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Folders: ROOT > ScienceBase Catalog > National and Regional Climate Adaptation Science Centers > Midwest CASC ( Show direct descendants )

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Global concern of an “insect apocalypse” is fueling demand for large-scale, long-term studies of insect population dynamics. Butterflies associated with open habitat, like prairies and grasslands, have long been identified as species of concern in the Midwest. The iconic monarch butterfly, which serves as a flagship for both migration and insect conservation, is one such species of conservation concern and is currently under consideration for federal listing under the Endangered Species Act. Recent analyses suggest that common, widespread species may also be declining. Yet robust evidence for general declines is patchy and the causes are difficult to discern. Understanding the relative importance of climate, land...
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Culture is an important part of climate adaptation, because “adapting” implies actions taken by humans to conserve key systems and values. Science is also a critical part of adaptation, because the need and viability of actions depends on our understanding of ecosystem function and process. Indigenous or traditional ecological knowledge (TEK) is both culture and long-term place-based science. TEK, therefore, supports tribal adaptation by both framing and contextualizing climate adaptation research and action. TEK also contributes to tribally-centered understandings of ecological systems and climate change. Incorporating TEK into climate adaptation increases the likelihood that adaptation strategies will be implementable,...
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Project Overview Wetlands in forested areas of the Upper Midwest provide vital habitat for amphibians, but changing patterns of drying under climate change can disrupt species reproduction and growth. Researchers supported by this Midwest CASC project will use water depth sensor data, machine learning models, and long-term amphibian surveys to predict wet and dry periods for wetlands under future climate scenarios. Results will offer actionable information for State, Federal, and Tribal partners to prioritize wetland and species conservation efforts. Public Summary Across the Upper Midwest, many wetlands in forested areas are ephemeral, meaning they dry up periodically. These drying periods benefit many amphibian...
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The Midwest region faces unique challenges from climate change that affect forests, grasslands, lakes, rivers, wetlands, and the services and cultural values these ecosystems provide. These changes also occur in a wide range of land types and cultural settings, such as on and off Tribal reservation and treaty-ceded land, within and around towns and cities, and in farms and managed forests. The goal of adaptation science is to identify, test, and demonstrate management strategies that reduce the impacts of climate change. This project will advance the creation and distribution of adaptation science that addresses the natural resource needs of the Midwest through: 1) a synthesis project and research symposium that...
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Under shifting temperatures and precipitation patterns, Midwestern states are increasingly at risk from non-native invasive plants that are changing the composition, structure, and function of native forests. Non-native invasive plants impact the resilience and sustainability of forest communities by outcompeting native tree seedlings and diverse flowering plants, and by altering ecologically important patterns of natural processes like fire, wind, drought, and flooding. Land managers facing this threat are having to not only consider current non-native invasive plants within their landscapes but also future impacts with the expansion of these plants northward and westward under a changing climate, especially as...
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Project Overview Climate risks, including floods and heatwaves, disproportionately impact under-resourced communities in the Upper Mississippi River Basin, but gaps in data, policy, and collaboration in the region can hinder effective climate adaptation. Researchers supported by this Midwest CASC project will work with communities to identify flood-vulnerable areas, evaluate various nature-based solutions, and develop a climate action plan, providing tools and data to guide community resilience through equitable resource management, funding, and policy. Project Summary In the Midwest, climate risks such as floods, droughts, and heatwaves are expected to worsen, disproportionately affecting at-risk and under-resourced...
Climate change is altering the thermal habitats of freshwater fish species. We analyze modeled daily temperature profiles from 12,688 lakes in the US to track changes in thermal habitat of 60 lake fish species from different thermal guilds during 1980-2021. We quantify changes in each species’ preferred days, defined as the number of days per year when a lake contains the species’ preferred temperature. We find that cooler-water species are losing preferred days more rapidly than warmer-water species are gaining them. This asymmetric impact cannot be attributed to differences in geographic distribution among species; instead, it is linked to the seasonal dynamics of lake temperatures and increased thermal homogenization...
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Project Overview In the Midwest, climate change is forcing birds to shift their ranges, raising concerns about how well protected areas provide refuge for vulnerable bird species. Researchers supported by this Midwest CASC project will use two decades of bird monitoring data to evaluate how protected areas in the Upper Great Lakes region support birds now and in the future under changing climate and land-use conditions. The project will produce maps that identify vulnerable species and critical areas for their protection that agencies and land managers can use to prioritize conservation action in the region. Public Summary Throughout the Midwest, climate change is causing rising temperatures and extreme weather,...
    map background search result map search result map Modeling the Interaction of Forest Management and Climate Change on the Spread and Impact of Non-Native Invasive Plants Evaluating the Role of Climate on Midwestern Butterfly Trajectories, Monarch Declines, and the Broader “Insect Apocalypse” Assessing and Advancing Different Ways of Knowing in Climate Adaptation in the Midwest Climate-Driven Changes to Forested Wetland Inundation Dynamics: Implications for Frogs and Toads Nature-Based Solutions for Flood Risk Reduction and Community Resilience in the Upper Mississippi River Basin Identifying Past and Future Climate Change Refugia for Midwestern Birds Collaborative Synthesis on Traditional Ecological Knowledge & Climate Adaptation in the Midwest Modeling the Interaction of Forest Management and Climate Change on the Spread and Impact of Non-Native Invasive Plants Climate-Driven Changes to Forested Wetland Inundation Dynamics: Implications for Frogs and Toads Identifying Past and Future Climate Change Refugia for Midwestern Birds Nature-Based Solutions for Flood Risk Reduction and Community Resilience in the Upper Mississippi River Basin Evaluating the Role of Climate on Midwestern Butterfly Trajectories, Monarch Declines, and the Broader “Insect Apocalypse” Assessing and Advancing Different Ways of Knowing in Climate Adaptation in the Midwest Collaborative Synthesis on Traditional Ecological Knowledge & Climate Adaptation in the Midwest