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Habitat hotspots were mapped for migratory birds ‘guilds’ across the LCD region using species presence/absence data collected from citizen-science datasets and modelled habitat conditions from the LANDFIRE program (Rollins, 2009). For presence/absence data, we used the eBird Reference Dataset (ERD, accessed October 1st, 2016; summarized in Sullivan et al., 2009) to model guild-level response to prevailing vegetation structure (e.g., percent-cover grass, tree, shrub, vegetation height), topography, and water availability for priority migratory bird species outlined in the Rio Mora NWR Land Protection Plan. We parsed eBird species “checklists” for species observed within a ~ 500 kilometer radius of the Rio Mora NWR....
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The aquifer saturated thickness product is a per-pixel (250 square-meters) model representation of the combined fluid and soil matrix volume of water available in a given area, represented in units of linear feet. The prediction of available water is made using a network of over 9,300 monitoring wells located throughout the High Plains aquifer region. These wells are part of an annually updated long-term water-level monitoring study being conducted by United States Geological Survey hydrologists and other partners (https://ne.water.usgs.gov/ogw/hpwlms/). We used the source well depth-to-water data, as well as information on the base elevation of the aquifer (USGS Report : ofr98-393), surface elevation (NED-DEM),...
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These data represent a potential future condition of large block grasslands if CRP lands expire and the land-use reverts back to cropland. Data layers for 2022 and 2027 were calculated by reclassing CRP lands scheduled to expire prior to these years to cropland and recalculating the large block grasslands layer as described above.
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These data represent the long term average (27 year) amount of duck energy days available in wetlands. Data were produced as part of the PLJV waterfowl implementation plan. We used data from recently completed studies investigating food resource availability in a variety of wetland types in the PLJV. Beheny (2017) completed a study of food energy availability in five different wetland types in northeastern Colorado. Clark (2016) investigated food resource availability in stock ponds in BCR 19 in Texas. For the wetland DED values reported in both studies, we assumed these values were appropriate for use across the whole Joint Venture region. We used Landsat 5 data to determine wetness frequency over 27 years (1985-2012)...
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The influence of recent climate change on the world’s biota has manifested broadly, resulting in latitudinal range shifts, advancing dates of arrival of migrants and onset of breeding, and altered community relationships. Climate change elevates conservation concerns worldwide because it will likely exacerbate a broad range of identified threats to animal populations. In the past few decades, grassland birds have declined faster than other North American avifauna, largely due to habitat threats such as the intensification of agriculture. We examine the effects of local climatic variations on the breeding performance of a bird endemic to the shortgrass prairie, the Lark Bunting (Calamospiza melanocorys) and discuss...
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Playa wetlands on the west-central Great Plains of North America are vulnerable to sediment infilling from upland agriculture, putting at risk several important ecosystem services as well as essential habitats and food resources of diverse wetland-dependent biota. Climate predictions for this semi-arid area indicate reduced precipitation which may alter rates of erosion, runoff, and sedimentation of playas. We forecasted erosion rates, sediment depths, and resultant playa wetland depths across the west-central Great Plains and examined the relative roles of land use context and projected changes in precipitation in the sedimentation process. We estimated erosion with the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE)...
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These data represent a potential future condition of large block grasslands if CRP lands expire and the land-use reverts back to cropland. Data layers for 2022 and 2027 were calculated by reclassing CRP lands scheduled to expire prior to these years to cropland and recalculating the large block grasslands layer as described above.
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These data represent Conservation Reserve Program (CRP) lands and their scheduled expiration date. CRP lands are those with a cropping history that have been enrolled in a program to plant grass cover for wildlife, erosion, and other benefits. CRP contracts are normally 15 years in length. These data are proprietary to the Farm Service Agency and are available to PLJV through an MOU that prohibits their dissemination. Analyses derived from these data will be available to refuge staff and MOUs may be developed in the future to share the data directly.
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Habitat hotspots were mapped for migratory birds ‘guilds’ across the LCD region using species presence/absence data collected from citizen-science datasets and modelled habitat conditions from the LANDFIRE program (Rollins, 2009). For presence/absence data, we used the eBird Reference Dataset (ERD, accessed October 1st, 2016; summarized in Sullivan et al., 2009) to model guild-level response to prevailing vegetation structure (e.g., percent-cover grass, tree, shrub, vegetation height), topography, and water availability for priority migratory bird species outlined in the Rio Mora NWR Land Protection Plan. We parsed eBird species “checklists” for species observed within a ~ 500 kilometer radius of the Rio Mora NWR....
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The wind energy development suitability product is a per-pixel (30 square-meters) model representation of the predicted probability (0.00-1.00) that an area can support wind energy development. The result is represented as a percentage, such that any value greater-than 0.5 would be classified as suitable for wind energy development in model space. To model suitability for wind energy development, we used 9,399 observations of ‘windmills’ taken from the FAA Digital Obstruction File (http://bit.ly/dof_12549; accessed June, 2016). Because the extent of the LCD region is limited to the panhandle region of Texas, we excluded all windmill observations outside of Texas from consideration during model building. To generate...
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Summary of project, results, and discussion for the study completed by Susan K. Skagen, Amy A. Yackel Adams, Victoria J. Dreitz, Ressa Yale Conrey, Lucy Burris, Gene Albanese, Craig A. Davis and Bradley W. Compton. Summary written by the Great Plains Landscape Conservation Cooperative (GP LCC).
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The tillage suitability product is a per-crop, per-pixel (30 square-meters) model representation of the predicted probability (0.00-1.00) that an area can support commodity crop development for a suite of crop types commonly grown in the LCD landscape. The values for each grid cell are interpreted as a probability, with any value greater-than 0.50 suggesting an area should be suitable for crop development based on observations of thousands of farmed areas around the LCD. To demonstrate composite suitability (“tillage”) for all crops, we added the individual probabilities for our modeled from cover classes (cereals, corn, cotton, and beans; described below), which represents the overall proportion of votes for “crop”...
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While we assessed the vulnerability of a number of different wildlife and plant species to climate change, none of those species exhibited high vulnerability to changes projected for the region and there was limited differentiation in vulnerability between the individual species. Given this shared level of vulnerability to climate change, we chose to focus our adaptation planning on grassland birds as they represent a large group with a diversity of habitat needs. These birds are obligate grassland wildlife species which have great potential to act as indicators for habitat quality since different species have distinct habitat structure needs. Participants in the adaptation planning workshop agreed that if the GP...
Categories: Data, Project; Types: Map Service, OGC WFS Layer, OGC WMS Layer, OGC WMS Service; Tags: 2010, Animal Agriculture, CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ASSESSMENT MODELS, CO-01, CO-02, All tags...
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Within interior North America, erratic weather patterns and heterogeneous wetland complexes cause wide spatio-temporal variation in the resources available to migrating shorebirds. Identifying the pattern-generating components of landscape-level resources and the scales at which shorebirds respond to these patterns will better facilitate conservation efforts for these species. We constructed descriptive models that identified weather variables associated with creating the spatio-temporal patterns of shorebird habitat in ten landscapes in north-central Oklahoma. We developed a metric capable of measuring the dynamic composition and configuration of shorebird habitat in the region and used field data to empirically...
Playas and other wetlands within the Great Plains Landscape Conservation Cooperative (GPLCC) provide essential habitat for many wetland-dependent vertebrate species and are especially important as migration and wintering areas for waterfowl and shorebirds. Playas in the GPLCC are at risk of unsustainable sediment accumulation, reduced inundation frequency, and declining hydroperiods due to agricultural intensification and a changing climate with expected decreases in annual precipitation, changing precipitation patterns, and higher summer temperatures. We propose to project distribution shifts and/or range reductions of several focal migrating shorebird, waterfowl, and waterbird species in response to climate change,...
Categories: Data, Project; Tags: 2013, BIRDS, CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACT ASSESSMENT MODELS, CO-01, CO-02, All tags...
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These data represent the average annual depletion rate of the Ogallala aquifer from 1980 to 2009. These data were calculated by averaging spatially explicit 5 year depletion rates reported in McGuire et al. 2012.
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These data represent the forecast saturated thickness of the Ogallala aquifer in 2050 based on the linear rate of depletion calculated previously. Using the model-based annual predictions of aquifer saturated thickness (described above), we built annual water-level transition matrices (e.g., Turner, 1987) that were then projected out through 2050.
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While we assessed the vulnerability of a number of different wildlife and plant species to climate change, none of those species exhibited high vulnerability to changes projected for the region and there was limited differentiation in vulnerability between the individual species. Given this shared level of vulnerability to climate change, we chose to focus our adaptation planning on grassland birds as they represent a large group with a diversity of habitat needs. These birds are obligate grassland wildlife species which have great potential to act as indicators for habitat quality since different species have distinct habitat structure needs. Participants in the adaptation planning workshop agreed that if the GP...


map background search result map search result map Implications of climate change for avian conservation in Great Plains landscapes Climate change planning for the Great Plains: Wildlife vulnerability assessment and potential for mitigation with grazing management Modeling sediment accumulation in North American playa wetlands in response to climate change, 1940–2100 Final Report: Climate change planning for the Great Plains: Wildlife vulnerability assessment and potential for mitigation with grazing management Project Summary: Climate change planning for the Great Plains:  Wildlife vulnerability assessment and potential for mitigation with grazing management Project Summary: Implications of climate change for avian conservation in Great Plains landscapes Spatiotemporal scaling of North American continental interior wetlands: implications for shorebird conservation Weather effects on avian breeding performance and implications of climate change Driver for Future Projections: CRP Expiration Driver for Projections - Aquifer Annual Change 1980 to 2013 Driver for Projections Wind Suitability in Texas 2016 Future Large Block Grasslands in 2022 Future Large Block Grasslands in 2027 Driver for Projections Tillage Suitability 2016 Aquifer Saturation Thickness 2013 Future Aquifer Saturation Thickness in 2050 Bird Habitat Suitability - Riparian Bird Habitat Suitability Lark and Grasshopper Wetland dud BCR 18 Driver for Future Projections: CRP Expiration Driver for Projections - Aquifer Annual Change 1980 to 2013 Driver for Projections Wind Suitability in Texas 2016 Future Large Block Grasslands in 2022 Future Large Block Grasslands in 2027 Driver for Projections Tillage Suitability 2016 Aquifer Saturation Thickness 2013 Future Aquifer Saturation Thickness in 2050 Bird Habitat Suitability - Riparian Bird Habitat Suitability Lark and Grasshopper Wetland dud BCR 18 Implications of climate change for avian conservation in Great Plains landscapes Climate change planning for the Great Plains: Wildlife vulnerability assessment and potential for mitigation with grazing management Modeling sediment accumulation in North American playa wetlands in response to climate change, 1940–2100 Final Report: Climate change planning for the Great Plains: Wildlife vulnerability assessment and potential for mitigation with grazing management Project Summary: Climate change planning for the Great Plains:  Wildlife vulnerability assessment and potential for mitigation with grazing management Project Summary: Implications of climate change for avian conservation in Great Plains landscapes Weather effects on avian breeding performance and implications of climate change Spatiotemporal scaling of North American continental interior wetlands: implications for shorebird conservation