objective was to model mean annual number of zero-flow days (days per year) for small streams in the Upper Colorado River Basin under historic hydrologic conditions on small, ungaged streams in the Upper Colorado River Basin. Modeling streamflows is an important tool for understanding landscape-scale drivers of flow and estimating flows where there are no gaged records. We focused our study in the Upper Colorado River Basin, a region that is not only critical for water resources but also projected to experience large future climate shifts toward a drier climate. We used a random forest modeling approach to model the relation between zero-flow days per year on gaged streams (115 gages) and environmental variables....
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Modeling streamflow is an important approach for understanding landscape-scale drivers of flow and estimating flows where there are no streamgage records. In this study conducted by the U.S. Geological Survey in cooperation with Colorado State University, the objectives were to model streamflow metrics on small, ungaged streams in the Upper Colorado River Basin and identify streams that are potentially threatened with becoming intermittent under drier climate conditions. The Upper Colorado River Basin is a region that is critical for water resources and also projected to experience large future climate shifts toward a drying climate. A random forest modeling approach was used to model the relationship between streamflow...
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This data release contains inputs for and outputs from hydrologic simulations of the Upper Rio Hondo Subbasin, New Mexico using the Precipitation-Runoff Modeling System (PRMS). Input data for the entire Upper Rio Hondo Subbasin were developed, but output data only from the North Fork Eagle Creek subwatershed were used. Input data include parameter files for two PRMS models calibrated to prefire conditions and postfire conditions. Synthetic flow data used to calibrate PRMS for prefire conditions and postfire conditions are also included. Output data include output variable files for four PRMS models: two calibrated models (one for prefire conditions and one for postfire conditions) and two models used for scenarios...
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Our objective was to model 7-day minimum flow (mean of the annual minimums of a 7-day moving average for each year [cubic feet per second]) on small, ungaged streams in the Upper Colorado River Basin. Modeling streamflows is an important tool for understanding landscape-scale drivers of flow and estimating flows where there are no gaged records. We focused our study in the Upper Colorado River Basin, a region that is not only critical for water resources but also projected to experience large future climate shifts toward a drier climate. We used a random forest modeling approach to model the relation between 7-day minimum flow on gaged streams (115 gages) and environmental variables. We then projected 7-day minimum...
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As part of the Coastal Carolinas Focus Area Study of the U.S. Geological Survey National Water Census Program, the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) was used to develop models for the Cape Fear River Basin, North Carolina, to simulate future streamflow and irrigation demand based on land use, climate, and water demand projections. SWAT is a basin-scale, process-based watershed model with the capability of simulating water-management scenarios. Model basins were divided into approximately two-square mile subbasins and subsequently divided into smaller, discrete hydrologic response units based on land use, slope, and soil type. The calibration period for the historic model was 2000 to 2014. The best available...
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This data release provides results from a watershed modelling effort to depict the use of natural infrastructure in dryland streams (NIDS), i.e., gabions, as a low-tech and low-cost, nature-based solution for increased water availability in the Buckeye area, west of the White Tank mountains and northwest of Phoenix, AZ, USA. Our goal was to identify impacts of current management and hypothetical installation of gabions, as NIDS to offset expected impacts of planned development (Norman et al., 2022; Tosline & Swick, 2023). This release and associated report (Norman & Petrakis, 2024) describes the methods and results acquired for modeling installation of gabion-style NIDS and the impacts at the apex and outlet of...
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Modeling streamflow is an important approach for understanding landscape-scale drivers of flow and estimating flows where there are no streamgage records. In this study conducted by the U.S. Geological Survey in cooperation with Colorado State University, the objectives were to model streamflow metrics on small, ungaged streams in the Upper Colorado River Basin and identify streams that are potentially threatened with becoming intermittent under drier climate conditions. The Upper Colorado River Basin is a region that is critical for water resources and also projected to experience large future climate shifts toward a drying climate. A random forest modeling approach was used to model the relationship between streamflow...
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Fish in Northern Great Plains streams evolved to survive heat, cold, floods and drought; however changes in streamflow associated with long-term climate change may render some prairie streams uninhabitable for current fish species. To better understand future hydrology of these prairie streams, the Precipitation-Runoff Modeling System (PRMS) model and output from the RegCM3 Regional Climate model were used to simulate streamflows for seven watersheds in eastern and central Montana, for a baseline period (water years 1982 - 1999) and three future periods: water years 2021 -2038, 2046 - 2063, and 2071 - 2088. These PRMS model input and output data are intended to accompany a journal article (Chase et al., 2016); they...
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Our objective was to model intermittency (perennial, weakly intermittent, or strongly intermittent) on small, ungaged streams in the Upper Colorado River Basin. Modeling streamflows is an important tool for understanding landscape-scale drivers of flow and estimating flows where there are no gaged records. We focused our study in the Upper Colorado River Basin, a region that is not only critical for water resources but also projected to experience large future climate shifts toward a drier climate.We used a random forest modeling approach to model the relation between intermittency on gaged streams (115 gages) and environmental variables. We then projected intermittency status to ungaged reaches in the Upper Colorado...
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Our objective was to model minimum flow coefficient of variation (CV) on small, ungaged streams in the Upper Colorado River Basin. Modeling streamflows is an important tool for understanding landscape-scale drivers of flow and estimating flows where there are no gaged records. We focused our study in the Upper Colorado River Basin, a region that is not only critical for water resources but also projected to experience large future climate shifts toward a drier climate. We used a random forest modeling approach to model the relation between minimum flow CV (the standard deviation of annual minimum flows times 100 divided by the mean of annual minimum flows) on gaged streams (115 gages) and environmental variables....
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Our objective was to model frequency of low-pulse events on small, ungaged streams in the Upper Colorado River Basin. Modeling streamflows is an important tool for understanding landscape-scale drivers of flow and estimating flows where there are no gaged records. We focused our study in the Upper Colorado River Basin, a region that is not only critical for water resources but also projected to experience large future climate shifts toward a drier climate. We used a random forest modeling approach to model the relation between frequency of low-pulse events on gaged streams (115 gages) and environmental variables. We then projected frequency of low-pulse events to ungaged reaches in the Upper Colorado River Basin...


    map background search result map search result map Potential Effects of Climate Change on Streamflow in Eastern and Central Montana (2013-2014 Analyses) - PRMS Model Input and Output Modeled Streamflow Metrics on Small, Ungaged Stream Reaches in the Upper Colorado River Basin: Data Predicted intermittency Predicted frequency of low-flow pulse events Predicted minimum flow coefficient of variation Predicted 7-day minimum flow Predicted specific mean daily flow Predicted specific minimum flow Predicted hydrology (intermittency) under drier climate conditions Predicted mean annual number of zero-flow days Modeled intermittency risk for small streams in the Upper Colorado River Basin under climate change Modeled Streamflow Metrics on Small, Ungaged Stream Reaches in the Upper Colorado River Basin Model input and output for prefire and postfire hydrologic simulations in the Upper Rio Hondo Basin, New Mexico using the Precipitation-Runoff Modeling System (PRMS) Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) models for the Cape Fear River Basin used to simulate future streamflow and irrigation demand based on climate and urban growth projections Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) models for the Pee Dee River Basin used to simulate future streamflow and irrigation demand based on climate and urban growth projections Model input and output from Precipitation Runoff Modeling System (PRMS) simulation of the Red River basin 1981-2016 Data Release of Final Report to Bureau of Reclamation: Case Study Using KINEROS Model to Assess Potential Hydrologic and Geomorphic Impacts of Installing Gabions in a Developing Subwatershed near Buckeye, Arizona, USA Data Release of Final Report to Bureau of Reclamation: Case Study Using KINEROS Model to Assess Potential Hydrologic and Geomorphic Impacts of Installing Gabions in a Developing Subwatershed near Buckeye, Arizona, USA Model input and output for prefire and postfire hydrologic simulations in the Upper Rio Hondo Basin, New Mexico using the Precipitation-Runoff Modeling System (PRMS) Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) models for the Cape Fear River Basin used to simulate future streamflow and irrigation demand based on climate and urban growth projections Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) models for the Pee Dee River Basin used to simulate future streamflow and irrigation demand based on climate and urban growth projections Potential Effects of Climate Change on Streamflow in Eastern and Central Montana (2013-2014 Analyses) - PRMS Model Input and Output Modeled intermittency risk for small streams in the Upper Colorado River Basin under climate change Modeled Streamflow Metrics on Small, Ungaged Stream Reaches in the Upper Colorado River Basin Model input and output from Precipitation Runoff Modeling System (PRMS) simulation of the Red River basin 1981-2016 Predicted hydrology (intermittency) under drier climate conditions Predicted intermittency Predicted frequency of low-flow pulse events Predicted minimum flow coefficient of variation Predicted 7-day minimum flow Predicted specific mean daily flow Predicted specific minimum flow Predicted mean annual number of zero-flow days Modeled Streamflow Metrics on Small, Ungaged Stream Reaches in the Upper Colorado River Basin: Data