Estimating indices of range shifts in birds using dynamic models when detection is imperfect

Abstract (from https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26990459): There is intense interest in basic and applied ecology about the effect of global change on current and future species distributions. Projections based on widely used static modeling methods implicitly assume that species are in equilibrium with the environment and that detection during surveys is perfect. We used multiseason correlated detection occupancy models, which avoid these assumptions, to relate climate data to distributional shifts of Louisiana Waterthrush in the North American Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) data. We summarized these shifts with indices of range size and position and compared them to the same indices obtained using more basic modeling...

Categories: Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: Birds, Louisiana Waterthrush, Northeast CASC, Parkesia motacilla, Wildlife and Plants, All tags... breeding bird survey, climate change, ecological forecasts, occupancy models, population dynamics, species distribution models, Fewer tags