Folders: ROOT > ScienceBase Catalog > National and Regional Climate Adaptation Science Centers > National CASC > FY 2009 Projects > Forecasting Climate Impacts on Wildlife of the Arid Southwest at Regional and Local Scales Using Downscaled Climate Models > Approved Products ( Show all descendants )
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ROOT _ScienceBase Catalog __National and Regional Climate Adaptation Science Centers ___National CASC ____FY 2009 Projects _____Forecasting Climate Impacts on Wildlife of the Arid Southwest at Regional and Local Scales Using Downscaled Climate Models ______Approved Products Filters
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We modeled the current and future breeding ranges of seven bird and five reptile species in the Southwestern United States with sets of landscape, biotic (plant), and climatic global circulation model (GCM) variables. For modeling purposes, we used PRISM data to characterize the climate of the Western United States between 1980 and 2009 (baseline for birds) and between 1940 and 2009 (baseline for reptiles). In contrast, we used a pre-selected set of GCMs that are known to be good predictors of southwestern climate (five individual and one ensemble GCM), for the A1B emission scenario, to characterize future climatic conditions in three time periods (2010–39; 2040–69; and, 2070–99). Our modeling approach relied on...
Categories: Publication;
Types: Citation;
Tags: Bird Distributions,
Bird Species Count,
Birds,
National CASC,
Other Wildlife,
A series of range map projections of the potential effects of climate change on bird and reptile distributions in the western United States. "These predictions can help managers and policy makers better prioritize conservation effects" - Charles Van Riper III.
USGS News Release 4/7/2014: " Dramatic distribution losses and a few major distribution gains are forecasted for southwestern bird and reptile species as the climate changes, according to just-published research by scientists with the U.S. Geological Survey, the University of New Mexico, and Northern Arizona University. Overall, the study forecasted species distribution losses – that is, where species are able to live – of nearly half for all but one of the 5 reptile species they examined, including for the iconic chuckwalla. The threatened Sonoran (Morafka’s) desert tortoise, however, is projected to experience little to no habitat losses from climate change...."
Categories: Publication;
Types: Citation;
Tags: Birds,
National CASC,
Other Wildlife,
Southwestern Birds,
Southwestern Reptiles,
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