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Saylorville Reservoir is a 24.1 km2 impoundment of the Des Moines River located approximately 10 km north of the City of Des Moines, Iowa, USA. Surface water from the Des Moines River used for drinking water supply is impaired for nitrate–nitrogen. Monthly mean nitrate concentration data collected upstream and downstream of the reservoir for a 30-year period (1977–2006) were selected for time-series analysis. Our objectives were to (1) develop a model describing nitrate concentrations downstream of the reservoir as a function of the concentrations entering the reservoir and (2) use the model to provide a 1-month ahead forecast for downstream water quality. Results indicated that downstream nitrate can be effectively...
In one of the largest compilations of inland-lake-fisheries time series to date (31 lakes spanning five continents from 1970 to 2014), we sought to identify generalities regarding how inland fisheries respond to forecasted climate and land use changes. Perhaps not surprisingly given the diversity of inland lakes and fisheries, we reported that fish catches can either respond positively or negatively to these forecasted changes, through a variety of pathways. One key factor that positively correlated with vulnerability to a 25% reduction in fish catch was lower access to clean water. If future research can further demonstrate this linkage, it would provide a strong argument to policy makers that investments in clean...
Many management agencies seek to evaluate temporal changes in aquatic assemblages at monitoring sites, but few have sites with ecological time series that are long enough for this purpose. Trends in aquatic-invertebrate and fish assemblage composition were assessed at 27 long-term monitoring sites in the north-central and northeastern United States. Temporal changes were identified using serial trend analysis. Sites with significant serial trends were further evaluated by relating explanatory environmental variables (e.g., streamflow, habitat, and water chemistry) to changes in assemblage composition. Significant trends were found at 19 of 27 study sites; however, differences in the sensitivity of the aquatic fauna...