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The Prairie Pothole Region (PPR) of the north-central U.S. and south-central Canada contains millions of small prairie wetlands that provide critical habitat to many migrating and breeding waterbirds. Due to their small size and the relatively dry climate of the region, these wetlands are considered at high risk for negative climate change effects as temperatures increase. To estimate the potential impacts of climate change on breeding waterbirds, we predicted current and future distributions of species common in the PPR using species distribution models (SDMs). We created regional-scale SDMs for the U.S. PPR using Breeding Bird Survey occurrence records for 1971–2011 and wetland, upland, and climate variables....


map background search result map search result map Digital Orthorectified Aerial Image of Cottonwood Lake Study Area Wetland P4 from 1977 Digital Orthorectified Aerial Image of Cottonwood Lake Study Area Wetland T2 from 1983 Digital Orthorectified Aerial Image of Cottonwood Lake Study Area Wetland T6 from 1986 Digital Orthorectified Aerial Image of Cottonwood Lake Study Area Wetland P1 from 18 July 1990 Digital Orthorectified Aerial Image of Cottonwood Lake Study Area Wetland T6 from 1991 Digital Orthorectified Aerial Image of Cottonwood Lake Study Area Wetland T1 from 26 July 1996 Digital Orthorectified Aerial Image of Cottonwood Lake Study Area Wetland T4 from 14 July 1999 Digital Orthorectified Aerial Image of Cottonwood Lake Study Area Wetland P3 from 2000 Digital Orthorectified Aerial Image of Cottonwood Lake Study Area Wetland T9 from 2000 Digital Orthorectified Aerial Image of Cottonwood Lake Study Area Wetland P11 from 2001 Digital Orthorectified Aerial Image of Cottonwood Lake Study Area Wetland P7 from 2002 Digital Orthorectified Aerial Image of Cottonwood Lake Study Area Wetland T8 from 2002 Digital Orthorectified Aerial Image of Cottonwood Lake Study Area Wetland T5 from 2003 Digital Orthorectified Aerial Image of Cottonwood Lake Study Area Wetland P1 from 2005 Digital Orthorectified Aerial Image of Cottonwood Lake Study Area Wetland P11 from 2007 Digital Orthorectified Aerial Image of Cottonwood Lake Study Area Wetlands P6 and P7 from 2011 Digital Orthorectified Aerial Image of Cottonwood Lake Study Area Wetlands T4, T5, T6, and T7 from 2012 Digital Orthorectified Aerial Image of Cottonwood Lake Study Area Wetlands T8 and T9 from 2012 Digital Orthorectified Aerial Image of Cottonwood Lake Study Area Wetlands P8 and T1 from 2015 Vulnerability of Breeding Waterbirds to Climate Change in the Prairie Pothole Region Digital Orthorectified Aerial Image of Cottonwood Lake Study Area Wetland T6 from 1991 Digital Orthorectified Aerial Image of Cottonwood Lake Study Area Wetland T6 from 1986 Digital Orthorectified Aerial Image of Cottonwood Lake Study Area Wetland T2 from 1983 Digital Orthorectified Aerial Image of Cottonwood Lake Study Area Wetland T4 from 14 July 1999 Digital Orthorectified Aerial Image of Cottonwood Lake Study Area Wetland T1 from 26 July 1996 Digital Orthorectified Aerial Image of Cottonwood Lake Study Area Wetland T8 from 2002 Digital Orthorectified Aerial Image of Cottonwood Lake Study Area Wetland P4 from 1977 Digital Orthorectified Aerial Image of Cottonwood Lake Study Area Wetland T9 from 2000 Digital Orthorectified Aerial Image of Cottonwood Lake Study Area Wetland P3 from 2000 Digital Orthorectified Aerial Image of Cottonwood Lake Study Area Wetland T5 from 2003 Digital Orthorectified Aerial Image of Cottonwood Lake Study Area Wetland P1 from 18 July 1990 Digital Orthorectified Aerial Image of Cottonwood Lake Study Area Wetlands T4, T5, T6, and T7 from 2012 Digital Orthorectified Aerial Image of Cottonwood Lake Study Area Wetlands P8 and T1 from 2015 Digital Orthorectified Aerial Image of Cottonwood Lake Study Area Wetland P1 from 2005 Digital Orthorectified Aerial Image of Cottonwood Lake Study Area Wetland P7 from 2002 Digital Orthorectified Aerial Image of Cottonwood Lake Study Area Wetlands P6 and P7 from 2011 Digital Orthorectified Aerial Image of Cottonwood Lake Study Area Wetland P11 from 2001 Digital Orthorectified Aerial Image of Cottonwood Lake Study Area Wetlands T8 and T9 from 2012 Digital Orthorectified Aerial Image of Cottonwood Lake Study Area Wetland P11 from 2007 Vulnerability of Breeding Waterbirds to Climate Change in the Prairie Pothole Region