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Folders: ROOT > ScienceBase Catalog > National and Regional Climate Adaptation Science Centers > South Central CASC > FY 2021 Projects > Using Precipitation Climatology to Examine the Role of Climate Change in Extreme Events of the Mississippi River Basin > Approved Products ( Show all descendants )

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_ScienceBase Catalog
__National and Regional Climate Adaptation Science Centers
___South Central CASC
____FY 2021 Projects
_____Using Precipitation Climatology to Examine the Role of Climate Change in Extreme Events of the Mississippi River Basin
______Approved Products
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Abstract (from AGUPubs): To assist water managers in south-central Oklahoma prepare for future drought, reliable place-based drought forecasts are produced. Past-, present-, and future-forecasted climate indices (Multivariate ENSO Index, Pacific Decadal Oscillation index, and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation index) and past and present Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) are employed as predictor variables to forecast PDSI using a multivariate regression technique. PDSI is forecasted 18 months in advance with sufficient skill to provide water managers early warning of drought. Using a training data set obtained from the period January 1901 to November 2021, a second-order model equation that contains, without...
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