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Projecting the Future Encroachment of Woody Vegetation into Grasslands of the Northern Great Plains by Simulating Climate Conditions and Possible Management Actions Maintaining the native prairie lands of the Northern Great Plains (NGP), which provide an important habitat for declining grassland species, requires anticipating the effects of increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations and climate change on the region’s vegetation. Specifically, climate change threatens NGP grasslands by increasing the potential encroachment of native woody species into areas where they were previously only present in minor numbers. This project used a dynamic vegetation model to simulate vegetation type (grassland, shrubland, woodland, and forest) for the NGP for a range of projected future climates and relevant management scenarios. Comparing results of these simulations illustrates... Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2012, Biology, CASC, Climate change, Completed, All tags... Conservation, Conterminous United States, Ecology, Ecosystem, Fire, Grasslands and Plains, Grasslands and Plains, Great Plains, Land, Land Management, Landscapes, Landscapes, Natural Resources, North Central, North Central CASC, Projects by Region, United States, biota, boundaries, environment, grasslands, grazing, location, woody encroachment, Fewer tags Building Capacity within the CSC Network to Effectively Deliver and Communicate Science to Resource Managers and Planners A limited amount of valid scientific information about global climate change and its detrimental impacts has reached the public and exerted a positive impact on the public policy process or future planning for adaptation and mitigation. This project was designed to address this limitation by bringing together expertise in the social and communication sciences from targeted academic institutions affiliated with the Department of the Interior’s Climate Science Centers (CSCs) through a workshop. The project team brought together expertise in the social and communication sciences from targeted academic institutions, particularly experts and scholars who are affiliated with the nation’s CSCs, by means of an invited... Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2012, CASC, Completed, FY 2012, Projects by Region, All tags... Science Tools for Managers, Science Tools for Managers, Social Science, South Central, South Central CASC, South Central Climate Science Center, State of the Science, State of the Science, States, U.S. States, United States, boundaries, climate change communication, demographics, farm information, households, population, social impacts, society, workshop, Fewer tags Support for the Second Annual Pacific Northwest Climate Science Conference The Northwest Climate Conference (formerly called the Pacific Northwest Climate Science Conference) is the premier climate science event for the region, providing a forum for researchers and practitioners to share scientific results and discuss challenges and solutions related to the impacts of climate change on people, natural resources, and infrastructure in the Northwest. Conference participants include policy- and decision-makers, resource managers, and scientists from academia, public agencies, sovereign tribal nations, non-governmental organizations, and the private sector. More information can be found at the conference website: http://pnwclimateconference.org. The Second Annual Pacific Northwest Climate... Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2011, CASC, Climate Change, Completed, Northwest, All tags... Northwest, Northwest, Northwest CASC, Projects by Region, Science Tools for Managers, Science Tools for Managers, State of the Science, State of the Science, States, U.S. States, United States, area, boundaries, demographics, farm information, households, polygon, population, society, Fewer tags Understanding Extreme Climate Events in the North Central U.S. The climate of the North Central U.S. is driven by a combination of factors, including atmospheric circulation patterns, the region’s complex topography which extends from the High Rockies to the Great Plains, and variations in hydrology. Together, these factors determine the sustainability of the region’s ecosystems and the services that they provide communities. In order to understand the vulnerability of the region’s ecosystems to change, it is necessary to have reliable projections of future climate conditions. To address this need, researchers first examined past and present variations in climate and assessed the ability of climate models to effectively project future climate conditions for the region. Second,... Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2012, CASC, Completed, Drought, Drought, All tags... Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, Drought, Fire and Extreme Weather, North Central, North Central CASC, Projects by Region, States, U.S. States, United States, Fewer tags Understanding the Links between Climate and Waterbirds Across North America Ducks and other waterfowl in the U.S. are valued and enjoyed by millions of birdwatchers, artists, photographers and citizens for their beauty and appeal. Waterfowl also provide game for hunters throughout the country and act as an important source of revenue for states and local communities. Loss of habitat and migration corridors due to land use changes and changes in climate threaten these birds, however more scientific information is needed to understand these processes. This project used available annual surveys of duck counts, along with data on the location and availability of ponds and temperature and precipitation patterns, to model where across the continental landscape waterfowl were present and if their... Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2011, Adaptive Harvest Management, Aerial Survey, Alaska, Alaska CASC, All tags... Birds, Birds, Breeding Survey, CASC, Completed, North America, Population Survey, Projects by Region, Stationarity, Survey, Waterbirds, Waterfowl, Wildlife and Plants, Wildlife and Plants, density and occupancy modeling, Fewer tags Niche model results predicting fundamentally suitable and unsuitable habitat for freshwater mussel concentrations in the Meramec Basin This layer represents fundamentally suitable and unsuitable habitat for freshwater mussels in the Meramec Basin as modeled by these authors on May 17, 2017 based on spatial data ranging from 1990 to 2014. Identification of habitat characteristics associated with the presence of freshwater mussels is challenging but crucial for the conservation of this declining fauna. Most mussel species are found in multi-species assemblages suggesting that physical factors influence presence similarly across species. In lotic environments, geomorphic and hydraulic characteristics appear to be important factors for predicting mussel presence. We used maximum entropy (MaxEnt) modeling to evaluate hydrogeomorphic variables associated... Categories: Data, Data Release - In Progress, Project; Types: Downloadable, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, Shapefile; Tags: MaxEnt, Meramec, Missouri, Ozark, biota, All tags... conservation planning, freshwater mussels, hydrogeomorphology, riverscape, unionids, Fewer tags Support for the Third Annual Pacific Northwest Climate Science Conference The Northwest Climate Conference (formerly called the Pacific Northwest Climate Science Conference) is the premier climate science event for the region, providing a forum for researchers and practitioners to share scientific results and discuss challenges and solutions related to the impacts of climate change on people, natural resources, and infrastructure in the Northwest. Conference participants include policy- and decision-makers, resource managers, and scientists from academia, public agencies, sovereign tribal nations, non-governmental organizations, and the private sector. More information can be found at the conference website: http://pnwclimateconference.org. The Third Annual Pacific Northwest Climate Science... Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2012, CASC, Completed, Northwest, Northwest, All tags... Northwest, Northwest CASC, Projects by Region, Science Tools for Managers, Science Tools for Managers, State of the Science, State of the Science, States, U.S. States, United States, boundaries, demographics, farm information, households, population, society, Fewer tags Inter-Tribal Workshops on Climate Change in the Central U.S. Tribal communities are especially vulnerable to the effects of climate change because of their reliance on the natural environment to sustain traditional activities and their limited resources to respond to climate change impacts. At the same time, tribes have valuable traditional knowledge that can aid regional efforts to address climate change. There were two overarching goals of this project: The first was to build partnerships between South Central Climate Science Center (SC CSC) researchers and tribal communities, linking tribes with climate change tools and resources and developing a model that could be replicated in other regions. The second goal was to document tribal viewpoints on climate change impacts... Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2012, CASC, Completed, FY 2012, Indigenous Peoples, All tags... Indigenous Peoples, Native American participation, Projects by Region, South Central, South Central CASC, South Central Climate Science Center, States, Tribes and Tribal Organizations, Tribes and Tribal Organizations, U.S. States, United States, area, boundaries, climate change impacts, demographics, educational outreach, farm information, households, polygon, population, society, tribal communities, video, workshop, Fewer tags Predicting the Risk of Species Extinctions Due to Sea-Level Rise in the Northwestern Hawaiian Islands If current climate change trends continue, rising sea levels could inundate low-lying islands across the globe. The Northwestern Hawaiian Islands (NWHI) is a group of islands of great conservation importance that is threatened by sea-level rise. Stretching 2,000 km beyond the main Hawaiian Islands, the NWHI are a World Heritage Site and part of the Papahānaumokuākea Marine National Monument. The islands support the largest tropical seabird rookery in the world, providing breeding habitat for 21 species of seabirds, 4 land bird species, and essential habitat for other resident and migratory wildlife. Because these are low-lying islands, even small increases in sea-level could result in the loss of critical habitat,... Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2009, Baby Brooks Bank, Bank 66, Birds, Birds, All tags... Boundaries, Brooks Bank, CASC, Code of Federal Regulations, Completed, French Frigate Shoals, Gardner Pinnacles, Kure Atoll, Laysan Island, Lisianski Island, Marine Protected Areas, Maro Reef, Middle Brooks Bank, Midway Atoll, National CASC, National CASC, Necker Island, Nihoa Island, Northwestern Hawaiian Islands, Northwestern Hawaiian Islands, Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument, Papahānaumokuākea, Pearl and Hermes Atoll, Pioneer Bank, Projects by Region, Raita Bank, Sea-Level Rise and Coasts, Sea-Level Rise and Coasts, St. Rogatien Bank, Twin Banks, W. St. Rogatien Bank, Water, Coasts and Ice, Water, Coasts and Ice, Wildlife and Plants, Wildlife and Plants, birds, climate change, climate models, sea-level rise, Fewer tags Informing Conservation Management Decision-Making at Coastal National Wildlife Refuges Coastal National Wildlife Refuges (NWRs) provide a myriad of beneficial services, including buffering storm surge, improving water quality, supporting commercial fisheries, and providing habitat for imperiled wildlife and plants. Yet in the last century, coastal ecosystems in the eastern U.S. have been severely altered by human development activities as well as sea-level rise and more frequent extreme events related to climate change. These influences threaten the goods and services provided by NWRs and pose decision-making challenges for refuge managers. The purpose of this project was to explore how structured decision-making – a formal, systematic method for analyzing decisions – could help NWR staff make informed... Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2013, 2013, CASC, CASC, Completed, All tags... Data Visualization & Tools, Northeast, Northeast CASC, ProductWorkingFolder, Projects by Region, ReportWorkingFolder, Science Tools for Managers, Sea-Level Rise and Coasts, Sea-Level Rise and Coasts, Southeast, Southeast CASC, United States, Water, Coasts and Ice, Water, Coasts and Ice, WorkingFolder, Fewer tags Ocean Biogeographic Information System (OBIS) - USA Dataset Collection OBIS-USA brings together marine biological occurrence data – recorded observations of identifiable marine species at a known time and place, collected primarily from U.S. Waters or with U.S. funding. Coordinated by the Core Science, Analytics, Synthesis, and Libraries (CSAS&L) Program of the United States Geological Survey (USGS), OBIS-USA, strives to meet national data integration and dissemination needs for marine data about organisms and ecosystems. OBIS-USA is part of an international data sharing network (Ocean Biogeographic Information System, OBIS) coordinated by the Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission, of UNESCO (United Nations Educational, Science and Cultural Organization International Oceanographic... Categories: Project; Types: NSDI Cooperative Agreements Program Project; Tags: Arctic Ocean, Atlantic Ocean, Bay of Fundy, Beaufort Sea, Bering Sea, All tags... Bering Strait, Biodiversity, Biological Production, Birds, Bristol Bay, Canada, Caribbean Sea, Census of Marine Life, Chukchi Sea, Commericial Leases, Cook Inlet, Cruise Ships, Distributions, Fishes, Flora, Great Lakes, Gulf of Alaska, Gulf of California, Gulf of Maine, Gulf of Mexico, Habitat, Harvesting Living Resources, Invasive Species, Invertebrates, Kotzebue Sound, Kuskokwim Bay, Mammals, Marine Protected Areas (MPAs), North America, Norton Sound, OBIS, Ocean Biogeographic Information System, Offshore Oil and Gas Production, Pacific Ocean, Puget Sound, Reptiles, Sargasso Sea, Shelikof Strait, South Atlantic Bight, Southern Ocean, Straits of Florida, United States, Wind Energy Production, Yucatan Channel, abundance, algae, animal and plant census, aquatic biology, aquatic ecosystems, benthic ecosystems, benthic habitat, benthos, biodiversity, biogeography, biological productivity, biology, biota, biota, coastal habitat, consumers (organisms), coral reefs, decomposers, ecosystem diversity, ecosystem functions, endemic species, estuarine ecosystems, fisheries management, fishery resources, invasive species, macroinvertebrates, marine animals, marine biology, marine ecosystems, marine mammals, microbes, migratory species, native species, nekton, nonindigenous species, oceans, pelagic habitat, phytoplankton, plankton, plants, plants (organisms), producers (organisms), protected species, reef ecosystems, reef habitat, sea birds, sea turtles, shellfish, species diversity, vegetation, vertebrates, wildlife, zooplankton, Fewer tags Stakeholder Engagement to Coordinate a Regional Assessment of Climate This project supported a climate assessment workshop for the Northwest region. The workshop brought together regional stakeholders interested in understanding regional climate impacts and identifying strategies for adapting resources to changing conditions. The workshop also initiated a process of participatory activities and communication about the climate assessment, which helped contribute to the broader National Climate Assessment (NCA). By discussing adaptive management solutions with regional stakeholders, the workshop provided regional case study results to the NCA, such as information on local lessons and best practices. Specific workshop objectives included (1) convening and launching a process for coordinating... Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2011, CASC, Climate Change, Completed, Northwest, All tags... Northwest, Northwest, Northwest CASC, Projects by Region, Science Tools for Managers, Science Tools for Managers, State of the Science, States, U.S. States, United States, area, boundaries, demographics, farm information, households, polygon, population, society, Fewer tags Analyzing and Communicating the Ability of Data and Models to Simulate Streamflow and Answer Resource Management Questions To date, hydrological and ecological models have been developed independently from each other, making their application particularly challenging for interdisciplinary studies. The objective of this project was to synthesize and evaluate prevailing hydrological and ecological models in the South-Central U.S., particularly the southern Great Plains region. This analysis aimed to identify the data requirements and suitability of each model to simulate stream flow while addressing associated changes in the ecology of stream systems, and to portray climate variability and uncertainty. The results and deliverables of this project are expected to include a comprehensive, updated, and systematic report on recent developments... Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2012, CASC, Completed, FY 2012, Projects by Region, All tags... Rivers, Streams and Lakes, Rivers, Streams and Lakes, Science Tools For Managers, Science Tools for Managers, Science Tools for Managers, South Central, South Central CASC, South Central Climate Science Center, State of the Science, State of the Science, States, U.S. States, United States, Water, Coasts and Ice, Water, Coasts and Ice, boundaries, demographics, ecological model, farm information, flow regime, households, hydrological modelling, population, society, Fewer tags Potential Climate Impacts and Adaptation Strategies in the Great Plains In the Great Plains, climate change is expected to result in more frequent and intense droughts, severe rainfall events, and heat waves. Adapting to changing conditions will require coordination in the research and observation capabilities of multiple organizations, institutions, and government programs. In light of these needs, researchers worked with federal, state, tribal, university, and non-governmental organization partners to (1) synthesize the current state of ecosystems in the Great Plains; (2) assess the ability of human and ecological communities in the region to adapt to climate change; and (3) develop a process to improve future assessments of the vulnerability of the region’s natural and cultural resources... Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2011, CASC, Climate Change, Completed, North Central, All tags... North Central CASC, Projects by Region, Science Tools for Managers, Science Tools for Managers, State of the Science, State of the Science, States, U.S. States, United States, area, boundaries, demographics, farm information, households, polygon, population, society, Fewer tags Turning Uncertainty into Useful Information for Conservation Decisions We routinely encounter uncertainty when we make decisions – from picking a new morning coffee to choosing where to live. Even decisions that are supported by science contain some level of remaining uncertainty. In the context of conservation and wildlife management, the potential for uncertainty to influence decisions is perhaps most obvious when we think about predicting how actions (or non-actions) will have lasting impacts into the future. Our abilities to precisely predict future climatic and ecological conditions and determine the exact consequences of our actions are, and will remain, limited. Conservation practitioners and land and wildlife managers must navigate these challenges to make science-informed... Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2012, CASC, Climate Change, Completed, Data Visualization & Tools, All tags... Data Visualization & Tools, FY 2012, Projects by Region, Science Tools For Managers, Science Tools for Managers, Science Tools for Managers, Southeast, Southeast CASC, Southeast Climate Science Center, State of the Science, State of the Science, States, U.S. States, United States, boundaries, demographics, farm information, households, population, resource management, society, uncertainty, Fewer tags Bringing People, Data, and Models Together – Addressing Impacts of Climate Change on Stream Temperature This study set out to answer the question: “What data and modeling frameworks are needed to provide scientists reliable, climate-informed, water temperature estimates for freshwater ecosystems that can assist watershed management decision making?” To accomplish this, the study gathered existing stream temperature data, identified data gaps, deployed stream temperature monitoring devices, and developed and tested a stream temperature model that could be regionalized across the Northeast domain. We partnered with another funded project team, led by Jana Stewart at WI USGS to collect data from over 10,000 locations across the climate science center domain. This collection effort aided in identifying data gaps where... Categories: Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2012, CASC, Climate change, Completed, Data Visualization & Tools, All tags... Data Visualization & Tools, FY 2012, Northeast, Northeast CASC, Northeast Climate Science Center, Projects by Region, Science Tools for Managers, Science Tools for Managers, States, U.S. States, United States, area, boundaries, demographics, farm information, households, polygon, population, society, stream temperature, Fewer tags