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Weather effects on avian breeding performance and implications of climate change The influence of recent climate change on the world’s biota has manifested broadly, resulting in latitudinal range shifts, advancing dates of arrival of migrants and onset of breeding, and altered community relationships. Climate change elevates conservation concerns worldwide because it will likely exacerbate a broad range of identified threats to animal populations. In the past few decades, grassland birds have declined faster than other North American avifauna, largely due to habitat threats such as the intensification of agriculture. We examine the effects of local climatic variations on the breeding performance of a bird endemic to the shortgrass prairie, the Lark Bunting (Calamospiza melanocorys) and discuss... Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: BIRDS, CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ASSESSMENT MODELS, Federal resource managers, LCC Network Science Catalog, Publication, All tags... Regional & county planners, State agencies, biota, completed, data.gov Great Plains LCC, environment, Fewer tags Modeling sediment accumulation in North American playa wetlands in response to climate change, 1940–2100 Playa wetlands on the west-central Great Plains of North America are vulnerable to sediment infilling from upland agriculture, putting at risk several important ecosystem services as well as essential habitats and food resources of diverse wetland-dependent biota. Climate predictions for this semi-arid area indicate reduced precipitation which may alter rates of erosion, runoff, and sedimentation of playas. We forecasted erosion rates, sediment depths, and resultant playa wetland depths across the west-central Great Plains and examined the relative roles of land use context and projected changes in precipitation in the sedimentation process. We estimated erosion with the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE)... Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ASSESSMENT MODELS, Climate Change, Climate Change, Climatic Change, Climatic Change, All tags... Federal resource managers, Great Plains, Great Plains, LCC Network Science Catalog, Publication, Regional & county planners, State agencies, WETLANDS, biota, completed, data.gov Great Plains LCC, environment, Fewer tags Predicting Waterbird Nest Distributions on the Yukon–Kuskokwim Delta of Alaska The Yukon–Kuskokwim Delta of Alaska,USAis a globally important region for numerous avianspecies including millions of migrating and nesting waterbirds.However, data on the current spatial distributionof critical nesting areas and the importance of environmental variables in the selection of nest locations aregenerally lacking for waterbirds in this region.We modeled nest densities for 6 species of geese and eiders thatcommonly breed on the Yukon–Kuskokwim Delta, including cackling goose (Branta hutchinsii minima),emperor goose (Chen canagica), black brant (B. bernicla nigricans), greater white-fronted goose (Anser albifronsfrontalis), spectacled eider (Somateria fischeri), and common eider (S. mollissima).Thedata... Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: BIRDS, BIRDS, CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ASSESSMENT MODELS, CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ASSESSMENT MODELS, DELTAS, All tags... DELTAS, DELTAS, DELTAS, DUCKS/GEESE/SWANS, DUCKS/GEESE/SWANS, ENDANGERED SPECIES, ENDANGERED SPECIES, EROSION, EROSION, ESTUARINE WETLANDS, ESTUARINE WETLANDS, FLOODS, FLOODS, Federal resource managers, HABITAT CONVERSION/FRAGMENTATION, HABITAT CONVERSION/FRAGMENTATION, INUNDATION, INUNDATION, LCC Network Science Catalog, PALUSTRINE WETLANDS, PALUSTRINE WETLANDS, Policy makers & regulators, Publication, SALTWATER INTRUSION, SALTWATER INTRUSION, SEA LEVEL RISE, SEA LEVEL RISE, SEA LEVEL RISE, SEA LEVEL RISE, SEDIMENT TRANSPORT, SEDIMENT TRANSPORT, SEDIMENTATION, SEDIMENTATION, SEVERE STORMS, SEVERE STORMS, SPECIES LIFE HISTORY, SPECIES LIFE HISTORY, STORM SURGE, STORM SURGE, STORMS, STORMS, Tribes, USE/FEEDING HABITATS, USE/FEEDING HABITATS, WETLANDS, WETLANDS, Western Alaska Landscape Conservation Cooperative data.gov, biota, biota, climatologyMeteorologyAtmosphere, climatologyMeteorologyAtmosphere, completed, environment, environment, imageryBaseMapsEarthCover, imageryBaseMapsEarthCover, oceans, oceans, Fewer tags Spatiotemporal scaling of North American continental interior wetlands: implications for shorebird conservation Within interior North America, erratic weather patterns and heterogeneous wetland complexes cause wide spatio-temporal variation in the resources available to migrating shorebirds. Identifying the pattern-generating components of landscape-level resources and the scales at which shorebirds respond to these patterns will better facilitate conservation efforts for these species. We constructed descriptive models that identified weather variables associated with creating the spatio-temporal patterns of shorebird habitat in ten landscapes in north-central Oklahoma. We developed a metric capable of measuring the dynamic composition and configuration of shorebird habitat in the region and used field data to empirically... Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: BIRDS, CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ASSESSMENT MODELS, Federal resource managers, Publication, Regional & county planners, All tags... State agencies, WETLANDS, biota, completed, environment, inlandWaters, Fewer tags Using Dynamic Linear Modeling to Characterize Hydrologic Regimes and Detect Flow Modifications at Multiple Temporal Scales The cascade of uncertainty that underscores climate impact assessments of regional hydrology undermines their value for long-term water resources planning and management. This study presents a statistical framework that quantifies and propagates the uncertainties of hydrologic model response through projections of future streamflow under climate change. Different sources of hydrologic model uncertainty are accounted for using Bayesian modeling. The distribution of model residuals is formally characterized to quantify predictive skill, and Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling is used to infer the posterior distributions of both hydrologic and error model parameters. Parameter and residual error uncertainties are integrated... Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation; Tags: AQUATIC ECOSYSTEMS, AQUATIC SCIENCES, CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ASSESSMENT MODELS, CONSERVATION, Completed, All tags... FISH, FISHERIES, HYDROLOGIC AND TERRESTRIAL WATER CYCLE MODELS, INDICATOR SPECIES, INDIGENOUS/NATIVE SPECIES, LAND SURFACE MODELS, LAND SURFACE TEMPERATURE, LANDSCAPE, LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY, LANDSCAPE PATTERNS, LANDSCAPE PROCESSES, LCC Network Science Catalog, MIGRATORY RATES/ROUTES, MODELS, Publication, RIVERS/STREAM, RIVERS/STREAMS, SALMONS/TROUTS, SPECIES MIGRATION, STREAM, STREAM, biota, biota, completed, environment, environment, inlandWaters, inlandWaters, Fewer tags Thermal adaptation and phenotypic plasticity in a warming world: Insights from common garden experiments on Alaskan sockeye salmon An important unresolved question is how populations of coldwater-dependent fishes will respond to rapidly warming water temperatures. For example, the culturally and economically important group, Pacific salmon (Oncorhynchus spp.), experience site-specific thermal regimes during early development that could be disrupted by warming. To test for thermal local adaptation and heritable phenotypic plasticity in Pacific salmon embryos, we measured the developmental rate, survival, and body size at hatching in two populations of sockeye salmon (Oncorhynchus nerka) that overlap in timing of spawning but incubate in contrasting natural thermal regimes. Using a split half-sibling design, we exposed embryos of 10 families... Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: Academics & scientific researchers, CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ASSESSMENT MODELS, CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ASSESSMENT MODELS, DATA REFORMATTING, DATA REFORMATTING, All tags... Federal resource managers, LAKES, LAKES, LCC Network Science Catalog, MEDIA TRANSFER/DATA RESCUE, MEDIA TRANSFER/DATA RESCUE, PHENOMENOLOGICAL MODELS, PHENOMENOLOGICAL MODELS, PHYSICAL/LABORATORY MODELS, PHYSICAL/LABORATORY MODELS, Publication, RIVERS/STREAMS, RIVERS/STREAMS, RURAL AREAS, RURAL AREAS, SALMONS/TROUTS, SALMONS/TROUTS, SALMONS/TROUTS, SALMONS/TROUTS, STREAM, STREAM, SURVIVAL RATES, SURVIVAL RATES, State agencies, THERMAL PROPERTIES, THERMAL PROPERTIES, WATER TEMPERATURE, WATER TEMPERATURE, WATER TEMPERATURE, WATER TEMPERATURE, Western Alaska Landscape Conservation Cooperative data.gov, biota, biota, climatologyMeteorologyAtmosphere, climatologyMeteorologyAtmosphere, completed, environment, environment, inlandWaters, inlandWaters, Fewer tags Drought and Cooler Temperatures Are Associated with Higher Nest Survival in Mountain Plovers Native grasslands have been altered to a greater extent than any other biome in North America. The habitats and resources needed to support breeding performance of grassland birds endemic to prairie ecosystems are currently threatened by land management practices and impending climate change. Climate models for the Great Plains prairie region predict a future of hotter and drier summers with strong multiyear droughts and more frequent and severe precipitation events. We examined how fluctuations in weather conditions in eastern Colorado influenced nest survival of an avian species that has experienced recent population declines, the Mountain Plover (Charadrius montanus). Nest survival averaged 27.2% over a 7-yr... Categories: Data, Publication; Types: Citation, Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: BIRDS, CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ASSESSMENT MODELS, Charadrius montanus, Charadrius montanus, Climate Change, All tags... Climate Change, Federal resource managers, LCC Network Science Catalog, Publication, Regional & county planners, State agencies, WETLANDS, biota, completed, data.gov Great Plains LCC, environment, mountain plover, mountain plover, nest survival, nest survival, weather, weather, Fewer tags