Applying Vulnerability Assessment Tools to Plan for Climate Adaptation: Case Studies in the North Pacific LCC - Final Report

The central objective of this project was to answer two questions: 1) how downscaled climate datasets, modeled vegetation changes, and information on estimated species sensitivities can be used to develop climate change adaptation strategies, and 2) how model results and datasets can be made more useful for informing the management of species and landscapes. To answer these questions, we identified enthusiastic partners working in two very different complex landscapes within the North Pacific Landscape Conservation Cooperative (NPLCC): 1) the British Columbia Park system, specifically the midcoast region, and 2) the National Wildlife Refuge system in the Willamette Valley, OR. The issues and concerns of each group...

Categories: Data; Tags: Academics & scientific researchers, B.C., BC Provincial parks, British Columbia, Conservation Planning, All tags... Decision Support, Federal resource managers, LCC Network Science Catalog, Multiple priority topics, NPLCC, OR, OR-4, Oregon, Priority B. Changes in air temperature and precipitation on forests, State agencies, Vulnerability Assessment, Willamette Basin, Willamette Valley, adaptation strategies, climate adaptation, climate change, climate change, completed, downscaled climate projections, landscape assessment, product, species sensitivities, vegetation changes, vegetation modeling, vulnerability assessment, Fewer tags

Pacific Northwest Forest Soils: Creating a Soil Vulnerability Index to Identify Drought Sensitive Areas

This project developed a soil vulnerability index and map indicating where forest cover will be most affected by climate change. Using this map, researchers developed a greater understanding of potential changes in soil moisture and temperature regimes under future climate conditions. They then evaluated how this information could be used to improve vegetation models across the landscape. They compared the results of different modeling approaches to the soil vulnerability map, synthesized the state of knowledge and uncertainty, and introduced management implications for action.

Categories: Data, Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2011, AK, AK, AK, AK, All tags... AK-0, AK-1, AK-1, AK-1, Academics & scientific researchers, B.C., B.C., B.C., B.C., CA, CA, CA, CA, CA-2, Ca-2, Conservation Planning, Conservation Planning, Datasets/Database, Decision Support, Decision Support, Decision Support, Federal resource managers, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, LCC Network Science Catalog - LCCScienceCatalog, NPLCC, NPLCC, North Pacific Landscape Conservation Cooperative, OR-1, OR-1, OR-1, OR-1, OR-3, OR-3, OR-3, OR-3, OR-4, OR-4, OR-4, OR-4, OR-5, OR-5, OR-5, OR-5, Priority B. Changes in air temperature and precipitation on forests, Project, Publication, Regional & county planners, Report, Science Project, Vulnerability Assessment, Vulnerability Assessment, WA, WA-1, WA-1, WA-1, WA-1, WA-10, WA-10, WA-10, WA-10, WA-2, WA-2, WA-2, WA-2, WA-3, WA-3, WA-3, WA-3, WA-6, WA-6, WA-6, WA-6, WA-7, WA-7, WA-7, WA-7, WA-9, WA-9, WA-9, WA-9, WA. OR, WA. OR, WA. OR, climate change, climate change, climate change, climate change, completed, product, soils, soils, vegetation model, vegetation model, vegetation model, vegetation model, Fewer tags

Climate Change Health Assessments for Three Coastal, Riverine and Lake System Communities

This project evaluates the connections between climate change impacts and health in Bristol Bay communities. Climate change impacts were assessed through the lens of public health, with an eye towards the potential effects on disease, injury, food and water security, and mental health. Three focal communities were included in this assessment: Nondalton, a lake community, Levelock, a river community, and Pilot Point, a coastal community. The resulting assessment reports will be used to assist focal communities, as well as neighboring communities, in addressing climate-change related issues.

Categories: Data, Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ASSESSMENT MODELS, CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ASSESSMENT MODELS, COASTAL AREAS, COASTAL AREAS, Decision Support, All tags... EROSION, EROSION, Interested public, LAKES, LAKES, LCC Network Science Catalog, OCEANS, OCEANS, Project, RIVER/LAKE ICE BREAKUP, RIVER/LAKE ICE BREAKUP, RIVER/LAKE ICE FREEZE, RIVER/LAKE ICE FREEZE, RIVERS/STREAMS, RIVERS/STREAMS, Regional & county planners, Report, SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC MODELS, SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC MODELS, SOCIAL BEHAVIOR, SOCIAL BEHAVIOR, SPECIES MIGRATION, SPECIES MIGRATION, Socio-economics/Ecosystem Services, Traditional Ecological Knowledge, Tribes, VULNERABILITY LEVELS/INDEX, VULNERABILITY LEVELS/INDEX, Vulnerability Assessment, biota, biota, completed, environment, environment, geoscientificInformation, geoscientificInformation, health, health, inlandWaters, inlandWaters, oceans, oceans, society, society, Fewer tags

Vulnerability of shorebird and waterfowl habitat in the Yukon Kuskokwim Delta: assessing landscape dynamic in response to climate change

The YKD is also home to the largest subsistence-based economy in Alaska. Yet, the low-lying landscape mosaic characterizing the YKD is at risk of massive change associated with projected sea level rise (SLR), increasing storm frequency and severity and permafrost degradation due to future climate change. Therefore, to conserve ecosystem services associated with the botanical and faunal richness in the YKD, management strategies in the region should not only be based on current ecosystem conditions, but also incorporate projected changes in landscape composition. The goal of this project is to provide managers and people living in the YKD, an assessment of the vulnerability of the landscape to future change and to...

Categories: Data, Project; Tags: Academics & scientific researchers, CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ASSESSMENT MODELS, CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ASSESSMENT MODELS, Federal resource managers, Hunters & anglers, All tags... Interested public, LAND COVER, LAND COVER, LANDSCAPE PROCESSES, LANDSCAPE PROCESSES, LCC Network Science Catalog, MODELS, MODELS, PERMAFROST, PERMAFROST, PERMAFROST MELT, PERMAFROST MELT, Population & Habitat Evaluation/Projection, Project, Regional & county planners, State agencies, Tribes, VULNERABILITY LEVELS/INDEX, VULNERABILITY LEVELS/INDEX, Vulnerability Assessment, biota, biota, environment, environment, underDevelopment, Fewer tags

Linking North Slope Climate, Hydrology, and Fish Migration

Contemporary observations suggest that water may disappear entirely from portions of some North Slope stream-beds during periods of drought or low flow. Climate models project even drier summers in the future. This could pose a problem for migrating fish that must be able to move back and forth from breeding and summer feeding areas to scarce overwintering sites. This work uses the best available long-term hydrologic data set for the North Slope (in the upper Kuparuk River watershed) to develop a model to assess the vulnerability of stream systems to periodic drought, and the vulnerability of migrating fish to a loss of stream connectivity.

Categories: Data, Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: Academics & scientific researchers, DISCHARGE/FLOW, DISCHARGE/FLOW, Federal resource managers, LCC Network Science Catalog, All tags... Population & Habitat Evaluation/Projection, Project, Publication, RAY-FINNED FISHES, RAY-FINNED FISHES, RIVERS/STREAMS, RIVERS/STREAMS, Training/Outreach/Workshop, Vulnerability Assessment, biota, biota, completed, inlandWaters, inlandWaters, Fewer tags

Climate Change Vulnerability of Migrating Bird Species Breeding in Arctic Alaska

The Wildlife Conservation Society will assess the climate change vulnerability of bird species that regularly breed in substantial populations in Alaska using the NatureServe Climate Change Vulnerability Index (CCVI) tool. Initial work will focus on breeding birds in Arctic Alaska including shorebirds, waterfowl and waterbird species (loons, gulls, terns, jaegers), and land bird species (passerines, raptors, ptarmigan).

Categories: Data, Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: BIRDS, BIRDS, CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ASSESSMENT MODELS, CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ASSESSMENT MODELS, Conservation NGOs, All tags... Conservation Planning, Federal resource managers, Interested public, LCC Network Science Catalog, Project, Report, Vulnerability Assessment, biota, biota, completed, environment, environment, Fewer tags

Assessing and Mapping Rare Plant Species Vulnerability to Climate Change

This project used species distribution modeling to assess the risk to habitat change under various climate change scenarios for rare plants. To predict the response of rare plant species to climate change, the project modeled the current distribution of the species using climate and environmental data (e.g., soils, disturbance, land-use), use these models to predict the species distribution given climate change, calculate current and future range size, calculate the amount of overlap of predicted future distribution with current distribution, and assess where barriers and protected areas are located with reference to the change in species distribution. Given the results of the distribution modeling, each species...

Categories: Data, Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2010, CA, CA-wide, California, California Landscape Conservation Cooperative, All tags... Conservation NGOs, Conservation Planning, Conservation planning, Datasets/Database, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Map, Project, Science Project, Southwest CSC, State agencies, Vulnerability Assessment, Vulnerability Assessment, assessment, completed, environment, mapping, multiple, vulnerability, Fewer tags

Reconciling precipitation trends in Alaska: Comparison of trends in gridded precipitation products and station records

There are many challenges in detecting precipitation trends in Alaska. The most substantial are the small number of observations, inhomogeneities, differences among gridded data sets, and differentiating between long-term trends and decadal variability. Analyzing both station and regional products will increase our understanding of where local trends in precipitation may differ significantly from regional trends, providing key information for developing better downscaled climate projections. These in turn, will provide insight into fine scale heterogeneity in climate change that may be important in determining the stability of key habitat features, such as wetlands and insect avoidance areas. As a by-product of...

Categories: Data, Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: Academics & scientific researchers, LCC Network Science Catalog, Monitoring, PRECIPITATION TRENDS, PRECIPITATION TRENDS, All tags... Project, Publication, Vulnerability Assessment, climatologyMeteorologyAtmosphere, climatologyMeteorologyAtmosphere, completed, Fewer tags

Needs Assessment and Work Plan for Coastal Change Outreach on the Beaufort Sea coast, Alaska

The Beaufort Sea coast in Arctic Alaska and neighboring northern Canada has recently experienced extreme and accelerated climate change, including a dramatic reduction in summer sea ice. Human systems will likely be impacted through changes to oil industry and community infrastructure currently in place along parts of the coast, to habitat availability for harvested species such as caribou, waterbirds, and anadromous fish, to culturally important landscape elements, and to both recreational and subsistence coastal access. We used literature review and structured interviews to 1) identify current, broad interests for ongoing coastal research in the arctic, 2) identify the best mechanisms and format for communicating...

Categories: Data, Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: COASTAL HABITAT, COASTAL HABITAT, COASTAL LANDFORMS/PROCESSES, COASTAL LANDFORMS/PROCESSES, EROSION, All tags... EROSION, Federal resource managers, Hunters & anglers, Informing Conservation Delivery, Interested public, LCC Network Science Catalog, OCEAN CURRENTS, OCEAN CURRENTS, Project, Report, State agencies, Traditional Ecological Knowledge, Tribes, Vulnerability Assessment, completed, environment, environment, geoscientificInformation, geoscientificInformation, society, society, Fewer tags

Vulnerability Analysis and Monitoring Program for Detecting Changes in San Francisco Bay Tidal Marsh Bird Populations

This project designed a monitoring program and protocol to detect the effects of climate change on tidal marsh bird population abundance and distribution. It is a companion to “Tidal Marsh Bird Population and Habitat Assessment for San Francisco Bay under Future Climate Change Conditions” and will build on its products, enabling evaluation of the long-term viability of four tidal-marsh bird species threatened by impacts of climate change: Clapper Rail, Black Rail, Common Yellowthroat, and Song Sparrow (three endemic subspecies: San Pablo, Suisun, and Alameda). Information is available through the California Avian Data Center. See also: http://data.prbo.org/apps/sfbslr/index.php?page=lcc-page

Categories: Data, Project; Tags: 2010, CA, California Landscape Conservation Cooperative, Conservation NGOs, Datasets/Database, All tags... Estuarine, Federal resource managers, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, Map, Marine, Monitoring, Monitoring, Population & Habitat Evaluation/Projection, Population and Habitat Evaluation/Projection, Project, SF Bay/Delta, San Francisco Bay, Science Project, State agencies, Tidal, Vulnerability Assessment, Vulnerability Assessment, Wetland, bird, birds, completed, conservation, environment, marsh, model, monitor, monitoring, tidal, vulnerability, wetland, Fewer tags

North Pacific Forest Landscape Corridor and Connectivity Project: Assessing Landscape and Species Vulnerability - Spatial Data

Montane Conifer Connectivity of areas of high elevation and high human footprint in the North Pacific Landscape Conservation Cooperative study area. This application provides Montane Conifer Connectivity for 2000 and 2080 (A1B).The three primary geospatial layers used in this analysis were a digital elevation model (DEM), a vegetation layer, and a human footprint layer. Due to the geographic extent of the North Pacific Landscape Conservation Cooperative, digital elevation models from different sources had to be used to create one seamless DEM. The digital elevation models were obtained from the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM), the United States Geologic Survey, and the Government of the Yukon Territory....

Categories: Data; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: AK, AK-1, Academics & scientific researchers, B.C., CA, All tags... CA-2, Conservation NGOs, Conservation Planning, Data, Decision Support, Federal resource managers, Forest, LCC Network Science Catalog, NPLCC, OR-1, OR-3, OR-4, OR-5, Priority B. Changes in air temperature and precipitation on forests, Vulnerability Assessment, WA-1, WA-10, WA-2, WA-3, WA-6, WA-7, WA-9, WA. OR, accepted, completed, connectivity, corridor, dispersal, genetic, product, Fewer tags

2016 population estimate report

This project will complete a tribally-based climate change vulnerability assessment t and adaptation plan for Eulachon that spawn in the Chilkoot and Chilkat rivers near Haines, Alaska. Local monitoring will collect data on spawning populations in the Chilkoot River, and a tribal stakeholder group will be convened to analyze climate change projections, apply traditional knowledge, rank climate vulnerabilities, and prioritized adaptation strategies.

Categories: Data; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: AK-1, Academics & scientific researchers, Adaptation planning, Alaska, Chilkat River, All tags... Chilkoot River, Climate Change, Conservation Planning, Eulachon, Federal resource managers, Hydrologic regime shift, LCC Network Science Catalog, NPLCC, Priority D. Hydrologic regime changes on anadromous fish, Traditional Ecological Knowledge, Traditional Ecological knowledge, Tribes, Vulnerabiligy assessment, Vulnerability Assessment, completed, product, Fewer tags

North Pacific Forest Landscape Corridor and Connectivity Project: Assessing Landscape and Species Vulnerability - Final Report

Overview Land and resource managers in the North Pacific Landscape Conservation Cooperative (NPLCC) currently lack conservation planning tools that can directly feed into the planning, design, delivery, and monitoring of ecosystems across all levels of biodiversity from genes to ecosystems. The North Pacific Forest Landscape Corridor and Connectivity Project utilized a landscape connectivity simulator (UNICOR) and a genetic simulation program (CDPOP) to model the functional (dispersal and genetic) connectivity in the North Pacific Landscape. The outputs from these programs indicated areas with high potential for landscape and genetic isolation and low probability of dispersal and colonization. In addition, this...

Categories: Data; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: AK, AK-1, Academics & scientific researchers, B.C., CA, All tags... CA-2, Conservation NGOs, Conservation Planning, Decision Support, Federal resource managers, Forest, LCC Network Science Catalog, NPLCC, OR-1, OR-3, OR-4, OR-5, Pacific Northwest, Priority B. Changes in air temperature and precipitation on forests, Vulnerability Assessment, WA-1, WA-10, WA-2, WA-3, WA-6, WA-7, WA-9, WA. OR, completed, connectivity, connectivity, corridor, dispersal, genetic, habitat corridors, product, Fewer tags

Using TEK to model the effects of climate change and sea-level rise on coastal cultural resources at Tolowa Dunes State Park, Del Norte County, California

This project obtained information regarding past catastrophic events, such as tsunamis, and TEK through oral history interviews with Tolowa elders regarding the effects of climate change and tsunamis on traditional smelt fishing camps; generated a GIS model of coastal inundation due to sea level rise and overlaid that with known archaeological and ethnographic resources; generated a final report with detailed information of past tsunami events, and modeled the potential effects of climate change and sea level rise on archaeological and ethnographic Tolowa sites using TEK and GIS based upon the results of this study.

Categories: Data, Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2012, CA-2, CA-2, California, California, All tags... Datasets/Database, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, LCC Network Science Catalog - LCCScienceCatalog, NPLCC, NPLCC, NPLCC, NPLCC, North Pacific Landscape Conservation Cooperative, Priority C. Effects of changes in sea levels, Project, Regional & county planners, Report, Report, Socio-economics/Ecosystem Services, Socio-economics/Ecosystem Services, State agencies, TEK, TEK, Tolowa Dunes, Tolowa Dunes, Tolowa Dunes, Tolowa Dunes, Traditional Ecological Knowledge, Traditional Ecological Knowledge, Traditional Ecological knowledge, Tribes, Vulnerability Assessment, Vulnerability Assessment, adaptation strategies, adaptation strategies, adaptation strategies, adaptation strategies, climate change, climate change, climate change, climate change, completed, sea-level rise, sea-level rise, sea-level rise, sea-level rise, species sensitivities, species sensitivities, species sensitivities, species sensitivities, vegetation changes, vegetation changes, vegetation changes, vegetation changes, Fewer tags

Humboldt Bay NWR Sea-level rise modeling

This project applied sea-level rise (SLR) modeling approaches along the Pacific coast tidal gradient at a parcel scale through improved data collection tools and collaboration relevant to land managers. At selected salt marsh parcels in both the North Pacific and California LCCs, data collection techniques were employed to assess detailed baseline habitat elevations; tidal ranges, microclimate, and extreme weather events; sediment supply sources; vegetation community composition; and vertebrate population indices. The design provides resource managers with information on the value of different datasets and methods including their uncertainty, as well as determines their usefulness in climate change adaptation planning...

Categories: Data, Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2011, Academics & scientific researchers, Alaska, British Columbia, CA-2, All tags... CA-2, California, California, California, California, California, Changes in sea level and coastal storms, Coastal shorelines and estuaries, Conservation Planning, Conservation Planning, Datasets/Database, Federal resource managers, Humboldt Bay, Humboldt Bay, Humboldt Bay, Humboldt Bay, Humboldt Bay Owls Clover, LCC, LCC Network Science Catalog, LCC Network Science Catalog - LCCScienceCatalog, Map, NPLCC, NPLCC, NPLCC, North Pacific Landscape Conservation Cooperative, North Pacific Landscape Conservation Cooperative, Oregon, Population & Habitat Evaluation/Projection, Population & Habitat Evaluation/Projection, Population & Habitat Evaluation/Projection, Priority C. Effects of changes in sea levels, Project, Regional & county planners, Report, Science Project, Sea level rise, Sea level rise, Steelhead, Vulnerability Assessment, Vulnerability Assessment, Washington, Western Snowy Plover, biota, climate change, climate change, climate change, climate change, completed, environment, marsh habitats, marsh habitats, marsh habitats, marsh habitats, modeling, modeling, modeling, modeling, Fewer tags

Final Report: Determine if climate change can affect the gathering calendar and natural resources of Kasaan Village and nearby Tribes on Prince of Wales Island

This project will utilize traditional ecological knowledge to establish traditional gathering practices. Interviews will be conducted with traditional gatherers (a.k.a. subsistence) over the last two generations to get baseline data. The project will have a direct focus on the four (4) federally recognized Tribes on Prince of Wales Island (Craig, Hydaburg, Kasaan and Klawock).

Categories: Data; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: AK-1, Academics & scientific researchers, Alaska, Climate Change, Conservation NGOs, All tags... Kasaan Village, LCC Network Science Catalog, NPLCC, Prince of Wales Island, TEK, Traditional Ecological Knowledge, Traditional Ecological knowledge, Tribes, Vulnerability Assessment, adaptation strategies, climate change, completed, product, species sensitivities, vegetation changes, Fewer tags

Glacier Summary Report 2015

This project will look at how climate change has altered hydrologic systems, Pacific salmon habitat, and survival of salmon in the Nooksack River watershed. It will develop an adaptation plan that can be adopted and integrated into management plans.Project Objectives for NPLCC funding:1. Assess climate change impacts on fish and fish biology and inform salmon habitat restoration actions aimed at perpetuating all nine salmonid species in the Nooksack River basin in the face of climate change (partially funded by proposed NPLCC funding).2. Conduct a vulnerability assessment that will ultimately reduce sensitivity, reduce exposure, and increase adaptive capacity of salmon to climate change impacts (partially funded...

Categories: Data; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: Academics & scientific researchers, Climate Change, Conservation Planning, Decision Support, LCC Network Science Catalog, All tags... Nooksack River, Priority A. Effects of hydrologic regime shifts, Priority D. Hydrologic regime changes on anadromous fish, Regional & county planners, Tribes, Vulnerability Assessment, WA-1, completed, product, salmonids, vulnerability assessment, Fewer tags

Developing resilience to natural and cultural dimensions of climate change: Tribal perspectives and applications the transboundary Cascadia landscape, and assessing contribution of eDNA to monitoring priority species

Building on currently available resources and on the prior climate adaptation experiences of our team,which includes tribal staff and a cultural anthropologist who is also an enrolled member of theConfederated Tribes of Siletz Indians, we will co-develop a guidebook for tribal adaptation. Thisguidebook will bring a tribal focus to adaptation planning and building resilience, in the context ofexisting tribal priorities, and will include traditional and local knowledge as well as western scientificresources and tools. Under the direction of an advisory group, the guidebook will be road-tested withseveral tribes, two of which have already been identified, and then revised at least once before beingreleased.

Categories: Data, Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: CA-1, CA-2, California, Federal resource managers, First Nations, All tags... ID-1, Idaho, LCC Network Science Catalog, LCC Network Science Catalog - LCCScienceCatalog, NPLCC, NV-2, Native Americans, Nevada, North Pacific Landscape Conservation Cooperative, OR-1, OR-2, OR-3, OR-4, OR-5, Oregon, Project, Society, Socio-economics/Ecosystem Services, State agencies, TEK, Traditional Ecological Knowledge, Traditional Ecological Knowledge, Tribes, Tribes, Vulnerability Assessment, WA-1, WA-2, WA-3, WA-4, WA-5, WA-6, WA-7, WA-8, WA-9, Washington, biota, completed, environment, Fewer tags

Publication: Delaying conservation actions matters for species vulnerable to climate change

Climate change vulnerability assessments are commonly used to identify species or populations at risk from global climate change, but few translate impact assessments to climate change adaptation actions. Furthermore, most climate change adaptation efforts emphasize where to implement management actions, whereas timing remains largely overlooked. The rate of modern climate change introduces urgency in evaluating whether delaying conservation actions compromises their efficacy for reaching important conservation targets. We evaluated the importance of multiple climate change adaptation strategies including timing of actions on preventing extinctions for a threatened climate-sensitive species, the Eastern Massasauga...

Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: Conservation NGOs, Conservation planning, Decision support, EARTH SCIENCE > LAND SURFACE > LANDSCAPE, Federal resource managers, All tags... LCC Network Science Catalog, Population and Habitat Evaluation/Projection, Publication, Publication, State agencies, Tribes, Vulnerability Assessment, climate adaptation, climate change, completed, environment, environment, population dynamics, threatened species, Fewer tags

Forecasting Changes in Sagebrush Distribution and Abundance Under Climate Change: Integration of Spatial, Temporal, and Mechanistic Models

FY2014Although the future of sage grouse depends on the future of sagebrush, we have limited ability to anticipate impacts of climate change on sagebrush populations. Current efforts to forecast sagebrush habitat typically rely on species distribution models (SDMs), which suffer from a variety of well-known weaknesses. However, by integrating SDMs with complementary research approaches, such as historical data analysis and mechanistic models, we can provide increased confidence in projections of habitat change. Our goal is to forecast the effect of climate change on the distribution and abundance of big sagebrush in order to inform conservation planning, and sage grouse management in particular, across the Intermountain...

Categories: Data, Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: Academics & scientific researchers, Conservation Planning, Datasets/Database, Federal resource managers, Great Basin, All tags... Great Basin, Great Basin, Great Basin, Great Basin, LCC Network Science Catalog, Population & Habitat Evaluation/Projection, Project, Publication, State agencies, Vulnerability Assessment, big sagebrush, big sagebrush, big sagebrush, big sagebrush, climate change, climate change, climate change, climate change, completed, modeling, modeling, modeling, modeling, sagebrush, Fewer tags